Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 21, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(3/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8)-(3/7/8/5)-(8/6/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/5)-(8/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/5)-(8/6/2/5)-(3/8/5/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/9/5)-(8/6/2/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/2/5)-(3/8/5/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/5)-(3/8/5/6/1)-(3/2/1/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (3/8/5/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/6/1)-(3/8/5/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/6/1)-(3/8/5/6/1)-(3/8/5/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/5/6/1)-(3/2/1/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/6/1)-(3/2/1/4/9)-(6/10/9/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (3/2/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4/9)-(3/2/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4/9)-(3/2/1/4/9)-(3/2/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4/9)-(6/10/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4/9)-(6/10/9/4)-(6/4/7/3/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (6/10/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/9/4)-(6/10/9/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/9/4)-(6/10/9/5/4)-(6/10/9/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/10/9/4)-(6/4/7/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/10/9/4)-(6/4/7/3/10)-(7/5/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/4/7/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3/10)-(6/4/7/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3/10)-(6/4/7/3/10)-(6/4/7/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3/10)-(7/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/3/10)-(7/5/4/1)-(6/2/4/10/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(6/2/4/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/2/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/10/7)-(6/2/4/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/10/7)-(6/2/4/10/7)-(6/2/4/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   03/21/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEADY FLO Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 Dec31 Dec10 (bennett g)ARANGUREN JOHANIS 110 20.00    
HUMOR SENSE Feb18 Jan23 Dec19 Nov29 Oct17 (ochoa ger)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 10.00    
BAHA SECRET Mar08 Feb14 Jan31 Jan10 Jul25 (torres pab)MEJIAS A 113 4.00 20% 3.90    
RIP RIDING AWAY Mar30 Mar21 Feb19 Jan17 Dec20 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
SPECIAL AFFAIR Mar06 Feb18 Feb05 Jan23 Jan04 (hernandez )FERNANDEZ MARVIN 108 15.00    
MAMA DRAMA Mar07 Feb27 Feb06 Jan09 Jul18 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
ST BERNADETTE Feb18 Jan24 Nov03 Oct15 Oct01 (cordero-lopez )GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00    
NELIDA Mar01 Feb12 Jan21 Dec26 Nov28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   03/21/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF CHILL Mar11 Feb18 Jun14 May02 Mar23 (ashmore m)FERRER C 120 30.00    
SCR  TWIZZLE Feb25 Feb18 Jan16 Dec26 Dec12 (curto beverl)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 4.00    
D' TIGER LILY Feb12 Jan16 Dec26 Oct15 Sep14 (wilson tony)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 3.50 27% 2.70    
LA GATA SALVAJE Feb27 Feb18 Feb01 Dec26 Dec17 (birdwell )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 15.00    
LADY IN HEELS Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 Dec05 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) Mar01 Jan28 Dec12 Dec05 Aug24 (arnett g)HO WESLEY 120 2.50    
RED ELEANOR Mar06 Feb21 Feb08 Jan28 Dec26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
BAYOU MELODY Feb25 Feb12 Jan25 Nov18 Nov04 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-3   03/21/2026 7260ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STITZY Feb21 Feb13 Oct01 Sep18 Aug14 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 114 30.00    
EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Feb21 Jan17 Jan04 Oct20 Sep30 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
JOE FROM KIEV Mar11 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Jan09 (curto bever)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 112 30.00    
DIAL HIM UP Mar11 Feb14 Jan25 Jan09 Dec20 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 114 30.00    
POST COMMAND Feb21 Jan17 Dec20 Nov28 Oct10 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
IRONSIDES Feb28 Jan16 Dec07 Oct24 Oct12 (gutierrez fausti)FERRER C 117 5.00 20% 4.00    
DABOOM Mar01 Jan24 Jan07 Dec13 Oct23 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
ELDEST SON Feb20 Jan24 Jan17 Dec27 Dec05 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
READY TO FLY Feb21 Dec17 Oct03 Sep14 Aug02 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00    
 
TAM-4   03/21/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED LEGACY Mar07 Jan31 Dec26 Nov23 Jan08 (o'connell kath)GIL CIPRIANO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BELLY DANCE Mar07 Feb08 Jan10 Dec17 Nov22 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 20.00    
NAKED EYE Feb06 Aug08 Jul26 Jul06 Jun07 (arriagada)ARANGUREN JOHANIS 110 2.50 41% 1.40    
LITTLE CARLEY Mar06 Dec26 Apr23 Apr04 Mar22 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ O 120 30.00    
MISS UPROAR Mar13 Aug24 Jul30 Jul06 Jun04 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
DOWN IN THE BAYOU Jan10 Dec17 Oct15 Oct01 Aug15 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DARK WIND Feb27 Feb04 Jan11 Dec19 Nov29 (lusk r)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 15.00    
FUSSY GIRL Mar06 Jan31 Jul06 Jun13 Feb28 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
SPATULA Mar08 Jan11 Dec04 Oct18 Jul13 (minguet r)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 3.50    
10  ADJUST MY HALO Mar07 Feb27 Feb04 Jan11 May30 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 122 30.00    
11  AWESOME SUNSHINE Feb14 Jan02 Nov29 Nov12 Nov01 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 120 30.00    
 
TAM-5   03/21/2026 7260ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME SOME LIES Feb21 Jan17 Dec12 Nov15 Sep20 (orseno f)LEON SONNY 118 3.00 8% 11.20    
SHOW OFF Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 Dec05 Nov15 (gutierrez f)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 9% 10.10    
CRAFTY COLLECTOR Feb21 Feb06 Dec27 Oct31 Sep20 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
BRAVO KITTEN Feb22 Jan23 Dec19 Nov29 Aug31 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 115 10.00 7% 13.60    
ATMIDNIGHT Feb21 Feb08 Jan17 Dec20 Nov02 (orseno josep)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
PLAY FREE BIRD Mar06 Feb06 Jan30 Jan18 Dec26 (aguayo ramon)FERRER C 114 30.00    
CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE Feb21 Jan17 Dec20 Oct06 Sep19 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 115 30.00    
TRUE MYTH Mar04 Feb08 Jan17 Dec26 Nov28 (vanwi)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 15.00    
AMERICANDREAMMAKER Mar13 Feb04 Jan10 Nov19 Dec21 (hemingway mich)GIL CIPRIANO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   03/21/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLORIDA GAL Feb12 Jun06       (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 12.00    
BELLA COCO Feb21 Jan30 Dec24 Dec06 Oct18 (morales gui)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00    
QUEEN PAT Feb14         (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00    
BRIGHTLIKEADIAMOND         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
VISCOUNTESS RED         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 5.00    
VALI VALI VAL Feb21 Feb08       (wilson tony)HO WESLEY 119 3.50 61% 0.60    
APRIL SPUN Feb12 Jan10 Oct11     (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 12.00    
LIZZY LIZ         (collins john)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 20.00    
FIFTYSHADESOFPINK         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 8% 12.20    
10  OH SHEILA Feb08 Jan11 Nov23     (guciardo)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.00 9% 10.40    
 
TAM-7   03/21/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMECULA Feb15 Sep14 Aug11 Jun23 Jun02 (shaw chris)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
TAPIT KISSIT WINIT Aug28 Aug06 Jul11 May24 Nov03 (casse mark)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
HYMN OF HEAVEN Apr27 Mar23       (shaw christophe)SERPA ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
RIGEL Feb20 Jan25 Dec13 Oct03 Sep04 (gallegos a)HO WESLEY 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
MOHS Mar12 Jan26 Dec14 Sep14 Aug23 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
NOBLE FACTOR Feb20 Jan25 Dec26 Dec12 Apr19 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
BELOUNI (FR) Mar01 Jan24 Dec06 Oct18 Aug27 (abreu r)CENTENO E 119 4.00 10% 9.40    
SAM STORMY Jan24 Jan10 Dec24 Oct08 Sep14 (lopez ma)RODRIGUEZ O 119 12.00    
WINE COLLECTOR Mar11 Jul04 May31 Apr27 Mar06 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 119 15.00    
10  TOK TOK Feb20 Jan17 Dec24 Oct24 Mar30 (ryan derek )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   03/21/2026 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEFTNATEAWALKIN Feb27 Jan24 Oct13 Sep19 Aug13 (davis sc)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKSTAR CASANOVA Sep19 Sep01       (ferraro ant)ROJAS MARTINA 118 30.00    
MR IN PERSONAL Feb21 Nov02 Oct16 Sep17   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
HE GONE Feb14 Jan17 Dec27 Nov02   (rivelli )GALLARDO A 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
CADEMAN Mar06 Feb11 Jan09 Oct11 Sep14 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
WINE CANDY Mar05 Sep06 Aug09 Jun29 May02 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00    
TALLMAR Jan16 Dec06       (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  ELSTON GUNNN Feb27 Jan24 Jan09 Oct12 Sep06 (birdwell tena)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
WISHMASTER Sep29 Aug29 Jul30     (bi)DA FAUSTO 118 20.00    
SCR  BEST MINET YET Feb25         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 6.00    
 
TAM-9   03/21/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOBBYIST         (sacco gregory)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00    
ANDERMAN         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
RAY OF LOV Mar06 Feb15       (lopez mar)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 10.00    
THIS BEAU KNOWS Aug27 Aug03       (gulick j)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
CHINGU Mar11 Dec12 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 (rountree cat)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
ROYAL MERIT Mar07 Feb21       (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
EL CAPRICHOSO         (lopez mario )CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
D REMBRANDT Feb15 Jan18 Dec12     (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 15.00    
MY REMBRANDT Feb21 Dec16 Nov18     (bi)DA FAUSTO 119 15.00    
10  TIMSHEL         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 4.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  FINEST GAMBLE Mar15 Feb20       (grossman bruce)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
SCR  LUCKCREST Mar08 Jan25 Jan02 Dec14   (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 119 20.00    
SCR  HE'S MY UNCLE Mar15 Feb15 Feb04 Dec26 Nov29 (bi)DA FAUSTO 119 3.00    
SCR  MAGNUS GOLD Feb12 Jan23 Dec19 Nov26   (narvaez carlos)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.