Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - April 30, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/4/1)-(5/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/6/1)-(2/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/3/5)-(4/6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(4/6/5/2)-(5/8/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/2)-(5/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/2)-(5/8/6/2)-(2/1/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/2)-(2/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/2)-(2/1/4/8)-(9/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (2/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/8)-(9/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (9/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/10)-(9/7/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/10)-(9/7/10)-(9/7/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   04/30/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRRESISTIBLE Mar28 Mar06 Dec21 Nov02 Sep20 (pletcher)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by WOODMAN out of ALABAMA NANA (IRE) by THATCHING (IRE))
MOONLIT Mar28         (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
  (by BOLD RUCKUS out of ERES TU by MALIBU MOON)
DIRECTIVE Apr03         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 37% 1.70    
  (by DEPUTY MINISTER out of BOLSA by MR. PROSPECTOR)
TEJANITA Feb05 Jan03 Oct26 Apr17 Nov08 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TEJANA by CURLIN)
POMERANCE Mar06 Nov20       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of POMEROYS PISTOL by POMEROY)
 
BAQ-2   04/30/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDURING SPIRIT Apr11 Mar13 Feb15 Jan18 Dec13 (figueroa ca)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 10.00 13% 6.60    
BOURBON CHASE Mar21 Feb19 Feb22 Jan25 Dec14 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 45% 1.20    
FEVER NIGHT Feb26 Feb20 Jan09 Dec11 Jul12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00    
SHIPSATIONAL Apr09 Mar21 Feb11 Dec28 Nov29 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 5.00 19% 4.40    
QUIET WISDOM Apr09 Mar21 Mar12 Jan10 Dec28 (potts wayne)ZAYAS J 126 3.50    
SCR  DOLLY'S BANK Apr02 Feb27 Feb13 Dec27 Dec04 (winney melv)RIVERA A 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   04/30/2026 4290ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAHILA Apr02 Mar06 Feb15 Feb05 Jan23 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SPIRIT OF ESTHER Apr03 Mar12 Mar06 Feb19 Jan09 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00    
AMY'S LIGHT Apr10 Jan09 Dec26 Nov07 Oct26 (pringle edm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 4.50    
BASEBALL LADY Apr12 Mar22 Feb04 Dec26 Nov28 (rice linda)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.40    
K GUN Mar14         (de h)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 51% 1.00    
TIMIA Apr02 Mar13 Mar06 Feb13 Dec28 (potts wayne)ZAYAS J 126 3.00 13% 7.00    
 
BAQ-4   04/30/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Apr03 Mar12 Feb19 Jan15 Dec28 (schettino d)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00    
MITOLE'S GIRL Apr04 Feb15 Jan23 Dec12 Nov08 (synnefias panag)CANCEL ERIC 126 3.50 49% 1.00    
SHADYSIDE Mar22 Mar07 Feb12 Jan18 Nov28 (martin carl)RIVERA A 119 2.00 18% 4.40    
BABY SASSICAIA Mar08 Feb27 Feb13 Jan16 Dec26 (schauer )SANTANA JR 126 1.80    
DANNEEL Apr04 Feb15 Nov21 Oct23 Oct03 (parker joseph)DAVIS KATIE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOLCE SERA Apr04 Mar08 Feb15 Jan16 Jan01 (delauro edw)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 20.00    
SCR  ROGUE JUSTICE Apr04 Mar12 Feb11 Jan02 Dec06 (synnefias panag)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
 
BAQ-5   04/30/2026 5280ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEADY FORCE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of COCO VIN by LIAM'S MAP)
MR HOPKINS         (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of WYCHWOOD by TALE OF THE CAT)
CRUDE INTENTIONS Mar08 Jan04       (levine b)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENLY GRACE by TAPIT)
BLAZING TIGER Jan03 Nov14       (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by BATTLE CREEK out of ROGER'S VIXEN by HARD WORK)
FRANKLIN DELANO Aug23 Jul19       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 8% 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BATTLE FLAG by WAR FRONT)
OLLIE LUKE OUT Mar27         (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 10% 9.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CANTATA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
NO RAIN NO FLOWERS Mar19         (summers chad)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of VINO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
KING'S REMARK         (clement miguel)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50    
  (by KINGMAN out of PARLE MOI by MONTJEU (IRE))
SCR  STREAM IT Apr10 Mar20 Feb21 Dec06 Nov09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20    
  (by TAPIT out of RIVER MAID by WHERE'S THE RING)
SCR  CHIPS AND FISH Mar27 Mar15       (ferraro jam)RIVERA A 115 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SIRANEUSE by TAPIT)
SCR  CHESS MATCH Apr11 Feb07       (delauro edward )DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CHECKUPFROMZNECKUP by DIXIE UNION)
 
BAQ-6   04/30/2026 4620ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGYPTIAN Apr03 Mar14 Feb26 Feb19 Jan09 (dutrow ric)RIVERA R 126 4.50    
CAPT JAX PARROW Apr12 Apr02 Mar12 Feb19 Jan15 (barrera s)PENA LUIS 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
TARPAULIN Apr12 Mar22 Jan18 Dec31 Nov14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 8.00    
SCR  MAGNI Apr11 Mar27 Mar05 Jan09 Dec12 (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 126 12.00    
APOLLO CODE Mar12 Feb19 Jan23 Jan02 Oct28 (handal ra)VARGAS A 126 6.00 28% 2.60    
EL PACO Apr19 Mar22 Feb21     (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
COME FULL CIRCLE Mar13 Feb13 Dec10 Oct22 Oct05 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 126 6.00    
NEW YORK SCRAPPY Apr02 Mar12 Feb26 Feb19 Jan18 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 4.00 26% 2.90    
THREE LITTLE BIRDS Apr12 Mar15 Jan16 Dec21 Nov22 (baker ch)SANTANA JR 126 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   04/30/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($50K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAROS Mar28 Feb28 Jan24 Jan02 Nov07 (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 121 2.00 19% 4.40    
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Mar07 Feb06 Jan01 Dec04 Nov15 (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 49% 1.10    
LIFE AND LIGHT Mar28 Jan09 Dec27 Nov29 Nov14 (pringle edm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00    
BELOUNI (FR) Mar21 Mar01 Jan24 Dec06 Oct18 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 6% 14.50    
AMBITION Apr19 Apr04 Mar01 Feb19 Feb06 (sells rache)RIVERA A 116 8.00    
SMILENSAYCHEESE Apr17 Apr02 Mar07 Feb14 Jan23 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
SHARP SPARK Apr16 Mar28 Mar12 Feb21 Dec27 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 15.00    
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Mar16 Feb19 Jan29 Jan18 Nov23 (kantarmaci i)ZAYAS J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SYMPHONY Mar21 Feb05 Dec10 Nov29 Oct05 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
SCR  CICCIOBELLO Apr09 Mar15 Mar06 Feb15 Jan10 (barrera s)BAEZ JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  CENTAVO Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb14 Jan03 (chatterpaul naipa)RIDER TBA 123 10.00    
SCR  MILITARY ROAD Mar29 Mar20 Feb15 Dec26 Nov05 (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-8   04/30/2026 3960ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMERGENCY NINE         (clement )SANTANA JR 121 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CALL IT A TRUCE by FRIEND OR FOE)
SCR  SHAKE EM OFF         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SHAKER SHACK by BUSTIN STONES)
SPEED WALKING         (mcpeek kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DREAM WALKING by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
LAKE ARIEL Aug28         (donk david)RIVERA A 114 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of DISCREET WOMAN by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  AVERY'S WONDERLAND Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 Aug16   (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LIZA JAMBALAYA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  GARDEN OF GRACE Apr09 Mar12 Feb05 Jan04 Oct02 (weaver georg)ZAYAS J 126 2.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of PEERESS by AMERICAIN)
ATIRA Feb28         (morley thom)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by YAUPON out of AMERICAN INDY by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  NO NEED TO PANIC Nov02 Sep27       (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of KIBOSH by DISCREET CAT)
VENETTA Mar27         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 121 0.80 47% 1.10    
  (by YAUPON out of GYPSY ANGEL by SILVER TRAIN)
10  CARELESS WHISPER         (weaver george)RIDER TBA 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of CONSTANCY by SKY CLASSIC)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.