Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaks/Derby Double
Thursday - April 30, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ODD-1   WIN (2/1/11/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/11/5/12)-(2/1/11/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/11/5/12)-(2/1/11/5/12)-(2/1/11/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/11/5/12)-(1/6/14/8/13) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ODD-2   WIN (1/6/14/8/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/14/8/13)-(1/6/14/8/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/14/8/13)-(1/6/14/8/13)-(1/6/14/8/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ODD-1   04/30/2026 5940ft DIRT RC14 Longines Kentucky Oaks Purse ($1500K) 3 F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLORA Mar01 Feb08 Jan10 Oct31 Oct04 (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BLAME out of COLLECTIONS CHOICE by BERNARDINI)
ZANY (GB) Apr03 Feb07 Dec06 Nov02   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by JUNIUS out of MO' GREEN by UNCLE MO)
SEARCH PARTY Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 Dec27 Nov29 (casse mar)TORRES A 121 30.00    
  (by SEEKING THE GOLD out of DEVIOUS CHARM by INTO MISCHIEF)
COUNTING STARS Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 Dec27 Dec14 (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
  (by BIG DADDY CARTEL out of STARS IN MY EYE by MR EYE OPENER)
MEANING Apr04 Feb08 Oct31 Sep20   (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FIGURE OF SPEECH by INTO MISCHIEF)
MY MISS MO Mar28 Feb28 Dec06 Nov09 Oct03 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 121 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of IN A DREAM by QUALITY ROAD)
DAZZLING DAME Mar14 Jan03 Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of AWESOME DAMA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
BOTTLE OF ROUGE Mar14 Feb15 Oct31 Sep06 Aug09 (baffert bob)SMITH E 121 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BLUES CORNER by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ALWAYS A RUNNER Apr04 Feb06       (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALWAYS CARINA by MALIBU MOON)
10  PROM QUEEN Mar28 Feb12 Jan23     (cox h)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
  (by DISCREET CAT out of MISS BLING BLING by TAPIT)
11  PERCY'S BAR Apr03 Oct31 Oct03 Aug30 Jun29 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by UPSTART out of HONESTLY DEB by SUPER SAVER)
12  BELLA BALLERINA Mar21 Feb14 Nov29 Oct05   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of PRETTY CITY DANCER by TAPIT)
13  PASHMINA Apr04 Feb15 Jan17 Dec20 Nov28 (atras rob)VAZQUEZ A 121 30.00    
  (by PENTELICUS out of HEIR D' MINT by SOVEREIGN DANCER)
14  BROOKLYN BLONDE Apr04 Mar01 Feb07 Aug09   (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHENANDOAH QUEEN by HENNY HUGHES)
15  LOVELY GREY Mar21 Feb20 Jan22 Sep27 Sep07 (danner kelsey)DAVIS DYLAN 121 30.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of KNIGHTWITHPUTNAM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
16  NYCON Apr04 Feb28 Jan01 Nov19 Oct15 (beckman wh)TORRES A 121 50.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
17  RESIST Mar21 Feb20 Jan22 Dec19   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BAHAMA BABE by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
ODD-2   04/30/2026 6600ft DIRT RC14 Kentucky Derby Purse ($5000K) 3 ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENEGADE Mar28 Feb07 Dec06 Oct17 Aug16 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPICE IS NICE by CURLIN)
ALBUS Apr04 Feb27 Nov29 Oct16   (mott riley)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00    
  (by STUDENT COUNCIL out of HELAINE'S HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
INTREPIDO Apr04 Feb07 Oct31 Oct04 Aug23 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 50.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OVERLY INDULGENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
LITMUS TEST Mar28 Mar01 Dec13 Oct31 Oct04 (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 126 50.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
RIGHT TO PARTY Apr04 Feb28 Jan10 Dec13   (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HAVIN' A PARTY by EMCEE)
COMMANDMENT Mar28 Feb28 Jan03 Nov01 Oct04 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CHARISMATIC out of RADU COOL by CARNIVALAY)
DANON BOURBON         (ikezoe man)NISHIMURA ATSUYA 126 20.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of WILD RIDGE by TAPIT)
SO HAPPY Apr04 Mar07 Jan10 Nov22   (glatt mark)SMITH E 126 15.00 11% 7.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SO CUNNING by BLAME)
THE PUMA Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Jan10   (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of EVE OF WAR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
10  WONDER DEAN         (takayanagi dai)SAKAI RYUSEI 126 30.00    
  (by DEE MAJESTY out of WONDER SIANG PRAW by WONDER ACUTE)
11  INCREDIBOLT Mar14 Jan31 Oct26 Sep28 Aug22 (mott riley)TORRES A 126 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
12  CHIEF WALLABEE Mar28 Feb28 Jan10     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of A LA LUCIE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
13  SILENT TACTIC Mar28 Mar01 Feb06 Jan03 Nov02 (casse mar)TORRES A 126 20.00 11% 8.30    
  (by TACITUS out of MAGICAL SIGN by GUN RUNNER)
14  POTENTE Apr04 Mar07 Jan31     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BLACK MINNALOUSHE out of PRIVATE TREATY by PRIVATE TERMS)
15  EMERGING MARKET Mar21 Feb07       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WILD EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
16  PAVLOVIAN Mar21 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Oct31 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 30.00    
  (by PAVEL out of MANDY'S GRACE by BELLAMY ROAD)
17  SIX SPEED         (seemar bhu)HERNANDEZ J 126 50.00    
  (by SARATOGA SIX out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
18  FURTHER ADO Apr04 Mar07 Nov29 Oct10 Aug30 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SKY DREAMER by SKY MESA)
19  GOLDEN TEMPO Mar21 Feb14 Jan17 Dec20   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 126 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CARRUMBA by CARR DE NASKRA)
20  FULLEFFORT Mar21 Feb21 Jan17 Oct23 Sep10 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
21  GREAT WHITE Apr04 Feb21 Jan17 Dec12   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 126 50.00    
  (by SEA SALUTE out of CONDUCTRICE by MISWAKI)
22  OCELLI Apr04 Mar14 Feb07 Jan17 Dec20 (beckman wh)RAMOS D 126 50.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ZALIA by SCAT DADDY)
23  ROBUSTA Apr04 Mar07 Feb07 Jan09 Nov22 (o'neill doug)JARAMILLO E 126 50.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of URBANE LEGEND by INTO MISCHIEF)
24  CORONA DE ORO Apr11 Mar07 Jan24 Oct16 Sep12 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 126 50.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON DE ORO by LEMON DROP KID)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.