Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 28, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (2/10/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/11/5)-(2/10/11/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/11/5)-(2/10/11/7/5)-(2/10/11/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/11/5)-(6/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/10/11/5)-(6/3/1/7)-(8/5/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/7)-(8/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/7)-(8/5/3/1)-(6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/1)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/1)-(6/2)-(2/9/4/11) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/11/8/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/11/8/5/2)-(6/11/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2)-(2/9/4/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(2/9/4/11)-(3/4/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/9/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/11)-(2/9/4/14/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/11)-(2/9/4/14/11)-(2/9/4/14/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/4/11)-(3/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/11)-(3/4/5/6)-(2/6/4/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/6)-(2/6/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/6)-(2/6/4/3/8)-(9/6/5/7/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (2/6/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3/8)-(2/6/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3/8)-(2/6/4/3/8)-(2/6/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/3/8)-(9/6/5/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/3/8)-(9/6/5/7/3)-(5/6/10/2/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (9/6/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/7/3)-(9/6/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/7/3)-(9/6/5/7/3)-(9/6/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/5/7/3)-(5/6/10/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/6/10/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/10/2/8)-(5/6/10/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/10/2/8)-(5/6/10/2/8)-(5/6/10/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/28/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D DOLLY'S GIRL Jan30 Jan14 Dec06 Nov19   (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
SHE'S THE RAGE Jan30 Dec24       (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
GIVEMEACOOKIE Feb13 Jan24 Sep06 Aug13 Jul10 (goodwin g)HESS SARA 119 20.00    
SCR  FLIGHTTOWN Jan14 Oct31 Aug30 Jul25   (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00    
CHABELITA Dec24 Dec06 Nov22 Oct12 Sep05 (dominguez huber)FERRER C 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
EZ YOURS Feb13 Jan25 Dec06 Nov28 Oct04 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 119 20.00    
WICKEDTHISWAYCOMES Feb11 Dec12 Nov28 Nov07 Oct17 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
SCR  MISS WHINNIE Feb06 Jan10       (dobber arnoud)ROJAS MARTINA 119 15.00    
SCR  MELODY FACTOR Jan25 Dec13       (narvaez c)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
10  WHISKEY WHIM Jan14 Dec06 Oct18 Sep26   (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 28% 2.60    
11  MORE VINO ROSA Feb01 Jan07 Nov29     (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  KISS ME FOR LUCK Feb12 Jan25 Dec19 Nov13   (cascallares nes)SERPA ANGEL 119 10.00    
13  GOOD BIANCA Feb12 Jan17 Sep26     (moreno-ba)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 4.00    
SCR  VOLAMO Sep26         (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.00    
 
TAM-2   02/28/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA REINA DEL FLOW         (donaldson deb)FLORES ADRIAN 122 20.00 15% 5.90    
ALWAYS PRAISING Feb01 Jan03 Dec24     (manchan ber)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
CON CAUTELA Jan25 Dec24 Jul11 Apr12 Mar05 (garcia rodolfo)LEON SONNY 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  NIFTY'S SPIRIT Feb08         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00    
LUCKY LIL KISS Feb08 Oct31       (alanis francisco)HESS SARA 122 12.00    
BIT OF FROST Feb08 Dec10 Nov16 Oct08 Sep10 (oliver victori)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.20 24% 3.10    
GALLANT RUNNER         (deaton william)LEON A 122 15.00 15% 5.90    
MAGGIES BREW Jan17 Dec31 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (pimental john )CASTANON L 122 6.00    
 
TAM-3   02/28/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COX CANYON Feb05 Jan21 Jan03 Dec17 Nov28 (wasiluk pete)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 10.00 5% 18.60    
INITFORTHELOVE Feb15 Feb05 Jan21 Jan04 Oct04 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 20.00    
CRYPTO MAN Jan07 Sep26 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 12% 7.70    
SARGEANT BARGER Feb12 Jan28 Jan02 Dec12 Sep27 (alessi james)LARA VICTOR 110 30.00    
KING FREUD Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Sep27 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.00 25% 2.90    
CRABCAKES N BEER Dec10 Nov22 Oct16 Sep28 Sep06 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
STREET COP OFFICER Feb12 Feb04 Nov05 Oct21 Oct01 (ferraro m )MEJIAS A 113 4.50    
FUNKENSTEIN Feb12 Jan28 Jan02 Oct18 Oct04 (agostini )MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-4   02/28/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATE RYDER Feb11 Jan07 Dec13 Oct19 Sep07 (braddy david)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
WESTHAMPTON Jan25 Jan07 Oct19 Sep06 Aug16 (alanis francisc)SERPA ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR BUSINESS Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 Aug16 Jul31 (alanis franci)PANAIJO JORGE 121 5.00    
HYPER VENOM Feb11 Dec31 Nov28 Oct18 May04 (bagwandeen p)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
SKY MASTERSON Feb11 Dec31 Nov28 Oct15 Oct04 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
REDEMPTION SPEIGHT Oct26 Sep26 Aug13 Jun15 Feb23 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 4.50 68% 0.50    
LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Feb13 Jan24 Jan07 Nov29 Nov09 (gardea a)RODRIGUEZ O 119 30.00    
SWEET TONE Jan31 Jan16 Dec31 Dec13 Nov16 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 5.00    
SCR  RAGMAN Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 Dec24 Nov28 (collins john)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
10  SO SO Feb11 Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Oct18 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 121 15.00    
11  STEAM POWERED Jan31 Jan16 Dec31 Sep20 Jul18 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 119 2.00    
SCR  RAMESSES Feb13 Jan24 Jan09 Sep04 Aug09 (kintz matt)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 15.00    
13  DEPORTIVO Feb13 Jan14 Dec31 Nov26 Oct28 (o'connell ka)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 8.00    
SCR  CALVINO Feb13 Jan25 Nov28 Oct12 Aug16 (cascallares nest)FERRER C 119 20.00    
 
TAM-5   02/28/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY ON RUFUS Jan31 Jan14 Dec31 Nov28 Oct15 (aguayo ra)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00    
JOHNNY BOLT Sep27 Aug23 Jul22 Jun17   (becker s)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
YADIRAYADIRAYADIRA Aug17 Jun20 Jun01 May18 Apr27 (curto beverl)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
KISSINTHELADIES Nov29 Oct19       (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 122 2.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  R B'S RUNNER Nov28 May30 May10     (dimmett )MARTINEZ A 120 20.00    
SPURIOUS Feb13 Apr09 Mar01 Jan24 Jan15 (lopez mari)MEJIAS A 113 15.00    
ARROW GHOST Feb15 Jan09 Dec31 Nov26 Sep11 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 122 20.00    
UNCLE ZEB Feb07         (sano anto)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 15.00    
ALL THE LUCK Feb06 Jan14 Oct21 Sep24 Aug25 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
10  ROJO SKY Jan31 Jan14 Dec26 Nov26 Sep13 (spanabel kelly )LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
11  KENRIC Feb13 Jan14 Dec03 Nov26 Sep26 (davis n)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  DAVE DID IT Feb13 Jan31 Jan14 Dec17 May22 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 12.00    
SCR  OH' WHAT A DAY Jul11         (bennett geral)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50    
14  DANCING BILL Jul11         (avila ca)MORALES ANGEL 122 6.00    
 
TAM-6   02/28/2026 5400ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYLFRENA Feb14         (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 8.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of NEW ANGEL by NEW APPROACH)
MAMBO TAXI         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of ALLHAPPYANDBRIGHT by ALTERNATION)
NAHLA         (cox h)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TWINKLING by EFFERVESCING)
SAMMYTRINADAMO Dec31         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of SATULAH by GONE WEST)
ATHENIX Jan11 Oct24 Sep13 Aug23 Jul26 (campbell michael)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CONTINGENCY PLAN by INTO MISCHIEF)
ENDLESS GLORY Feb06 Jan11 Dec31 Dec06 Oct10 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
INKLING (AUS) Feb07 Nov06 Oct03     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
  (by DUPORTH out of TARCOOLA DIAMOND by LAST TYCOON (IRE))
 
TAM-7   02/28/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARRINCHA Feb14 Jan10 Dec13 Nov21 Sep28 (ochoa gerard)MORALES ANGEL 118 30.00    
IF I WERE YOU Feb14 Jan10 Dec05 Oct28 Oct11 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 48% 1.10    
ZEE FIRE Feb14 Jan10 Dec20 Dec12 Nov02 (becker s)RODRIGUEZ O 118 6.00 5% 18.60    
THEO'S THUNDER Feb14 Jan25 Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 (sano antonio)GIL CIPRIANO 120 8.00 9% 10.10    
KING FALIERO Jan25 Jan03 Dec17 Nov29 Oct07 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
ARTWELL Jan25 Dec20 Dec10 Nov26 Oct27 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY Feb14 Jan17 Oct30 Oct12 Sep13 (martinez)MARTINEZ A 118 30.00    
CENTERFOLD GUY Feb14 Jan24 Jan09 Dec12 Dec03 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY STREET Feb14 Jan25 Dec27 Dec20 Apr20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
10  CALZONE Sep17 Aug27 Aug02 Jul26 Jul19 (rarick lynn)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  AWESOME ENTRY Feb15 Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Sep13 (posadas pedro)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00    
SCR  DEVILISH DESIRE Feb15 Jan31 Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  DEVELOP PRODUCT Feb20 Feb05 Jan14 Dec20 Nov09 (baez n)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS DRIVER Feb13 Jan23 Jan03 Dec13 Nov26 (moreno-ba)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/28/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT RAVEN Jan21 Jan11 Jan04 Dec06 Nov26 (sano antonio)GIL CIPRIANO 119 5.00    
CHANCE ON ME Feb12 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Dec26 (bacallao-vega jua)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
DOHA DESERT Feb11 Dec05 Nov09 Oct17 Aug09 (torres r)LARA VICTOR 109 30.00 5% 19.00    
MIKI JAK Jan25 Jan02 Dec19 Nov26 Oct05 (sano antonio)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
JESS SO FLATTERIN Feb21 Feb07 Dec31     (torres pablo)BATISTA A 119 5.00 8% 11.00    
DOUBLE MILES Jan22 Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 Aug30 (simone micha)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
POWER WRENCH Feb11 Jan25 Jan14 Dec26 Nov29 (mendieta )ARANGUREN JOHANIS 109 6.00 6% 15.10    
JEFFERSONIAN Jan25 Jan11 Dec26 Oct07   (va)DA FAUSTO 119 4.00    
WORLD WIDE WEB Feb11 Jan23 Jan11 Dec10 Nov09 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
10  LIV HAS RIZZ Feb11         (englehart jef)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 15.00    
SCR  ROCCO'S SPIRIT Feb15 Jan31       (ryan s)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 10.00    
 
TAM-9   02/28/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT OF MAGIC May03 Apr18 Apr05 Feb23 Jan10 (gardea a)RODRIGUEZ O 118 30.00    
RAGING FURY Jan17 Dec26 Nov09 Sep28 Aug29 (ramsey nolan)GIL CIPRIANO 118 5.00 6% 15.80    
LOU Jan22 Dec27 Dec04 Nov07 Sep13 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00    
GIANLUCA BE LUCKY Feb06 Jan03 Dec10 Nov26 Oct19 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
FLOOD ZONE Aug09 Jun29 Mar01 Jan04 Dec07 (cox h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
IMPACTO Feb07 Jan10 Dec12 Nov19 Sep30 (arnett g)HO WESLEY 118 8.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  ROAR OF THE BEAST Feb07 Dec13 Nov08 Sep20 Aug30 (joseph saffie )MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
LASTABITLONGER Jan31 Aug02 Jun07 Apr09 Feb26 (stewart j)CASTANON L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
AIR INVASION Jan31 Dec27 Dec03 Sep03 Aug13 (paramo m)MARTINEZ A 118 30.00    
10  MR. PENNY PINCHER Feb15 Jan10 Dec27 Dec17 Nov29 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  ROCKET DRAGON Dec26 Dec12 Nov22 Sep19 Aug11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.