Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 04, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/6/1/5)-(1/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/5)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/5)-(1/5/6)-(5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/7/1)-(10/2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(10/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(10/2/5/6)-(7/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/6)-(10/2/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/6)-(10/2/5/6/9)-(10/2/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/5/6)-(7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/2/5/6)-(7/3/4)-(11/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(11/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(11/6/9)-(9/1/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (11/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/6/9)-(11/6/8/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/6/9)-(11/6/8/1/9)-(11/6/8/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/6/9)-(9/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/6/9)-(9/1/8/2)-(10/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/2)-(9/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/2)-(9/1/8/2)-(9/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/8/2)-(10/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/4)-(10/6/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/4)-(10/6/2/1/4)-(10/6/2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZING MINER Feb22 Jan14 Dec19 Dec02 Nov11 (garrett )GALLARDO A 118 10.00 7% 13.70    
2  BEIJING BOSS Jan25 Jan11 Nov14 Oct19 Sep07 (perez l)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00    
3  UNIQUE POWER Feb15 Sep20 Aug29 Jul20 Jan05 (vargas j)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00    
4  KING GERALD Feb05 Jan03 Apr26 Mar30   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  REPETITIVE Jan28         (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  TRAFALGAR'S HERO Jan03 Nov19 Sep05 Aug15 Jun28 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
 
TAM-2   03/04/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIGGITY Jan31 Jan09 Dec13 Oct01 Sep17 (cahill f)LEON SONNY 118 4.00 7% 13.70    
2  EFATA Feb04 Jan23 Dec31 Nov26 Oct11 (delgado )RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00    
3  EL OREJON Feb20 Feb04 Dec19 Nov26 Oct11 (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.40 55% 0.80    
4  BATTALION LEADER Feb18 Jan23 Jan04 Dec26 Dec14 (bacallao-vega jua)HO WESLEY 118 20.00    
5  CANDY ROAD Feb04 Jan16 Oct17 Sep28 Sep07 (dobber ar)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 10.00 5% 18.00    
6  I'M MISCHIEVOUS Feb20 Jan21 Jan02 Dec10 Nov26 (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50 11% 8.30    
7  IL VAGABUNDO Jan17 Dec05 Nov09 Oct05 Aug03 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 5.00    
 
TAM-3   03/04/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYHEMINTHEPALACE Oct11 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (sweezey kent)LEON SONNY 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  CONSPIRACY FACT Feb22 Feb08 Jan25 Dec24 Nov22 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00    
3  NORFIE Jan28 Jan10 Dec24 Oct04 Sep28 (richards ren)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 4.50    
4  SAYBROOK Feb06 Jan11 Dec21 Nov09 Sep28 (perez l)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
5  HEY RIVER Feb03 Jan02 Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 (simone micha)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
6  LUCKY CURLIN Feb12 Jan28 Jan02 Dec12 Nov29 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 8.00 9% 9.60    
7  OFF TO THE RACES Feb14 Jan11 Dec24 Dec03 Oct30 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 20.00    
 
TAM-4   03/04/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHACARERA Feb18 Feb05 Jan23 Jan02 Dec10 (posadas pedro)HESS SARA 123 12.00 10% 8.60    
2  SING SCAT Feb18 Feb05 Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00    
SCR  CHINA BLUE Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 Nov29 Nov07 (mendieta ale)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00    
4  CROSSATI Feb18 Jan09 Dec20 Nov26 Nov19 (raven ker)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 15.00    
5  ARIANA VALENTINA Feb18 Feb08 Jan17 Jan02 Dec05 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
6  TRUE MYTH Feb08 Jan17 Dec26 Nov28 Oct12 (vanwinkle davi)GIL CIPRIANO 121 4.00    
7  STORMY MITOLE Feb08 Jan02 Nov26 Oct03 Sep14 (padilla tim)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-5   03/04/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VESPARO Jan24 Jan09 Dec05 Oct17 Sep20 (huston k)FERRER C 119 20.00    
2  JIBILIAN Feb11 Jan24 Dec31 Nov28 Oct09 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 123 4.00 9% 10.00    
3  TORO FORWARD Feb13 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Dec12 (vanwinkle david)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
4  LAKE CHAPALA Feb13 Jan16 Dec20 Nov29 Sep07 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ O 119 20.00    
5  MAKOA Feb13 Jan24 Jan09 Sep11 Aug13 (rodriguez da)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 2.50 6% 16.60    
6  OUTTAWATERBURY Feb13 Jan30 Jan09 Dec12 Oct22 (wasiluk peter)ROJAS MARTINA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SON OF A SLEW Feb13 Jan16 Dec05 Sep27 Sep06 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 123 5.00    
SCR  DEVELOP PRODUCT Feb20 Feb05 Jan14 Dec20 Nov09 (baez ralph )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
9  SHERMAN FURY Feb20 Jan10 Dec21 Dec05 Nov08 (manchan bertra)GIL CIPRIANO 119 20.00 ★    
10  TIGRE Feb13 Jan16 Dec13 Nov09 Oct24 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
11  ZHU DADDY Feb20 Jan24 Jan16 Dec20 Aug17 (avila juan)MEJIAS A 112 6.00    
SCR  MAGIC HEART Feb20 Jan30 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00    
SCR  JUAN COLORADO Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 Aug17 Aug02 (arnett g)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
SCR  GOD WITH US Feb14 Jan31 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 119 15.00    
 
TAM-6   03/04/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDPA'S ACE         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 ★    
2  TITANIO COCO Jan15 Dec12 Nov02 Oct11 Aug23 (morales )MARTINEZ A 119 12.00    
3  THEY CALL ME SUE Feb15 Jan31 Dec31 Dec10 Oct16 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.80 17% 5.00    
4  MORE THAN CUTE Nov02 Sep27 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 (mcgoey mo)ARANGUREN JOHANIS 109 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  IT'S THE MUSCLEMAN Feb21 Jan31 Sep11 Aug31 Aug15 (mazza joseph)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 20.00    
6  AMERICAN TACT         (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 12.00    
7  PEPPAPETE Feb21 Jan31       (arnett g)LEON SONNY 119 1.20 56% 0.80    
 
TAM-7   03/04/2026 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOURNEYMAN Feb06 Jan17 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 (wright michael)CASTANON L 119 6.00 ★    
2  KEEP IT EASY Nov24 Oct22 May17 Mar01 Nov30 (romans dale)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
3  CABLE READY Jan17 Nov06 Oct11 Sep13 Aug10 (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
4  EQUULEUS Dec24 Jul27 Jun03 Apr08 Feb04 (damen danie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 30.00    
5  ATTACK Feb06 Sep13 Aug23 Aug04 Jul04 (smith rober)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
6  SPIRIT PRINCE Jan17 Nov29 Aug31 Jul19 Nov01 (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.40 27% 2.80    
SCR  MOHS Mar12 Jan26 Dec14 Sep14 Aug23 (mcburney patri)GIL CIPRIANO 119 15.00    
8  STREET EARNINGS Dec05 Aug28 Aug09 Mar30 Feb15 (casse mark)LEON SONNY 119 6.00 ★    
9  SOLIWAY (FR) Feb06 Jan17       (belsoeur yvo)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  EHSAAN Feb06 Jul26 Apr26 Mar07 Feb08 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 12.00    
11  MCRAVIN Jan03 Oct25 Sep20     (toner j)CENTENO E 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  UNCLE'S GOLD Feb28 Jan02 Nov22 Oct18 Sep11 (trombett)GALLARDO A 121 4.50    
SCR  MESERO Jan24 Oct25 Sep28 Sep06 Aug02 (romans dale)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
 
TAM-8   03/04/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET TREASURE Feb13 Feb04 Dec24 Dec12 Nov22 (simone micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 6.00 9% 10.10    
2  CROSS HASTE Jan23 Oct11 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (damen daniel)FERRER C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TODDCHERO Feb07 Jan18 Dec12 Oct15 Sep19 (ward dennis)LEON SONNY 120 3.00    
SCR  BROTHER BRAD Feb14 Jan18 Dec07 Jul19 Jun28 (coy ronald)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 4.00    
5  TRIPLE PASS Feb20 Jan23 Dec17 Dec03 Sep20 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 113 6.00    
6  FINAL DRAMA Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec24 Dec05 (breen j)GIL CIPRIANO 122 8.00    
7  ANCHISES Feb15 Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 Dec24 (mendieta ale)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
8  SANTOS TO WILSON Feb05 Jan15 Dec10 Nov28 Sep28 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 15.00 7% 13.70    
9  BANG A RANG Feb13 Jan25 Jan10 Dec10 Sep19 (mendieta aleja)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
 
TAM-9   03/04/2026 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOARD OF DIRECTORS Apr17         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 ★    
2  THUNDERING Jan25 Dec26 Nov08 Sep27 Aug30 (ryan s)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 3.50 ★    
3  PERSISTEN Feb20 Jan24 Dec24 Nov26 Sep20 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 123 20.00    
4  LORDLY Feb08 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Oct25 (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHARLES J Feb08 Jan25 Nov01 Sep12 Aug09 (lee joseph)FERRER C 119 30.00    
6  CHICAGO THEATRE Jan25 Dec26 Nov26 Mar29 Mar01 (proctor thoma)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
7  WILLPOWERED Jan02 Aug20       (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
8  THREE PERCENT Jan30 Jan11 Jul08 Jun01 May10 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 123 15.00    
9  TUX Jan25 Feb01 Dec07 Nov09   (mott willia)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 112 6.00    
10  DOUBLE NEAT Feb08 Jan01 Dec04 Nov07 Oct10 (gallegos a)CENTENO E 119 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  RELATIVE VALUE (GB) Nov28 Jan03       (brown ch)GALLARDO A 119 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.