Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - May 03, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(2/3/6/7)-(6/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/7)-(6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/7)-(6/8/4)-(4/1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/4)-(6/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/4)-(6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/4)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4)-(4/1/3/7)-(1/7/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/7)-(1/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/7)-(1/7/2/8)-(5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/8)-(1/7/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/8)-(1/7/2/6/8)-(1/7/2/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/8)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/8)-(5/2/4)-(2/5/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/5/7/6)-(5/8/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(5/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/6)-(5/8/7/2)-(6/4/1/9/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/6/2)-(5/8/7/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/7/2)-(6/4/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/4/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/9/8)-(6/4/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/9/8)-(6/4/1/9/8)-(6/4/1/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   05/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA DIAMOND Mar18 Feb19 Jan18 Dec13 Sep13 (villan)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
GO GO STAR Apr25 Apr04 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 (ashmore colee)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 30.00    
SOUND IT OUT Apr15 Mar22 Feb27 Jan30 Nov22 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 27% 2.80    
MAMA DRAMA Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 Mar07 Feb27 (bennett ge)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 111 5.00    
VESPER CHICKS Apr17 Apr01 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 1.60 44% 1.30    
WICKED LEGACY Apr19 Mar21 Mar07 Jan31 Dec26 (o'connell kath)GIL CIPRIANO 121 3.00    
 
TAM-2   05/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKCREST Apr17 Mar27 Mar08 Jan25 Jan02 (ochoa gerard)COTTO L 118 30.00    
SIMO AT THE BIG A Apr03 Mar12 Jan31 Jan08 Dec12 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 0.60 53% 0.90    
AMERICAN MELODY Mar29         (rice kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.00 13% 6.40    
ASTRIDSHADOWMOON Apr25 Apr18 Apr03 Mar18   (drake robert)SERPA ANGEL 118 12.00    
KENRIC Apr18 Apr03 Mar14 Feb28 Feb13 (davis rick)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 115 10.00    
FANTI Apr25 Feb08       (alanis f)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 12% 7.30    
NADIR HAN Apr25 Mar25 Dec13 Nov21 Sep26 (parra hernan)HESS SARA 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   05/03/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K PAZ Apr15 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 Jan28 (cudworth paul)LEON A 118 6.00    
TONY B Apr22 Mar25 Mar08 Feb06 Nov26 (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50    
LITTLE LUKEY Mar29 Mar08 Nov12 Oct10 Sep20 (donaldson debra)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
NEW PLEX Apr26 Apr08 Mar20 Feb20 Feb11 (gonzalez luis)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
KING NATE Apr24 Apr04 Mar22 Jul29 Jul14 (rountree )HERRERA R 118 12.00    
CHICO CHARLIE Apr24 Apr15 Mar22 Feb05 Jan21 (gonzalez luis )GIL CIPRIANO 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  INTOLERABLE Apr25 Apr04 Mar13 Feb11 Jan16 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 118 15.00    
SUPER TIZ Apr26 Apr22 Mar14 Feb15 Jan31 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.00 8% 10.90    
 
TAM-4   05/03/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABYBACK Apr18 Apr01 Feb13 Oct18 Sep07 (acksel j)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 12% 7.60    
OPERA HOUSE A. D. Apr15 Feb12 Jan18 Dec29 Dec07 (dominguez hu)GONZALEZ CESAR 118 6.00    
IMPONENTE Mar20 Mar07 Jan11     (barboza victor)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.00 7% 12.40    
HOTTER THAN DEM Apr17 Apr02 Feb21 Jan22 Dec19 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
REAGAN'S RENEGADE Apr18 Apr01 Feb04 Jan21 Dec19 (miller c)FERRER C 116 10.00    
VIRGIN ISLAND NICE Apr26 Apr11 Apr01 Mar13 Feb22 (drake robe)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 115 30.00    
AMERICA LIVES Apr15 Aug12 Aug14 Jun20   (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 125 15.00 7% 13.50    
STILLNOHASSLEJJ Apr26 Jun22 May25 Apr27   (torres p)RODRIGUEZ O 125 8.00    
 
TAM-5   05/03/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COERCIVE Apr22 Mar27 Jan17 Dec26 Nov19 (richards renal)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
LADY KHOZ Apr19 Jun27 May30 May08 Apr10 (ryan s)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00 11% 7.80    
GRAY BEAST Apr11 Mar28 Feb20 Jan25 Jan04 (richards)RODRIGUEZ O 116 3.50    
HE'S SIDE EYED Apr15 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 May03 (torres pab)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 113 6.00    
CHEQUERA Apr22 Apr01 Mar14 Feb07 Dec17 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 125 10.00    
MILA'S WISH Jan31 Jan08 Nov14 Sep19 Sep01 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 6.00    
FIRE BARON Apr18 Apr11 Apr01 Mar16 Feb28 (ellebrac)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 18% 4.60    
IL VAGABUNDO Mar04 Jan17 Dec05 Nov09 Oct05 (cordero-lopez )GIL CIPRIANO 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
OH' WHAT A DAY Apr15 Mar18 Jul11     (bennett s)HO WESLEY 125 15.00    
 
TAM-6   05/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK CANDY Jan30 Jan17 Dec26 Nov25 Nov04 (tomczak m)HERRERA R 118 20.00    
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Apr10 Mar13 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 (poole jeffre)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
JUST RELAX Mar11 Feb18 Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
LITIGANT Feb13 Jan24 Dec24 Dec13 Nov22 (ochoa gerard)COTTO L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
MEGAN'S HONOR Apr17 Apr01 Feb25 Feb18 Jan24 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 1.00 42% 1.40    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Mar18 Jan25 Jan03 Dec17 Nov19 (cudworth paul)LEON A 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   05/03/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESURGO Apr18 Mar13       (gardea abraham)HO WESLEY 121 12.00    
NOBLE FACTOR Mar21 Feb20 Jan25 Dec26 Dec12 (arriagada juan)GIL CIPRIANO 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
AEGON TARGARYEN Apr18 Mar22 Jan24 Jan09 Dec13 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
STREET EARNINGS Mar04 Dec05 Aug28 Aug09 Mar30 (casse mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 10.00    
ELDEST SON Apr18 Mar21 Feb20 Jan24 Jan17 (simone m)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
AMERICAN UNITY Apr26 Apr08 Mar28 Feb18 Feb07 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00 5% 18.80    
FORTUNE SELLER Oct20 Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 Jul03 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 15.00 10% 9.30    
JUAN CAMANEY Apr25 Apr15 Apr03 Jul26 Jun14 (gardea abraha)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 30.00    
SCR  THUNDERING Apr11 Mar04 Jan25 Dec26 Nov08 (ryan s)GONZALEZ CESAR 118 3.50    
 
TAM-8   05/03/2026 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING MORPHEUS         (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of PRIZE INFORMANT by MARCIANO)
GUN POLICY Mar29 Mar07       (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROCKY POLICY by ROCK SLIDE)
MO BEACH TIME Mar27 Feb27 Feb07 Jan18 Sep18 (goodwin g)HESS SARA 119 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
VALIANT SUPRISE         (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 119 20.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of SUNNY SUPRISE by SUN KING)
JAMALAMADINGDONG Mar29 Jan17 Dec06 Nov01   (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LA DI DA LAURA by FACTUM)
STEEL VERDICT         (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 119 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of CLASSIQUE by PLEASANT COLONY)
NEO ZAPPER Apr18 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Jan17 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SWEET ZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
CUDDY'S LUCKY         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of MOLLIE'S MAGIC by FACTUM)
ON THE ROX         (hardesty lesliel)FERRER C 119 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SOLID SENDER by EARLY FLYER)
10  THIRSTED Apr12 Apr01 Feb21 Feb04 Dec12 (simone m)MARTINEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DELIGHTFUL MOMENT by UNCLE MO)
11  PIC THREE         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
  (by ADCAT out of RITA'S TREAT by BROTHER LIAM)
 
TAM-9   05/03/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLESSING Mar27 Mar12 Feb19 Apr24 Feb21 (charlton)RODRIGUEZ O 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
AVE FENIX Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 Feb19 Jan22 (lizardi amp)MARTINEZ CARLOS 117 30.00    
FAR ABOVE Apr08 Mar27 Mar11 Jan30 Jan04 (dobber w)HO WESLEY 124 10.00    
HURRICANE SEASON Apr26 Apr15 Mar14 Feb21 Feb06 (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 116 6.00 19% 4.20    
FOREVER AGAIN Apr26 Apr05 Feb27 Jan04 Dec20 (alanis franc)MENESES MARCOS 124 1.80    
COUNTRY ECONOMICS Apr08 Mar14 Feb15 Feb06 Jan09 (vazquez jua)FERRER C 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
CATARINA Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 (torres r)SERPA ANGEL 124 12.00    
MUCHO MACHO LADY Apr19 Apr05 Jan23 Jan04 Dec12 (alanis francisco)HESS SARA 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
SAHARA KARA Apr19 Mar22 Nov17 Oct26 Jul20 (ga)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 6% 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.