Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 25, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/7)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/7)-(4/5/6)-(5/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(5/3/2)-(1/7/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(1/7/5/6)-(4/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(4/5/8)-(5/1/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(5/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(5/1/6/8)-(10/2/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/8)-(10/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/8)-(10/2/6/3)-(4/1/8/11/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/6/3)-(10/2/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/6/3)-(10/2/6/3/9)-(10/2/6/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/6/3)-(4/1/8/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/6/3)-(4/1/8/11/12)-(8/4/3/10/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (4/1/8/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/11/12)-(4/1/8/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/11/12)-(4/1/8/11/12)-(4/1/8/11/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/8/11/12)-(8/4/3/10/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/4/3/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/10/9)-(8/4/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/10/9)-(8/4/3/10/9)-(8/4/3/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/25/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEE NEW BEGINNING Feb12 Jan30 Jan07 Nov22 Oct09 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80    
2  HOLY COFFEE Feb01 Jan11 Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 118 15.00    
3  BAYOU MELODY Feb12 Jan25 Nov18 Nov04 Oct08 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  TATOR MADE Apr12 Mar02 Feb14 Jan18 Aug30 (lopez olmeda )ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00    
5  MIGUEL'S BELLE Jan17 Dec26 Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.20 39% 1.60    
6  NO ACTION Dec11 Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Sep28 (sanchez amad)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
7  BAND SWEETHEART Jan30 Jan11 Dec19 Dec05 Aug30 (cudworth paul)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FAIRHOPECURLY Feb12 Jan30 Jan11 Oct03 Aug08 (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 118 12.00 5% 18.80    
 
TAM-2   02/25/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRECIOUS SIGHT Jan24 Jan16       (moysey c)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  LADY ROCKULA Feb19 Jan29 Dec11 Nov21 Oct26 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50    
3  LOLA'S ROMANCE Feb01 Jan18       (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.00    
4  CAURA Feb06 Jan11 Dec06 Nov09 Sep27 (narvaez carl)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 1.40 31% 2.20    
5  PITCHFORK         (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 18% 4.60    
6  CALADESI ISLAND         (paragallo jennife)HESS SARA 119 10.00 17% 5.00    
7  G ONE BOUND Feb05 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19   (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
 
TAM-3   02/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLING ON Jan11 Dec21 Nov09 Sep20 Aug17 (castro m)LEON SONNY 118 4.00    
2  OUT WORK'N Dec24 Oct03 Jul04 Mar23 Aug21 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  IKIGAI Feb14 Jan24 Jan11 Dec27 Dec13 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 111 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  REBEL EMPIRE Feb13 Jan28 Jan16 Dec13 Nov17 (baez n)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
5  MEGAN'S HONOR Feb18 Jan24 Jan03 Dec19 Oct28 (simone micha)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  MY MAN WOODY Feb01 Jan23 Dec24 Nov29 Nov19 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
SCR  JUST RELAX Feb18 Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Dec17 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
 
TAM-4   02/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKES UP Jan30 Dec17 Dec05 Sep20 Sep05 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  AWESOME PIC Feb04 Jan18 Dec26 Nov26 Oct18 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 4.00    
3  SHIP IT Feb12 Jan16 Jan07 Dec17 Dec10 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
SCR  MISS CLASSIFIED Feb12 Jan30 Jan14 Jan04 Sep20 (feliciano ben)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
5  BRAMBLE BUSH Feb12 Feb01 Jan25 Jan11 Dec26 (mendieta aleja)CASTANON L 118 8.00 8% 10.80    
6  TWIZZLE Feb18 Jan16 Dec26 Dec12 Nov26 (curto beverl)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY CAJUN LADY Jan30 Jan03 Dec12 Nov26 Aug21 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 20% 4.00    
8  TIMELY REWARD Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 Dec26 Nov22 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 2.50    
 
TAM-5   02/25/2026 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTS LIL SECRET Jan03 Aug11 Jul21 Jun07 Apr05 (donaldson deb)FLORES ADRIAN 123 30.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SECRET ACTION by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  TELLNOTALES Jan22 Dec28 Oct24     (weaver georg)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TALE OF SUCCESS by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  QUEEN DANCING (GB) Jan10 Dec27 Oct09 Sep10   (mott willia)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 116 4.00 ★    
  (by GRAND SLAM out of CROWN QUEEN by SMART STRIKE)
4  OPERA DE RAVEL (FR) May18         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 44% 1.20    
  (by PHOENIX OF SPAIN out of GOODTHINGSTAKETIME by CANFORD CLIFFS)
5  VRONTI (GB) Jan10         (motion gr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of NAKUTI by MASTERCRAFTSMAN)
6  WHIRLAWAR Aug10 Jul11 Jun14 May23 Mar16 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 123 30.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of BLACK CORONAS by CURLIN)
SCR  REALITY STAR Jan10 Jul10 Jun15 Mar29   (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of DAILY CAST by CURLIN)
8  ANDROMACHE Jul02 May28 Apr01     (dini mike)LEON SONNY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of ELLAN VANNIN by SPRING AT LAST)
9  POR VOCE Dec27 Oct26 Sep22 Aug03 May28 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GOIABA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
TAM-6   02/25/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  X Y PRIME Feb14 Jan02 Dec05 Nov01 Sep28 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
2  TAPIRS VALOR Feb06 Jan10 Aug28 Jun21 Jun02 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
3  SINGLE DOT YAHT Nov16 Oct31 Sep19 Jul21 Jun14 (crichton g)LEON SONNY 119 12.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT DANCER Feb15 Jan18 Dec13 Oct20 Sep19 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 2.50    
5  DIGITAL OPS Jan16 Sep20 Aug06 Jul12 Jun08 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  AUGUST RAIN Jan18 Dec04 Oct04 Aug23 Aug04 (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00 11% 7.80    
7  ZATARA Feb06 Dec06 Sep19 Aug25 Aug10 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
8  OUTOFTHEDARK Feb06 Jan18 Dec06 Sep06 Aug21 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   02/25/2026 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STILLTHINKINGOFYOU Feb06 Jan09 Dec05 Nov19 Oct17 (ryan s)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
2  DYNAMIC ACTRESS Feb06 Jan17 Dec27 Dec12 Sep13 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  BONITA BREEZE Feb01 Jan09 Dec05 Sep13 Aug21 (yanez r)FERRER C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MS BRIGHTSIDE (IRE) Oct03 Aug07 May25 Apr25 Mar02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
5  THREE TIMES Feb08 Jan16 Dec10 Nov08 Sep13 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 12.00    
6  LE TOUCHE Feb01 Sep04 Aug16 Jul23 Jun29 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  GUNESH Jan18 Oct05 Sep05 Aug15 Jun27 (sancal murat)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 6.00    
8  RETAIL THERAPIST Feb01 Nov02 Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
9  NO MO COOKIES Feb01 Jan09 Oct18 Sep05 Aug09 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 119 5.00 ★    
10  SMILING ELLIE Oct16 Aug28 Aug02 Jun14 Apr19 (casse mark)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  ARIANA VALENTINA Feb18 Feb08 Jan17 Jan02 Dec05 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
 
TAM-8   02/25/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHRYVER Feb12 Jan21 Jan04 Dec19 Sep07 (birdwell tena)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
2  WILLING ONE Jan11 Dec31 Nov26 Oct18   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
3  POLIZON Feb11 Jan21 Jan14 Jan04 Dec19 (sano antonio)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 6.00    
4  BEST MINET YET         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  FAST PRINCE Feb15 Jan23 Jan14 Dec31   (rini anthony)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 20.00    
6  JUST A FLAME Jan18 Dec31 Dec10     (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 30.00    
7  MUSKET MAGIC Jan17 Dec06       (ward den)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
8  STRONG TEMPTATION         (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 19% 4.30    
9  LOVETHISBIZZ Dec12 Nov14 Oct17 Sep28   (vazquez eduard)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
10  COUSIN VINNY Jan31         (morzan javier)MORALES ANGEL 119 30.00    
11  YES I WILL         (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 119 12.00 8% 11.90    
12  IKNOWYOUCANWAIT Feb04 Jan18 Nov30 Nov01 Oct11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WORLD WIDE WEB Feb11 Jan23 Jan11 Dec10 Nov09 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY ROOSTER Feb04 Jan10 Dec19 Nov28 Nov14 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
 
TAM-9   02/25/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRIS'S KITTY Feb14 Jan02 Dec17 Oct08 Sep22 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00    
2  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Jan23 Dec12 Oct26 Aug28 Jul26 (downing will)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
3  TIKI BAR Jan02 Dec05 Oct04 Sep13 Aug21 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
4  CLASSICALS FINALE Feb08 Jan21 Dec26 Nov28 Nov19 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  OMIKAMI Feb08 Jan17 Dec27 Dec20 Nov26 (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
6  CLASSY DISPOSITION Jan23 Jan02 Dec05 Oct17 Jun20 (avila c)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 6.00    
7  STRAND OF GOLD Feb08 Jan28 Jan07 Dec20 Nov01 (narvaez car)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
8  ALCOHOL Jan23 Dec27 Dec05 Oct16 Sep23 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
9  MOBAY PRINCESS Feb08 Jan17 Dec27 Dec12 Nov02 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  NAUGHTY FAVORS Feb08 Jan30 Jan10 Dec17 Nov22 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  TINTA ROJA Dec28 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 3.00    
SCR  ROSE VIEW Feb08 Jan23 Dec12 Sep20 Aug21 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.