Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - April 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/2/1)-(4/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(4/6/7)-(6/10/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-5   WIN (6/10/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/2/4)-(6/10/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/2/4)-(6/10/2/4/9)-(6/10/2/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(6/5/7/2)-(2/12/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (6/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/2)-(2/12/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-8   WIN (2/12/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/12/3/9/6)-(2/12/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/12/3/9/6)-(2/12/3/9/6)-(2/12/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-2   04/16/2026 3300ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPER STORM Mar14 Jan03 Sep27 Sep11 Jun28 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 1.60 65% 0.50    
2  MOON FACTOR Mar15 Mar06 Jan30 Jan17 Nov23 (torrez jere)HAMILTON WESTON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUR MOON PIE Apr04 Feb07 Jan10 Dec10 Nov14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 ★    
4  DR SKYSCRAPER Mar27 Mar06 Feb15 Jan11 Jan02 (davidson b)ALVAREZ L 124 3.50    
5  CHASING THE RUSH Mar22 Feb28 Jan30 Jan10 Nov28 (hernandez tiff)LUZZI J 124 8.00    
6  VALDINA DREAMS Mar22 Feb07 Sep06 Aug12 Jun07 (payne w)CANUTO THIAGO 124 2.50    
 
LS-3   04/16/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWS TOO SERIOUS Mar19 Feb16 Dec20 Sep24   (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  JAWDROPPER Apr03 Mar15 Feb21 Dec20 Oct03 (cravens ronni)RIVERA SANTOS 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  CLARISIT Apr03 Mar15 Feb19 Jan09 Nov13 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  ZAPPER M         (d)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
5  SHE'S SPELLBOUND Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Sep18 Jul04 (herreros step)FUENTES MARIO 124 8.00    
6  CRAZY CAROLINE Feb13 Jan17 Jan04     (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 3.00    
 
LS-4   04/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF BROWN Mar28 Mar01 Jan18 Nov19 Jul11 (gelner j)LUZZI J 122 1.80    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of BIG MARA by BIG BROWN)
2  FOUR JIM Mar28 Jan18 Jan02     (castellanos j)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BUMFOOJALUM by GRINDSTONE)
SCR  BLAME DA INNOCENT Mar28 Mar01       (dunl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of INNOCENT by BLAME)
4  HEAT UM UP Mar28 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18   (hjort donna)DIEGO V 122 2.00 49% 1.10    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of STILLED by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  HOOS FOOS Mar28 Mar15 Mar01     (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 4.50    
  (by CARIBBEAN JACK out of MOLLY WARMFLASH by GRASSHOPPER)
6  ANOTHER CROSSBOW Dec16 Nov03       (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by CROSSBOW out of LADY DON'T CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  HE MIGHT GO         (morgan kevi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of ALPINE STRAWBERRY by FORT LARNED)
 
LS-5   04/16/2026 4950ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S MISCHIEF Mar28 Mar14 Jan30 Jan04 Dec12 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 20.00    
2  TEXAS CREED Mar27 Jan17 Jan02 Sep20 Aug29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
3  SUMMER HELP Mar21 Feb28 Jan30 Jan17 Sep05 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
4  DROBNY Mar29 Mar15 Jan02 Dec11 Nov20 (ram)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARIES HONOR Mar21 Mar01 Feb08 Jan31 Jan10 (davidson sara)FUENTES MARIO 124 8.00    
6  ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 Nov20 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
7  SUPERSECRETWEAPON Apr04 Mar15 Feb22 Jan17 Jun08 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 8.00    
8  SINGING DIXIE Mar21 Mar01 Jan30 Jan11 Oct05 (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
9  PINEHURST (IRE) Mar28 Mar06 Dec06 Sep16 Aug09 (roubion ste)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00 ★    
10  RIVETAGE Mar15 Mar01 Jan30 Dec13 Nov13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  RANGO Apr04 Mar01 Jan30 Dec17 Nov29 (willis mindy)PARKER L 124 15.00    
SCR  MONEYSTRIKE Apr02 Mar01 Jan23 Oct17 Sep16 (s)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
 
LS-6   04/16/2026 4620ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL AGENDA Mar20 Feb13 Jan10 Dec06 Nov14 (craddock kari)PARKER L 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by TWILIGHT AGENDA out of ALWAYS IN FASHION by IRISH OPEN)
2  HIDALGO Mar01         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 ★    
  (by BENNY THE BULL out of DEVELOPING STORY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  COASTAL WARRIOR Mar20         (eoff terry)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of MINNELLI by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  CODY THE KID Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 Feb01 Dec20 (george wayne)HUAMAN A 122 20.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL MOONLIGHT by BRAHMS)
5  BRILLIANT PLAN Mar28         (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SUGARCRAFT by BERNARDINI)
6  ESSENTIAL STORM Mar20 Feb13 Jan10 Oct10 Sep18 (scholl kevin)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of GAELIC GOLD by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  COMBAT CARL         (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of MORNING MOLLY by MORNING LINE)
8  CURLIN'S UNION Oct30 Sep18       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISS CURLIN by CURLIN)
 
LS-7   04/16/2026 4290ft DIRT RC11 Bluebonnet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCATTERED MISCHIEF Mar28 Mar13 Feb27 Feb14 Jan24 (c)DE CRUZ 116 20.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of SCATTERED MIST by SCAT DADDY)
2  SUCCESSFULPATH Mar21 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Jan09 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SIGNALPATH by ESKENDEREYA)
3  STACY'S PRINCESS Mar27 Feb28 Jun20 May17 Apr04 (uriegas henry)HUAMAN A 122 20.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
4  BLUSHING BELLE Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 Jan31 Jan17 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BLUSHING BEAUTY by BLUSHING JOHN)
5  TOO MUCH KIKI Mar21 Jan24 Nov24 Jul05 May26 (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 120 1.40 25% 3.10    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SOFT MUSIC by ACTION THIS DAY)
6  MODO Mar21 Feb05 Dec28 Nov14 May24 (larose kinnon)LUZZI J 124 0.80 43% 1.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ACADEMY ROAD by LEMON DROP KID)
7  NAVAL WOMAN Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 May02 Mar29 (pish danny)PARKER L 122 12.00 10% 8.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of THISTLE BEAR by GATORS N BEARS)
8  GLOBAL HOLIDAY Mar13 Feb22 Feb13 Jan24 Oct31 (davidson b)ALVAREZ L 120 30.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of REALLY CHARMING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
LS-8   04/16/2026 5280ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLY RED BIRD FLY Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 (rivera j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 12.00    
2  BINARY CODE Mar13 Feb21 Jan23 Jul13 Jun07 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
3  WHISKEY OVER ICE Mar21 Mar13 Sep10 Jun19 May29 (gomez david )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  GRIND JIM Apr04 Mar13 Feb22 Jan23 Jan04 (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 124 3.50    
5  CAUSE IM THE KING Mar29 Mar14 Mar07 Feb14 Jan16 (carter marvin)HUAMAN A 124 30.00    
6  ROCKY ROCK IT Mar27 Mar01 Feb14 Jan11 Jan02 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROMAN EAGLE Mar13 Feb22 Jan10 Jan04 Dec11 (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.00    
SCR  HEATS HERO Feb21 Jan31 Jan01 Dec20 Sep26 (pish danny)PARKER L 124 10.00    
9  TAP TO CONNECT Apr04 Mar28 Feb27 Jan04 Dec06 (c)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRADIX Mar29 Mar14 Feb14 Jan16 Jan02 (padilla carl)ALVAREZ L 124 30.00    
SCR  SIPPIN SCOTCH Mar21 Mar13 Feb08 Jan04 Nov20 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
12  JUST BERNIE Mar13 Feb22 Jan23 Dec14 Nov22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  NORTH OF BALI Mar21 Feb22 Jan15 Dec11 Nov05 (cangemi dan)WETHEY JR 124 10.00    
14  RUNNING POINT Mar27 Feb27 Feb08 Jul30 Jun16 (ashford trista)LUZZI J 118 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.