Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(2/6/1)-(10/7/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(10/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(10/7/4/9)-(3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (10/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/4/9)-(10/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/4/9)-(10/7/4/9)-(10/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/4/9)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/7/4/9)-(3/2/1)-(8/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(8/4/6/5)-(7/1/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/5)-(7/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/5)-(7/1/3/2)-(2/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/2)-(2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/2)-(2/3/10)-(3/7/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/10)-(2/3/1/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/10)-(2/3/1/8/10)-(2/3/1/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/10)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/10)-(3/7/1/5)-(2/9/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/5)-(2/9/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/15/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY DELIVERY Feb22 Jan24 Jan04 Dec27 Dec12 (lopez ra)LEON A 118 5.00    
2  PEMBERLEY Mar05 Feb12 Jan02 Nov07 Oct12 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.40 58% 0.70    
3  HONORABLE CHILL Mar01 Jan21 Nov28 Oct19 Oct05 (lawrence james)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHAKREVENGE Jan09 Dec26 Sep19 Sep06 Aug17 (avila c)BATISTA A 118 4.00    
5  C C GIRL Feb20 Jan30 Jan04 Dec20 Nov22 (wilson tony)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 3.00    
6  MISHKA Feb05 Jan23 Dec19 Nov28 Sep06 (torres pab)MEJIAS A 111 10.00 9% 9.80    
 
TAM-2   03/15/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COX CANYON Feb28 Feb05 Jan21 Jan03 Dec17 (wasiluk pete)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 8.00 10% 9.40    
2  AMERICAN FARMER Feb20 Feb05 Jan08 Dec24 Aug01 (wilensky sam)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  HOLIDAY FANTASY Feb21 Jan21 Jan03 Dec17 Nov22 (padilla tim)LEON SONNY 122 8.00    
4  SURPRISE PACKAGE Feb07 Jan16 Nov29 Oct01 Aug31 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
5  AZURE SKY Feb27 Feb05 Sep20 Sep05 Aug20 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 15.00    
6  CONSPIRACY FACT Feb22 Feb08 Jan25 Dec24 Nov22 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Mar08 Feb27 Feb18 Jan24 Jan16 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 122 5.00    
 
TAM-3   03/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIMUELO Feb19 Dec04 Nov02 Sep26 Sep07 (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
2  MAGIC MIKEY Feb18 Jan14 Dec19 Aug27 Aug15 (seale christ)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
3  CHAOS COMIN Feb04 Jan14 Dec31 Dec06   (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
4  WISE WORDS Feb18 Jan23 Dec19 Aug30 Jul12 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  MORAL POWER Feb20 Jan11 Jan02 Dec19 Dec06 (posadas )RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00    
SCR  IF I CAN DREAM Feb20 Feb01 Jan09 Dec21 Oct25 (gallegos a)HO WESLEY 118 4.00    
7  WIN WINNIE WIN Mar06 Feb15 Jan18 Jan09 Dec13 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  HIGH YIELD HUNK Feb18 Jan23 Dec31 Dec06 Nov10 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 4.00    
9  FUTURE BLUES Feb12 Feb04 Dec05 Nov02 Sep14 (maher edward)CENTENO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  JES SEE ME Feb18 Jan14 Oct13 Sep19 Sep09 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 118 0.80 59% 0.70    
 
TAM-4   03/15/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIV HAS RIZZ Feb28 Feb11       (englehart jef)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOUBLE MILES Feb28 Jan22 Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 (simone v)LEON SONNY 119 4.00 15% 5.80    
3  HE'S MY UNCLE Feb15 Feb04 Dec26 Nov29 Oct18 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.40 59% 0.70    
4  LEONIDAS STAND Feb12 Feb04       (englehart jeffr)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
5  MIKI JAK Feb28 Jan25 Jan02 Dec19 Nov26 (sano antonio)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
6  FESTIVITIES Feb21         (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00    
7  ALWAYS BOURBON Dec31         (harty eoin)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'VE GOT THE HONEY Feb13 Jan18 Aug31 Aug16 Jul20 (casse mark)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
SCR  MAY GRAY Feb14 Jan10       (proctor thomas)MARIN SAMUEL 118 0.80    
3  GO MISCHIEVOUS Feb13 Jan18 Oct11 Sep18 Jul18 (lawrence james)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00    
4  TULULO Jan30 May22       (gallegos a)CENTENO E 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  WINE PARTY Jan18 Oct16 Sep24 Aug31   (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FRENCH TIP Jan21         (proctor thomas)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 12% 7.60    
7  TAMARACK Sep20         (garrett ty )QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
8  ONE SWEET GIRL Jan31 Jan09 Nov23 Oct17 Sep13 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.20 49% 1.00    
 
TAM-6   03/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE DAT Feb01 Dec20 Jan31     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  LUCKY LIL KISS Feb28 Feb08 Oct31     (alanis francisco)HESS SARA 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  NIFTY'S SPIRIT Feb08         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GONE A LIL WEST Feb20 Feb08 Oct26 Sep13   (rodriguez )MEJIAS A 113 30.00    
5  MS. AVENTINA Aug15 Aug30       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
6  MAGGIES BREW Feb28 Jan17 Dec31 Jul12 Jun21 (pimental john )CASTANON L 122 4.50    
7  BLAZING AFFAIR Feb08 Jan03 Nov28 Aug08 Jul12 (gulick m)LEON SONNY 120 1.00 38% 1.70    
 
TAM-7   03/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTRIAL WIND Mar01 Jan30 Dec24 Nov19 Aug31 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 ★    
2  SHE'S THE RAGE Feb28 Jan30 Dec24     (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 119 1.20 41% 1.40    
3  KATHLEEN'S DERBY Feb21 Jan30 Jan02 Nov23 Oct03 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 35% 1.90    
4  MOR MISS MOJO Feb21 Feb11 Jan16 Dec06   (dobber ar)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 30.00    
5  D DOLLY'S GIRL Feb28 Jan30 Jan14 Dec06 Nov19 (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 15.00    
SCR  DADDY'S LOVE Jan30         (morzan ja)HERRERA R 119 30.00    
7  BLACK FLY Feb27 Feb06 Jan16 Dec19   (lusk r)ROJAS MARTINA 119 30.00    
8  PRECIOUS SIGHT Feb25 Jan24 Jan16     (moysey c)MARTINEZ A 119 4.50 ★    
9  GIVEMEACOOKIE Feb28 Feb13 Jan24 Sep06 Aug13 (goodwin g)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
10  RICH LADY         (yanez moises)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  R SKYLINE Feb27 Jan30 Dec06 Nov01   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
SCR  KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 Jan02 Dec13 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
SCR  LOOKIN LOVELY Feb11 Jan16 Jan02 Nov29   (bennett gera)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 2.00    
14  G ONE BOUND Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
 
TAM-8   03/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVO D'ORO Jan14 Dec05 Aug03 May30 May02 (castro m)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  GARY'S FLYING LION Mar01 Feb10 Dec23 Dec08 Nov17 (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
3  BREATH DEEPLY Feb11 Jan16 Dec12 Oct15 Sep30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 4.00 43% 1.30    
4  LOYAL CLEMENT Mar01 Jan28 Jan11 Dec26 Oct03 (amaya gu)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
5  K PAZ Mar01 Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Sep20 (cudworth paul)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PROFITABILITY Mar01 Feb11 Jan11 Dec26 Dec12 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
7  FIT TO FIRE Jan28 Dec31 Nov19 Apr30 Apr09 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 16% 5.40    
8  REDBIRD NATION Mar01 Jan28 Dec13 May24 Apr12 (arriagada ju)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 3.00    
9  HE'S SIDE EYED Mar01 May03 Apr23 Mar12 Feb23 (torres pab)MEJIAS A 111 20.00    
 
TAM-9   03/15/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISSION MIKE Feb22 Feb04 Jan07 Dec27 Dec05 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
2  PASSIONED Feb22 Jan25 Jan14 Dec05 Nov08 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  DENYING Feb20 Feb08 Oct16 Sep19 Sep01 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 118 4.00    
4  EVERDOIT Mar08 Feb21 Feb05 Jan14 Dec27 (gonzalez luis )CASTANON L 118 30.00    
5  STONE COLD FLEX Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 Dec10 Nov01 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANCHISES Mar04 Feb15 Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 (mendieta ale)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00 7% 13.40    
7  STYLE ME ROYAL Feb01 Nov29 Sep13 Aug27 Aug13 (maher edward)HESS SARA 118 5.00    
8  COOL RAGS Mar06 Feb21 Feb07 Jan23 Nov28 (gonzalez )ARANGUREN JOHANIS 108 30.00    
9  LACE UP Jan17 Jan04 Dec03 Nov08 Oct18 (wilson tony)HO WESLEY 118 8.00 18% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.