Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 18, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(5/4/7)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(4/2/5)-(1/3/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(1/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(1/3/4/9)-(6/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/6/9)-(1/3/4/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/9)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/9)-(6/2/1)-(1/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(1/7/6)-(8/9/1/6/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(8/9/1/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(8/9/1/6/2)-(7/2/3/8/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/9/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/6/2)-(8/9/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/6/2)-(8/9/1/6/2)-(8/9/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/1/6/2)-(7/2/3/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/6/2)-(7/2/3/8/9)-(2/9/7/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (7/2/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/8/9)-(7/2/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/8/9)-(7/2/3/8/9)-(7/2/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/3/8/9)-(2/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/8)-(2/9/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/8)-(2/9/7/8/3)-(2/9/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/18/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA'S ANGEL Mar18 Feb18 Feb05 Jan18 Jan09 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SING SCAT Apr10 Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 Feb05 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
3  LA VECCHIA SIGNORA Apr04 Mar11 Feb14 Jan30 Jan09 (avila ju)RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.50 ★    
4  THREE RUN BOLT Apr12 Mar20 Mar11 Feb18 Jan30 (vargas j)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00    
5  TOO HOT TO STOP Mar20 Feb18 Feb05 Jan09 Dec20 (rarick lynn)HO WESLEY 119 15.00    
6  SWEET NOLA Mar20 Feb18 Jan30 Jan18 Dec13 (arria)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.50 67% 0.50    
7  OLGA Apr10 Mar25 Mar06 Feb18 Jan25 (harris w)LEON SONNY 119 2.00 7% 13.10    
8  CLASSIC BALLAD Mar25 Feb22 Feb12 Jan23 Jan09 (smith g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
 
TAM-2   04/18/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Apr10 Feb22 Feb06 Jan07 Dec05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
2  CHACARERA Apr03 Mar04 Feb18 Feb05 Jan23 (posadas )MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
3  UNICYCLE Apr03 Feb05 Jan23 Jan14 Dec17 (lopez r)LYNCH NATALIA 109 20.00    
4  PEMBERLEY Mar15 Mar05 Feb12 Jan02 Nov07 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 121 1.20 18% 4.50    
5  ALLONS Mar14 Feb12 Oct17 Oct03 Sep04 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND Apr10 Mar18 Feb08 Jan22 Aug18 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 119 5.00    
7  STORMY MITOLE Mar25 Mar04 Feb08 Jan02 Nov26 (padilla tim)HO WESLEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   04/18/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YADIRAYADIRAYADIRA Apr03 Mar14 Feb28 Aug17 Jun20 (curto j)SERPA ANGEL 125 10.00    
2  EL RABANO Apr11 Apr01 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 (lopez r)LYNCH NATALIA 113 15.00 6% 16.30    
3  AMAURY M. V. P. Apr03 Jan25 Jan09 Nov26 Oct31 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 4.00 ★    
4  NO MERLOT Apr03 Feb22 Oct24 Sep19 Sep01 (hemingway michel)LEON SONNY 125 0.50 69% 0.40    
5  KADAR INDY Mar14 Jan21 Jan09 Dec17 Apr25 (drake robe)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JEFFERSONIAN Mar27 Feb28 Jan25 Jan11 Dec26 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 118 20.00    
7  RAPID ROY Jan09 Dec26 Mar26 Feb28 Dec27 (paramo marti)CASIQUE UBARDO 125 15.00    
8  BABYBACK Apr01 Feb13 Oct18 Sep07 Oct12 (acksel j)MARTINEZ A 125 30.00    
 
TAM-4   04/18/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARKIS Feb28 Jan17 Dec29     (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 125 1.40 38% 1.60    
2  TRIPLE STITCHED Apr01 Feb12 Feb04 Apr18   (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 30.00    
3  GOLDINTHESKY Jan03 Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 Feb14 (torres p)RODRIGUEZ O 125 3.00 32% 2.20    
4  ALL THE LUCK Apr01 Mar14 Feb28 Feb06 Jan14 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 125 8.00 6% 16.50    
5  FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Mar14 Feb13 Jan14 Dec17 Jun05 (torres p)MARTINEZ A 125 20.00    
6  BERNARDO'S LEGACY Jan31 Dec27 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 (orseno josep)GONZALEZ CESAR 118 6.00 ★    
7  SHARP WONDER Apr10 Sep21 Sep02 Jul28 Jun23 (gallegos a)HO WESLEY 125 5.00    
8  HAPPY MOMENTS Apr03 Jan30       (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 30.00    
9  FIRE BARON Apr11 Apr01 Mar16 Feb28 Jan25 (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  KENRIC Apr03 Mar14 Feb28 Feb13 Jan14 (davis rick)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 113 30.00    
 
TAM-5   04/18/2026 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX FORTYFIVE Mar22 Feb21 Jan30 Jan07 Dec13 (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Oct16 Sep24 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 (alanis franci)ROJAS MARTINA 119 12.00 35% 1.90    
3  CODE NAME Mar18 Feb15 Jan11 Dec24 Nov02 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.00    
SCR  THE BEST DISTANCE Mar28 Feb20 Feb01 Jan14 Jan07 (gallegos a)HO WESLEY 123 2.00    
5  INTO IT Feb07 Jan25 Jan03 Nov27 Oct03 (breen j)CENTENO E 119 5.00    
6  ELDEST SON Mar21 Feb20 Jan24 Jan17 Dec27 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Apr11 Jan24 Jan17 Dec27 Nov29 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
8  POST COMMAND Mar21 Feb21 Jan17 Dec20 Nov28 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 119 4.00 ★    
9  JOURNEYMAN Apr04 Mar04 Feb06 Jan17 Dec13 (wright w)FERRER C 119 5.00    
 
TAM-6   04/18/2026 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36.5K) 3 F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTHENTIC WAVE Feb20 Jan28 Dec28 Nov16 Oct12 (klesaris steve)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
2  COURAGEOUS DIANE Apr04 Mar07 Feb12 Feb01 Oct01 (vazquez juan)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
3  LOLA'S ROMANCE Mar08 Feb25 Feb01 Jan18   (narvaez carlos)LEON SONNY 118 4.00    
4  KIONA Apr04 Mar18 Feb27 Jan30 Nov09 (narvaez ca)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 108 30.00    
5  ELSIE'S SMILE Mar14 Feb27 Jan30 Oct02 Sep06 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 118 4.00    
6  OH SHEILA Mar21 Feb08 Jan11 Nov23   (guciardo)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  QUESTNBLED'CISIONS Mar29 Mar01 Feb20 Jan28 Jan07 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
8  PRANCIN INTHE DARK Mar14 Mar01 Feb12 Jan28 Jan04 (granitz anthon)GIL CIPRIANO 122 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   04/18/2026 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE CALL Mar22 Feb08 Jan25 Dec13 Nov28 (ryan s)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
2  JACK KEROUAC Mar11 Feb27 Oct24 Sep14 Aug17 (amaya gu)RODRIGUEZ O 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNIQUE POWER Apr08 Mar28 Mar04 Feb15 Sep20 (vargas an)MARIN SAMUEL 126 4.00    
4  MAD DOG N JOE Mar06 Feb07 Jan04 Dec07 Nov20 (wright w)FERRER C 126 3.00    
5  RESURGO Mar13         (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 126 4.00    
6  DOUBLE NEAT Mar22 Mar04 Feb08 Jan01 Dec04 (gallegos)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 13% 6.90    
7  AND THATS MY STORY Mar01 Feb06 Jan21 Dec13 Sep29 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 124 20.00    
8  WINNEBAGO (IRE) Oct16 Sep04 Aug07 Jul05   (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
9  AEGON TARGARYEN Mar22 Jan24 Jan09 Dec13 Nov26 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
10  KID KAOS Mar25 Mar01 Feb05 Dec13 Dec03 (yanez moises)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 30.00    
 
TAM-8   04/18/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRIDSHADOWMOON Apr03 Mar18       (drake ro)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
2  KNOTENLOSERIN         (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 119 4.50 14% 6.00    
3  HIGH GREATNESS         (cordero-lopez )GIL CIPRIANO 119 20.00 7% 13.10    
4  COUNTINGMYBLESSING Mar27 Mar08 Oct25 Sep27   (shaw chris)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
5  REAGAN'S RENEGADE Apr01 Feb04 Jan21 Dec19 Oct05 (miller rory )GONZALEZ CESAR 112 12.00    
6  FAST PRINCE Feb25 Feb15 Jan23 Jan14 Dec31 (rini anthony)SERPA ANGEL 119 8.00    
7  THEY CALL ME SUE Mar18 Mar04 Feb15 Jan31 Dec31 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
8  OUR HOPE RISING         (wasiluk j)LEON A 119 20.00 7% 13.10    
9  DESI'S TROUBLE         (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 119 15.00 7% 13.10    
10  ILLUSTRATION Apr11 Dec06 Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
11  GRANDPA'S ACE Mar28 Mar04       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
12  JIMMY THE SAINT         (stewart )RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00    
SCR  STRATEGICOPERATION         (arria)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 5.00    
 
TAM-9   04/18/2026 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MAGIC SPEED Mar27 Mar11       (mazza w)SERPA ANGEL 119 20.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of SAL AND PEG by BOB AND JOHN)
2  OBRA PRIMA         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.40 32% 2.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PAULISTINHA by TAPIT)
3  SIX O CLOCK         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 ★    
  (by THE FACTOR out of KISS MORE by MORE THAN READY)
4  FIFTY TWO FIFTY Mar29         (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 119 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of SHIRLEY SHE CAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  GRAY OBSESSION Mar29         (hamm tim)RODRIGUEZ O 119 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WICKED OBSESSION by TAPIT)
6  MO ACTION Jan18 Dec10       (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of NIKKI'S CHOICE by FORESTRY)
7  NEO ZAPPER Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Jan17 Dec06 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SWEET ZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  ESSENTIAL CHARM         (delacour arnaud)HO WESLEY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  CHESTER BOY         (clement miguel)GIL CIPRIANO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of IN FRONT by WAR FRONT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.