Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 06, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/4)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/4)-(2/1/6)-(9/3/5/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(9/3/5/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(9/3/5/1/7)-(1/2/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/3/5/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/1/7)-(9/3/5/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/1/7)-(9/3/5/1/7)-(9/3/5/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/5/1/7)-(1/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/1/7)-(1/2/6/8)-(8/11/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/8)-(8/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/8)-(8/11/4)-(5/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/11/4)-(8/11/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/11/4)-(8/11/4/3/9)-(8/11/4/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/11/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/11/4)-(5/6/4)-(2/3/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(2/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(1/5/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4/5)-(2/3/8/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/8/4)-(1/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/4)-(1/5/2/7)-(6/5/9/11) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7)-(6/5/9/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/5/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/11)-(6/5/9/10/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/11)-(6/5/9/10/11)-(6/5/9/10/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/06/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLINA STAR Feb20 Feb05 Jan28 Dec10 Oct26 (cordero enie)BATISTA A 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  LADY LYLA Jan23 Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 Sep11 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 122 10.00    
SCR  I'M HUNGOVER Feb21 Jan23 Jan03 Dec10 Oct19 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00    
4  GAMBI Feb05 Jan14 Jan04 Dec27 Oct06 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEW CENTSATION Feb21 Jan23 Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 (avila juan)MEJIAS A 115 8.00    
6  SEXPECTATIONS Feb20 Feb04 Dec19 Oct11 Sep13 (pompay te)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 115 6.00    
7  FORGET TOMORROW Feb21 Jan16 Dec19 Dec10 Oct16 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
8  JESS'S BREW Feb01 Jan11 Jun22 Apr23 Feb19 (cudworth )HERRERA R 122 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
TAM-2   03/06/2026 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDERO Feb04 Dec10 May16     (vitali marcu)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  CADEMAN Feb11 Jan09 Oct11 Sep14 Aug16 (richards renal)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  HARD TALK Feb11 Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov26 (miller rory)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.50    
4  UNION CAIT Jan23 Dec31 Dec10 Nov02 Oct16 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 120 4.00    
5  CHARLIE MAC MAC Feb11 Jan23 Sep20 Sep03 Jul27 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00    
6  WIN WINNIE WIN Feb15 Jan18 Jan09 Dec13 Nov01 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   03/06/2026 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEO ZAPPER Feb05 Jan17 Dec06 Aug02 Jul13 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 15.00 6% 16.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SWEET ZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  BEACH BEAMER Feb05 Dec31 Dec06 Aug08   (wilson tony)LEON SONNY 119 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BEAMISH by TEOFILO)
3  INSTABILITY         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of MISS KATIE MAE by DARK ANGEL)
4  RAY OF LOV Feb15         (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  GOLD LIGHT Feb08 Jan17       (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SELECT FRIDAY by KANTHAROS)
6  PARTY BOY Feb21 Feb04 Jan18     (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 119 30.00    
  (by GO FOR GIN out of RAINY DAY WOMAN by STORM BIRD)
7  UNDERTAKER Feb07 Jan18 Dec31 Dec06 Oct23 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAND SLAM out of SUDDEN DEATH by NORTHERN JOVE)
8  LANDING FORCE Feb15 Jan18 Dec26 Nov29 Sep20 (wilson tony)FERRER C 119 10.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RED ROBE by NATHANIEL)
9  DEMOCRACY DEFENDER Jan25         (abreu r)CENTENO E 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
10  PAGE TWO         (oliver v)GALLARDO A 119 20.00    
  (by VICTORIOUS out of ASLI HAN by NO NO BILLY)
11  CRUISING CAT         (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SWEET SUGAREE by TIZNOW)
 
TAM-4   03/06/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KILLY START Feb02 Jan03 Sep21 Aug29 Jul25 (simone mi)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 3.00 57% 0.80    
2  OLGA Feb18 Jan25 Jan11 Dec19 Nov14 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 5.00 11% 8.50    
3  PLAY FREE BIRD Feb06 Jan30 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 120 4.50    
4  HEAVENS EXPRESS Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 Dec27 Dec12 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 115 5.00    
5  JASSAI Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec20 Dec05 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
6  FOXY LADY Feb18 Feb01 Dec17 Dec05 Nov22 (garcia jr)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 6% 15.80    
7  POLA OF TROUBLE Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Jan11 Dec26 (ochoa gerard)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 20.00    
8  RED ELEANOR Feb21 Feb08 Jan28 Dec26 Nov26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   03/06/2026 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLETE RESPONSE Nov22         (casse mark)LEON SONNY 123 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of JEWELIANA by SMART STRIKE)
2  MOSSAD Aug20 Aug30       (ferraro m )MEJIAS A 116 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LITTLEFIREFIGHTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  ST. EMILION Feb14 Sep10 Aug24 Aug05 Jul15 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 123 12.00 ★    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CONQUEST SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  POWER OF WILL Jan11 Oct08 Sep07 Jul23 Jan04 (esler ni)RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of BELLEZZA ROSSO by TAPIT)
SCR  AMERICAN DIRECTION Feb14 Jan28 Jan02 Aug24 Jun14 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of GHOSTLY DIRECTION by LIAM'S MAP)
6  XIAO LONG Feb22 Feb05 Jan17 Jan02 Dec13 (destefano bruc)GIL CIPRIANO 123 30.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FOUR STAR NINJA by DROSSELMEYER)
7  SPURIOUS Feb28 Feb13 Apr09 Mar01 Jan24 (lopez mar)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 116 30.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DONTMESSWITHJOANNE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  ARKHIPOV Jan17 Jun06       (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 123 0.80 49% 1.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of IRELAND'S CALL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  POSITIVE ENERGY Jan30 Jan02 Jun22 May31 May10 (alanis francisco)HESS SARA 123 15.00 ★    
  (by RUBIANO out of ARSENIC AND LACE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  LAST BOTTLE Feb06 Jan17 Sep14     (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 30.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of WINE BOTTLE by DRILL)
11  PACIFIC STANDARD Feb14 Jan30 Jan11 Dec24 Nov29 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 123 5.00 29% 2.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of NATHAN'S MOM BECKY by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
TAM-6   03/06/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZEIRESS Feb15 Dec26 Nov28 Sep21 Aug13 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
2  NESHUME Feb07 Jan17 Dec24 Nov22 Oct26 (cazares )GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
3  EL PRINCIPITO Feb07 Dec26 Nov28 Aug24 Aug03 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 4.00    
4  DREAMING OF KONA Feb15 Jan21 Dec26 Sep09 Aug12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00 9% 9.70    
5  CHROME GHOST Feb07 Dec26 Nov14 Oct11 Apr27 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  MAD HOUSE Nov01 Sep20 Aug23 Jul23 Jun29 (vanwinkle david)LEON SONNY 118 1.40 20% 4.10    
 
TAM-7   03/06/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMA CHORUS Feb07 Jan17 Jan04 Dec05 Oct12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
2  SMART STRIKER Feb18 Feb07 Jan17 Jan04 Dec19 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 119 5.00 58% 0.70    
3  SPANISH NOBLE Feb07 Nov19 Sep20 Aug17 Jul06 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  LORD KNOWS Jul04 Jun01 May03 Apr18 Apr04 (padilla tim)CASTANON L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CREATE TROUBLE Feb07 Dec27 Nov13 Oct11 May29 (dutrow richard)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  RASHID Feb15 Jan16 Dec24 Dec05 Nov02 (gutierre)GALLARDO A 119 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE TRULY Feb20 Feb07 Oct16 Sep23 Sep03 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
8  MAD DOG N JOE Feb07 Jan04 Dec07 Nov20 Oct04 (wright w)FERRER C 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  COACHES MEETING Feb14 Jan09 Jun06 Apr30 Apr13 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 20.00    
10  SYNTACTIC Feb04 Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 Nov15 (delgado jose )ROJAS MARTINA 119 30.00    
11  ESCAPE KEY Feb07 Dec17 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
12  MR CROWLEY Jan04 Dec05 Aug16 Jun21 May24 (harney heather)HESS SARA 119 15.00    
13  COOL RAGS Feb21 Feb07 Jan23 Nov28 Aug01 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ O 119 30.00    
14  OLD FLAG (IRE) Feb15 Feb07 Jan25 Dec27 Nov01 (mcgoey monica)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/06/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PEEKS Jan22 Dec26 Nov23 Oct26 Sep28 (chapman beau)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.40 49% 1.00    
2  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Feb20 Feb05 Dec31 Nov26 Nov09 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
3  TAKE THE GOLD Feb20 Jan31 Jan14 Dec19 Dec10 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00    
4  ZAPATA (IRE) Feb20 Oct17 Sep21 Sep05 Aug21 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
5  DEVELOP PRODUCT Feb20 Feb05 Jan14 Dec20 Nov09 (baez ralph )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  GALLO DE FUEGO Feb15 Nov28 Jul11 Jun12 May15 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00    
7  BIG LOUIE Jan24 Jan11 Dec24 Dec13 Nov26 (dye steve)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   03/06/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPRIXIE Feb18 Oct18 Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 (pompay te)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 12.00    
2  GOLD STAMP Jan31 Jan09 Dec03 Oct23 Aug27 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
3  LITTLE CARLEY Dec26 Apr23 Apr04 Mar22 Mar09 (gonzalez )ARANGUREN JOHANIS 108 30.00    
4  PADRINO'S GOLD Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 Dec27 Dec12 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00    
5  SOUNDTRACK Feb11 Jan24 Dec03 Nov22 Aug07 (goodwin g)HO WESLEY 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  MI BELLA GENIO Jan24 Jan04 Dec20 Dec03 Sep18 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  MEGANTHEEBATTALION Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 Oct04 Sep16 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
8  GO GO STAR Feb18 Jan28 Jan11 May22 Apr12 (ashmore m)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
9  FUSSY GIRL Jan31 Jul06 Jun13 Feb28 Jan26 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 10.00 22% 3.60    
10  SMOOCHERRO Feb14 Jan10 Aug01 Jul03 Jun06 (birdwell ten)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 ★    
11  GOSHAKI GOSHAKI Feb08 Jan24 Jan10 Nov22 Oct11 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  SPECIAL AFFAIR Feb18 Feb05 Jan23 Jan04 Dec19 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 111 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.