Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 02, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/3/2/6)-(1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/6)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/6)-(1/6/4)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/7/5)-(7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(7/3)-(7/9/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(7/9/10/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(7/9/10/2)-(4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/9/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/10/2)-(7/9/10/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/10/2)-(7/9/10/8/2)-(7/9/10/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/10/2)-(4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/10/2)-(4/6/5)-(1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/4/7)-(5/2/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(5/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-9   WIN (5/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/3)-(5/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/3)-(5/2/8/3)-(5/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/02/2026 3630ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN' HOT Apr07 Mar23 Mar02 Feb12 Jan22 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  PUPIL Mar26 Mar16 Feb09 Nov25 Nov06 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 8.00    
3  BIG BUCKSALOT Apr09 Nov19 Sep22 Sep03 Jul16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
4  DREAM ON BABY Apr10 Mar31 Mar13 Feb25 Jan12 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.50    
5  WAUHATCHIE Mar31 Feb20 Feb06 Dec26 Dec06 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
6  DON'T STOP Apr01 Mar12 Feb17 Jan15 Jan05 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
TDN-2   05/02/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Apr09 Mar12 Mar04 Feb19 Feb02 (bailey ricardo)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
2  MISS FOXANN Mar31 Mar16 Feb20 Feb09 Jan02 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 21% 3.70    
3  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Nov17 Nov04 Sep24 Aug13 Jul15 (radosev)RADOSEVICH J 114 2.00 23% 3.30    
4  TALL GIRL Mar31 Mar16 Feb23 Jan22 Jan07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
5  STAR ELLA Mar30 Mar18 Feb23 Jan14 Jan02 (rivera nestor)FUENTES ERICK 112 6.00    
6  DIVINE FASHION Apr20 Mar23 Mar13 Mar05 Feb18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  REMEMBER ME Mar31 Mar16 Mar02 Feb20 Feb01 (crumley jevo)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-3   05/02/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANNEL FURY May18 Apr30 Oct02 Aug20 Aug01 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.00 39% 1.50    
2  FORTISSIMO Nov24 Oct25 Sep11 Aug14 Jun21 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.50    
3  SCRIMPER Apr01 Aug14 Jun30 Jun06 May14 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
4  POWERFUL Mar26 Nov06 Oct14 Aug20 Aug04 (rone mike)ROSENDO J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRICK AMBUSH Dec23 Oct28 Oct09 Aug18 Jul08 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
6  MOREAU Sep11 Aug20 Aug03 Jul10 May05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-4   05/02/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDS N DEW Feb19 Feb09 Dec22 Nov13 Nov04 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 4.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  STRIKING LADY Apr20 Apr09 Mar16 Mar02 Nov10 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 115 6.00    
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Mar24 Feb26 Feb16 Jan06 Jul16 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 4.00    
4  MOBIL CHIC Mar24 Feb16 Dec18 Nov13 Jun03 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
5  MAC'S CAILIN Apr08 Mar24 Mar09 Feb19 Dec09 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  KAT TRAX Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 Feb19 Feb09 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00    
7  TRULY INCLUSIVE Mar24 Mar05 Feb09 Dec22 Dec04 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-5   05/02/2026 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORGAN'S BLUFF Apr14 Apr08 Mar19 Feb28 Feb15 (gomez al)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 114 4.50 ★    
2  MIMA PRINCESS Apr14 Nov18 Oct01 Jul23 Jul06 (bouali wa)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
3  GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME Apr12 Apr06 Oct21 Oct12 Aug31 (gomez aleja)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNCHAINED SPIRIT Apr20 Apr08 Mar23 Mar06 Feb18 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 115 6.00    
5  THIS ONE'S FOR US Apr09 Mar26 Mar03 Feb20 Feb05 (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00    
6  PRIVATE MO Mar23 Feb26 Jan21 Dec19   (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 115 1.80 ★    
7  RED ROYALTY Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 Jan05 Dec27 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.60 74% 0.40    
 
TDN-6   05/02/2026 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C V DYNAMIC Apr10 Mar06 Feb20 Feb04 Jan21 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 15.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
2  PROSECUTOR Mar30 Mar04 Feb01 Dec19 Nov13 (guciardo rober)DIAZ I 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
3  MOMMA K'S BOY Nov24 Oct29 Oct13 Sep30 Sep04 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
4  RELISH THE RIDE Apr22 Mar25 Mar06 Feb12 Jan13 (johnson )SKERRETT JEFFERSON 117 12.00    
  (by MOBIL out of CRYPTOS' BEST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
5  THAT'S THE WAY Nov24 Nov05 Sep25 Sep01 Aug04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
6  COLOR BEARER Apr22 Mar30 Mar23 Feb25 Feb01 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 30.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BELLA TRELLA by CHEROKEE RUN)
7  SHADOWY Jan21 Nov24 Oct30 Oct13 Sep25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
8  GOLDEN FLAG Dec22 Nov03 Oct06 Sep12 Jun06 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 121 4.50 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
9  VILLIAN Nov24 Sep25 Aug29 Aug14 Jul15 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
10  EXCITEMENT Jan15 Dec22 Nov17 Nov03 Oct06 (hamm timothy)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
SCR  LUCKY JUULZ Mar03 Feb09 Jan12 Nov07 Oct23 (flick jul)HERNANDEZ H 117 30.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of CRIMSON KATE by FIRST SAMURAI)
12  OKLAHOMA JOE Apr22 Apr10 Mar25 Feb20 Feb12 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
 
TDN-7   05/02/2026 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EKATI'S WAY Apr06 Mar17 Feb23 Jan21 Dec01 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50    
2  CHIRON Mar17 Feb14 Dec21 Jun23 May03 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 121 2.00    
3  TATANKA Apr06 Nov06 Sep11 Aug29 Aug20 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
4  BIG LUCKY Apr06 Mar11 Feb23 Feb05 Jan09 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  MIGHTY LES Apr06 Mar26 Mar03 Jan14 Dec23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00 10% 8.90    
6  JOHN'S ROCK Apr07 Mar12 Feb23 Jan22 Dec19 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
TDN-8   05/02/2026 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST BE QUIET Sep26 Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 May15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 45% 1.20    
2  EXPLOSIVE LADY Mar11 Feb07 Jan07 Oct23 Sep30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
SCR  RAPIDO ROSA Mar26 Feb19 Nov07 Oct10 Sep19 (williams colb)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
4  VESPERA Dec04 Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 Jul16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  RIOBELLA Apr04 Mar22 Feb27 Mar15 Feb07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
6  ROSE RITA Mar30 Jun18 Jun04 Apr19 Mar29 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.00    
7  MIA'S GO Apr02 Mar13 Jan14 Jan01 Nov06 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-9   05/02/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPROBABLE FIRST Apr09 Apr01 Mar13 Feb25 Dec19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
2  SIMPLY VALID Oct06 Sep17 Aug28 Aug14 Jun30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 12% 7.40    
3  BELLA FUTURE Apr07 Mar16 Mar04 Jan22 Dec18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 8% 12.10    
4  DOCTOR WU Apr10 Mar23 Feb18 Dec18 Nov12 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
5  ATKINS Apr10 Apr01 Mar19 Feb23 Feb05 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Apr09 Apr01 Mar16 Mar04 Jan22 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 6.00    
7  STAR ENTERTAINER Apr07 Jan22 Jan06 Dec18 Nov10 (johnson ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 123 12.00    
8  ALL JOKES ASIDE Mar26 Feb12 Jan01 Dec11 Nov15 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50 12% 7.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.