Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/7)-(6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-3   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(5/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-5   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5)-(5/7/2)-(2/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-7   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (5/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/8)-(9/4/5)-(4/3/1/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-9   WIN (9/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/5)-(9/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/5)-(9/4/1/5)-(9/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/5)-(4/3/1/9/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-10   WIN (4/3/1/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/9/11)-(4/3/1/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/9/11)-(4/3/1/9/11)-(4/3/1/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/16/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHEZHELL ON WHEELS May02 Apr17 Jan15 Jan03   (kotara ronald)HUAMAN A 124 15.00    
SCR  MUCHO PINK May02 Mar27       (eoff terry)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 1.60    
3  CHIP ALTERNATIVE May01 Mar28 Mar08 Feb07 Jan11 (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
4  EVIL TOM Apr17 Apr03 Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 (cravens ronni)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LA VONDA SECURITY May01 Jan24 Jul07 Jun23   (eoff terry)HAMILTON WESTON 124 5.00 56% 0.80    
6  GLORY ALL THE TIME May02 Mar13 Feb22     (pish danny)LUZZI J 118 2.50    
 
LS-2   05/16/2026 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($15K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINTED LAD May03 Apr04 Feb21 Feb07 Jan04 (sanchez-pozos for)DIEGO V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Apr17 Feb20 Jan18 Sep23 Sep09 (mejia jacobo)HUAMAN A 122 20.00    
3  YO SOY ROY Mar21 Jan31 Nov20 Nov11 Oct09 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BLING MOUNTAIN Apr25 Apr17 Mar28 Mar01 Feb13 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.50    
5  MR JAWS May03 Apr18 Apr04 Mar21 Mar08 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  CHAMPAGNE STOOPER May03 Apr04 Mar28 Mar06 Aug23 (schneider eri)JUAREZ J 122 2.50    
 
LS-3   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE DECISION Feb23 Jan24 Dec14     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.00 ★    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BELLE HILL by SKY MESA)
2  MELLENCAMP Mar20 Mar01 Feb14 Dec14 Nov17 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 124 1.80 70% 0.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMERICAN MODEL by BAYERN)
3  SANDS OF TIME Feb15 Nov02       (evans justin)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of CROSSROADS MISS by SANDPIT (BRZ))
4  TAPCON Dec20         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00    
  (by TACITUS out of SHE'S BOSS by BAYERN)
SCR  AIRLINER Apr24 Jan18       (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of ARMANDA by ACATENANGO)
6  WASTED WARRIOR May03 Mar15 Jan02 Nov16 Oct13 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 118 4.50    
  (by HALLADAY out of LETTHEPARTYBEGIN by BERTRANDO)
7  SKY SIMON Feb20 Jan02 Nov15     (mallery vonn)HUAMAN A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of MISS BOND by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
LS-4   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY HIGH Apr26 Feb02 Dec29 Dec11 Sep21 (evans justin)JARA FERNANDO 115 2.50 31% 2.30    
2  SHOW ME THE CANDY Feb20 Jan30 Jan15 Dec18 Nov15 (bryant george)LUZZI J 121 5.00    
3  RECLUSIVE Mar21 Mar01 Feb08 Jul05 Jun15 (h)DE CRUZ 121 3.50    
4  ANGEL KISS Mar28 Mar16 Feb16 Jan12 Dec06 (abney mike)ALVAREZ L 121 4.50    
5  BLUSHING BELLE Apr16 Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 Jan31 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIZ THE SPIRIT Apr24 Mar22 Feb22 Dec01 Nov03 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
LS-5   05/16/2026 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR AND FIRE May03 Apr19 Jul03 Jun22 May30 (whitton mark)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
2  GOLDEN PELICAN Apr17 Mar21 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.50    
3  TIMELESS LOVE May02 Mar19 Feb20 Jan17 Dec10 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 6.00    
4  REDRIVER STORM Apr03 Feb13 Jan04 Dec12 Jul25 (gelner j)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
5  PIRULITA Apr12 Mar21 Mar08     (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  PAROLA SICURA Mar06 Feb14 Jan18 Aug15 Jul23 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
7  ITTY BITTY BABY May03 Apr17 Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 124 3.00    
8  DEMOTION May03 Apr25 Feb14 Oct02 Sep01 (mendoza edga)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50    
 
LS-6   05/16/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMA KING Apr24 Mar21 Feb20 Jan16 Jan04 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
2  AIR OF GHURAIR Apr26 Mar21 Mar13 Feb13   (castellanos j)FUENTES MARIO 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  JUST HANGIN RIDGE May10 Apr18 Mar07 Feb14 Mar30 (c)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
4  MUCHO MACHO CAM Apr26 Mar29 Mar14 Feb14 Jan16 (love alan)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00    
5  HEATS HERO May02 Feb21 Jan31 Jan01 Dec20 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  DAPILOT Apr18 Mar13 Jan31 Jan23 Feb16 (pish danny)PARKER L 124 4.00    
7  FLY RED BIRD FLY Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 (rivera j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
LS-7   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ ANOTHER BUNNY Apr24 Feb21 Jan24 Jun28 May31 (hjort donna)DIEGO V 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of STORMIN BUNNY by STORMIN FEVER)
2  TAKING A NAP Apr13         (williams a)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of JULIE NAPP by CURLIN)
3  FLAT OUT BLESSED May01 Apr10 Mar28 Mar12 Feb20 (hernandez t)HAMILTON WESTON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of C D PLAYER by MONTBROOK)
4  DOUBLE STANDARDS Apr24         (jacks e)ELLIOTT S 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of HOMESTAKE by AFLEET ALEX)
5  POTENTIATOR Apr24         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ADDITIONAL PRAYER by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  EXTREMIST Apr11         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by SUAVE out of LA ILUMINADA by LANGFUHR)
7  CARRY THE FLAG Jun28 May31 Mar30 Mar09 Jun29 (swift a)HUAMAN A 124 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FLAGSTAFF by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
LS-8   05/16/2026 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACY'S PRINCESS Apr16 Mar27 Feb28 Jun20 May17 (uriegas henry)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
2  SUCCESSFULPATH May01 Apr16 Mar21 Feb28 Feb14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50    
3  BLING IT TO ME Feb07 Jan16 Jan04 Nov13 Sep20 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 12% 7.70    
4  TAPITURES ACTOR Apr17 Mar20 Sep06 Jul18 Apr04 (gelner j)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
5  IMALUCKYCHARM Apr17 Mar21 Feb14 Nov06 Sep26 (jacks e)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  NAVAL WOMAN Apr16 Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 May02 (pish danny)PARKER L 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  BLUE HEAVENLY May01 Feb14 Jan24 Jan11 Dec06 (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 10.00    
8  TRUE CHIEF Mar20 Mar07 Feb07 Jan17 Dec05 (cravens ronni)RIVERA SANTOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-9   05/16/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYALIST Apr18 Mar27 Feb22 Jan31 Jan11 (cruz eduard)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 ★    
2  MISSING ROCKS Apr19 Mar13 Feb08 Dec18 May24 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 5.00    
3  STRAIGHTAWAY Apr17 Apr04 Mar14 Oct17 Jul13 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
4  BILL Apr25 Mar30 Jan11 Dec02 Oct18 (valdez-cab)ERAMIA E 124 12.00 7% 12.90    
5  WITHERING GAZE May01 Mar27 Feb22 Feb08 Jan31 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CITIZEN BARRETT Apr26 Mar16 Feb23 Jan19 Dec07 (valdez-cabral mar)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00    
SCR  CONFIDING May08 Apr26 Feb08 Jan30 Dec18 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
SCR  ILEAN RIGHT Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Jan11 Dec02 (evans justin)JUAREZ J 124 3.00    
9  QUALITY STYLE May01 Apr18 Mar21 Feb22 Jan31 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
 
LS-10   05/16/2026 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN THE ISLANDS Apr24 Mar22 Mar15 Feb08 Jan31 (davidson sara)FUENTES MARIO 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
2  GOLD FRONT Apr24 Sep05 Aug08 Jul04 Jun06 (eoff terry)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
3  HEDGE THE RISK Apr04 Mar15 Feb21 Jan30 Dec11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
4  AUSTIN CRUISE Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan16 Oct09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
5  HILLBILLY UP Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 Oct30 Oct10 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
SCR  MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Apr24 Mar01 Feb08 Jan16 Nov07 (gelner jayde )RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00    
7  MARCUS GIFT Mar22 Feb27 Jan29 Dec27 Nov12 (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 122 4.00    
8  HELICITY Mar28 Feb21 Jan18 Jun13 Apr27 (evans justin)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00    
9  ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN Apr16 Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
10  SHOGUN (IRE) Apr18 May17 Apr23 Mar12 Feb15 (willis mindy)PARKER L 124 15.00    
11  MISS MOZETTI May02 Apr04 Mar20 Feb22 Feb07 (pish danny)LUZZI J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARKANSAS Mar26 Feb20 Jun07 May03 Apr18 (jackson richar)QUINONEZ S 122 30.00    
SCR  CITY OF ANGELS Apr25 Mar21 Feb19 Nov22 Oct17 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.