Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - May 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/4)-(1/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1/4/2)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(3/6)-(6/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-4   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6/3/2)-(1/9/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(1/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/9/2)-(8/6/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/2)-(1/9/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/2)-(1/9/2/6)-(1/9/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/9/2)-(8/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2)-(8/6/2/5)-(9/8/5) 36 $3.00 $108 
MTH-7   WIN (8/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/5)-(9/8/5) 12 $5.00 $60.00 
MTH-8   WIN (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/5)-(9/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/5)-(9/8/5)-(9/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   05/17/2026 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD LIGHT Mar27 Mar06 Feb08 Jan17   (avila juan )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by FROSTED out of SELECT FRIDAY by KANTHAROS)
KAZ BRIO Mar20 Feb21 Jan18 Oct02 Sep13 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ALL DAY LAWN by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ELKO COUNTY Mar05 Nov20 Aug31 Jul27 Mar21 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 123 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
PAUILLAC Apr12 Feb21       (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TIFOSI Apr19         (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WHEATFIELD by LONE STAR SPECIAL)
WHO'S YOUR HATTIE Apr28         (lake scot)VARGAS A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HANNAHANNA by MALIBU MOON)
 
MTH-2   05/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG DOSSER Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Mar02 Feb04 (bertone joann)RIVERA KENDRY 116 20.00    
MORE POWER May02 Apr25 Apr10 Mar14 Feb16 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.50    
SCR  ESSENTIALLY FAST May13 Apr11 Mar15 Feb12 Jan22 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00    
NEW YORK STRONG Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep06 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  IDENTITY CRISIS Feb15 Jan11 Aug22 Jul19 Jun19 (delgado )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00    
ITS PIZZA TIME Jul06 Jun08 Apr27 Apr09 Mar05 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
MTH-3   05/17/2026 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALAGADOOLA Apr21 Mar21 Mar12 Sep04 Aug20 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
PURPLE LU LU May10 Feb17 Jan08 Nov24 Oct27 (bertone joann)RIVERA KENDRY 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLIE'S BEAUTY Apr08 Mar18 Feb27 Feb06 Jan18 (avila juan)VASQUEZ JR 111 3.50    
SWEET NOLA May02 Apr18 Mar20 Feb18 Jan30 (simone mic)RIVERA R 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
EQUUS Apr06 Mar24 Mar04 Feb04 Dec29 (gomez pompeyo)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00    
LA VECCHIA SIGNORA Apr18 Apr04 Mar11 Feb14 Jan30 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.50    
 
MTH-4   05/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POGI May09 Mar10 Mar03 Feb18 Jan15 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.00    
SCR  HERMOSO HOMBRE May02 Apr01 Mar16 Feb16 Jan13 (pino michael)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.50    
GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) May08 Apr29 Apr17 Apr03 Mar18 (simone micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  UNDALAY Apr29 Apr17 Mar11 Feb11 Dec31 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00    
SCR  MY MAN WOODY May09 Mar13 Feb25 Feb01 Jan23 (caban e)CARRERO V 121 4.00    
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) May10 Sep01 Aug16 Mar29 Jan28 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY MAMBA May09 Oct09 Sep20 Aug17 Aug08 (bertone j)HERNANDEZ F 121 15.00    
 
MTH-5   05/17/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA BELLO BANKER Mar08 Feb13 Jan30 Nov28 Oct17 (avila ca)MORALES ANGEL 119 5.00    
MUNCHKIN May09 Nov28 Oct03 Sep13 Jun19 (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
ENCHANT Apr24 Apr01 Mar18 Feb22 Jan28 (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
REFINED ELAINE Apr10 Feb18 Jan07 Nov19 Nov01 (brown howard )RODRIGUEZ YAN 114 20.00    
SCR  LADY OF TROY Apr26 Apr11 Mar14     (dini mike)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00    
CAIRO GIRL Apr18 Feb22 Jan22 Dec14 Nov15 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
ABBEY JEAN May09 Oct03 Aug23     (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00    
 
MTH-6   05/17/2026 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTICAL MERLIN Dec26 Oct08 Aug31 Aug03 Jul11 (spina cha)VARGAS A 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL HER GLORY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
JERSEY'S THE BOSS Jul26         (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of THIS IS NICE by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
REALLY QUICK Oct17         (milne joan)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NEVER QUICKER by NEVER TABLED)
FOXIESBAYMALLOW Oct18 Sep27 Aug24     (wilson tony)MOYA F 119 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
SCR  TWIN LIGHTS Mar27 Dec28 Oct02     (owens ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of UPSET CITY by CITY ZIP)
J J PACHECO Dec19 Nov29 Nov09 Oct25 Sep27 (alcala )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by ENGAGE out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
BON COURAGE         (milne joan)SUTHERLAND C 119 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SPUN SILVER by GRAND SLAM)
U DIRTY DOG Oct17 Jul12 Jun15 Aug25 Jul27 (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
CLEVER CHARLIE Sep27 Aug24 Jul26 Jul04   (breen kell)RIVERA R 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TEJABO out of CLEVER WHITNEY by CLEVER SHOT)
SCR  ACES FULL         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
  (by CHATAIN out of GOLD STREAMER by FORTY NINER)
 
MTH-7   05/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKER MURRAY Nov04 Oct07 Sep10 Aug27 Aug02 (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
CHARMING JENNIE Apr15 Mar22 Jan28 Jan16   (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 5.00 17% 4.90    
TOASTTOTHESTONES Apr23 Apr02 Feb22 Jan22 Nov21 (breen kell)RIVERA R 117 3.50    
SCR  LADY KHOZ May03 Apr19 Jun27 May30 May08 (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
EMILY REWARD Dec10 Nov17 Nov03 Oct08 Sep10 (harris holly)RIVERA KENDRY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELSIE'S SMILE Apr18 Mar14 Feb27 Jan30 Oct02 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 117 4.00 19% 4.40    
RACHEL CAROLINE Oct17 Sep07 Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 (frangella jame)SUTHERLAND C 121 8.00    
CRITICAL MAGIC Apr15 Feb12 Jan30 Jan16 Dec19 (delgado jo)VASQUEZ JR 107 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-8   05/17/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THREE PERCENT Apr26 Mar04 Jan30 Jan11 Jul08 (crook-demasi k)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.50    
EDITOR'S CHOICE Oct10 Sep14 Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 119 20.00    
SCR  COPERNIUM Apr19 Mar20 Feb19 Aug09 May02 (margotta antho)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50    
SCR  DESPERATE PROPOSAL May10 Feb19 Dec28 Nov09 Sep01 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
KHETAM Apr28 Apr10 Mar05 Dec05 Sep21 (dini mike)RIVERA R 117 6.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  THINGAMABOB May10 Mar01 Mar23 Feb12 Jan18 (pompay terri)GIL CIPRIANO 121 12.00    
T V MAN Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 Aug24 Aug10 (frangella j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 15.00    
FRANKIE G Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 Jul12 Jun28 (cash j)MOYA F 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
MANOAH'S GLORY Apr17 Jan08 Nov09 Sep27 Aug31 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.