Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 25, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(5/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(5/3/1/4)-(2/6/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(2/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4)-(2/6/3/5)-(2/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/8)-(6/4/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/9/8)-(2/6/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(6/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(6/4/5/9)-(6/2/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9/1)-(6/4/5/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/9)-(6/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/9)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/8)-(6/2/3/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/7/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/7/8/9)-(6/2/7/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/8)-(6/2/3/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8)-(6/2/3/8/7)-(9/6/10/3/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/2/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/8/7)-(6/2/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/8/7)-(6/2/3/8/7)-(6/2/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/3/8/7)-(9/6/10/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/6/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/3/5)-(9/6/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/3/5)-(9/6/10/3/5)-(9/6/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/25/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGALA Jan03 Nov22 Oct26 Sep26 Sep11 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 122 1.40 34% 2.00    
RED HOT CATALINA May03 Apr12 Mar07 Feb14   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
CON CAUTELA Dec24 Jul11 Apr12 Mar05   (garcia rod)URDANETA J 122 6.00    
DAME GINA MARIE Jan03 Nov22 Apr25     (o'connell ka)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
QUAZY DANCER         (rarick lynn)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 12.00 8% 11.00    
DEVILSGOLDENFIDDLE Nov13 Oct13 Apr18     (cordero-lope)BATISTA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TINY TEARS Jan31 Jan24 Dec28 Sep20 Sep14 (hennessy joseph)FERRER C 120 20.00    
 
TAM-2   01/25/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCHISES Jan14 Dec31 Dec24 Dec05 Oct09 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00 5% 17.70    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Dec12 Nov20 Nov05 Sep25 Sep07 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
BANG A RANG Jan10 Dec10 Sep19 Sep10 Aug28 (simone mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jan03 Dec17 Nov19 Jul20 Jun21 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PASSIONED Jan14 Dec05 Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.20 42% 1.40    
CONSPIRACY FACT Dec24 Nov22 Sep22 Sep13 Aug16 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
TIZ A BEAST Jan14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 May23 (paragallo jennife)HESS SARA 120 20.00    
 
TAM-3   01/25/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKCREST Jan02 Dec14       (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
JEFFERSONIAN Jan11 Dec26 Oct07     (harty eoin)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.80 31% 2.20    
GIGLINE Dec05 Oct25 Oct17 Sep26 Sep13 (sano antonio)BATISTA A 119 10.00 15% 5.80    
GRAY BEAST Jan04 Dec19 Nov14 Aug30 Jul06 (soler edisley)MORALES ANGEL 119 6.00    
MIKI JAK Jan02 Dec19 Nov26 Oct05   (sano ant)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
POWER WRENCH Jan14 Dec26 Nov29 Oct19 Oct05 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
MARCAN LOVE Jan11 Nov26 Nov07 Oct18 Sep14 (lawrence james)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.50    
 
TAM-4   01/25/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DE TOCHO Dec13 Jul26 Jun15 May25 Apr04 (donaldson debra)HESS SARA 122 30.00    
AEONIAN Jan17 Dec17 Aug22     (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 115 1.60 64% 0.60    
GREAT HUNT Jan09 Dec17 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 (soler edisl)NOGUERA MARLENI 120 20.00    
TIZTIMONIAL Dec26 Dec17 Nov26 May31 Apr25 (delgado h)MERA C 122 3.00    
MATTY B GOOD Jan14 Dec26 Dec13 Sep14 Aug10 (mazza joseph)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00    
MORALITO Jan09 Aug17       (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  RAPID ROY Jan09 Dec26 Mar26 Feb28 Dec27 (paramo martin)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
DISOBEDIENT BULL Jan09 Dec17 Aug23 Aug16 Aug03 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMAURY M. V. P. Jan09 Nov26 Oct31 Sep28 Sep06 (parra hernan)MORALES ANGEL 122 5.00    
 
TAM-5   01/25/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTHAMPTON Jan07 Oct19 Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 (alanis francisco)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
SCR  STEAM POWERED Jan16 Dec31 Sep20 Jul18 Jul06 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00    
GAP TO GAP Jan16 Dec26 Nov28 Oct01 Sep19 (avila c)BATISTA A 119 15.00    
MISCHIEVOUS HAN Jan16 Jun29 Jun06 Apr27 Apr12 (parra hernan)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
MUNGO Dec13 Oct10 Sep14 Aug31 Jun21 (richards renal)CASTANON L 119 3.50 9% 10.30    
TRACKSTER Dec31 Nov26 Oct19 Oct03 Aug16 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
CALVINO Nov28 Oct12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 (cascallares n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 15.00    
SPARTACUS'S DUDE Dec31 Nov28 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 (mcburney patr)ROJAS MARTINA 119 30.00    
J SQUARED Jan16 Dec06 Nov07 Oct12 Aug17 (narvaez ca)MEJIAS A 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BRAGGART JOE Dec31 Nov07 Oct15 May27 May19 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
 
TAM-6   01/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLGA Jan11 Dec19 Nov14 Oct12 Sep12 (potts g)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00 6% 15.40    
WHEELINGNDEALING Jan11 Jan02 Dec10 Sep25 Sep08 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80 18% 4.60    
CAPTURED DARLING Jan18 Jan07 Dec05 Oct10 Sep06 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
READY SET ADIOS Jan11 Jan02 Oct07 Aug30 Aug15 (wittek karyn)HESS SARA 120 30.00    
BRAMBLE BUSH Jan11 Dec26 Dec05 Oct17 Oct03 (baez ralph)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 110 6.00 12% 7.30    
BAYOU MELODY Nov18 Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 (o'connell ka)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
TIMELY REWARD Jan07 Dec26 Nov22 Nov14 Oct19 (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50    
NOVELLIE Jan07 May04 Apr23 Apr26 Feb03 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/25/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ YOURS Dec06 Nov28 Oct04 Aug22 Jul27 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 20.00    
MODERN MISS Jan21 Jan02 Dec12 Nov19 Oct01 (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.00 11% 8.50    
MARDEL MARIEL Sep05 Aug09       (laurato v)HESS SARA 119 20.00    
LILAS OAK TREE Jan02 Oct30 Sep28 Sep04   (campbell joel)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00    
MELODY FACTOR Dec13         (narvaez carl)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00    
NORWEGIAN WOOD Jan07 Dec12       (amaya gu)RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.00 67% 0.50    
REGAL RULES Dec12         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00    
TAP TAP COCO Nov22 Jun05       (morales )MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
EL MA'ANY Nov26 Aug18       (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00    
10  KISS ME FOR LUCK Dec19 Nov13       (cascallares nestor)TORRES R 119 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S THE RAGE Dec24         (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 1.80    
SCR  RIPPLE Jan07 Dec24 Jun28 May22 May01 (alvarado jos)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
SCR  MISTRIAL WIND Dec24 Nov19 Aug31 Aug17   (dominguez hube)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
SCR  CHABELITA Dec24 Dec06 Nov22 Oct12 Sep05 (dominguez huber)FERRER C 119 8.00    
 
TAM-8   01/25/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINO COURAGIO Dec27 Nov26 Oct17 Sep28 Sep14 (campbell joel)MORALES PABLO 119 20.00    
THEO'S THUNDER Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 Nov15 Nov01 (sano antonio)LEON SONNY 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
FINAL DRAMA Jan10 Dec24 Dec05 Nov07 Oct12 (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 9% 10.20    
VIA DELLA SPIGA Dec26 Oct20 Sep13 Jul24 Jun28 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.00    
KING FALIERO Jan03 Dec17 Nov29 Oct07 Sep15 (dini mike)FERRER C 119 8.00    
ARTWELL Dec20 Dec10 Nov26 Oct27 Sep20 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 119 5.00 41% 1.50    
DON'T ANSWER Jan03 Dec20 Nov16 Oct31 Oct05 (yanez reynaldo)COTTO L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY STREET Dec27 Dec20 Apr20 Mar23 Mar05 (gonzalez aldana)SERPA ANGEL 119 8.00 8% 11.00    
DIAL HIM UP Jan09 Dec20 Dec12 Oct02 Sep06 (mendieta alej)ROJAS MARTINA 119 20.00    
10  KALINBA Jan03 Nov26 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 (cascallare)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 109 30.00    
SCR  IF I WERE YOU Jan10 Dec05 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00    
SCR  STONE COLD FLEX Jan10 Dec27 Dec10 Nov01 Oct03 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 2.50    
SCR  ZEE FIRE Jan10 Dec20 Dec12 Nov02 Aug17 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.50    
 
TAM-9   01/25/2026 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROWTH CAPITAL Jan04 Nov28 Oct16 Sep29 Aug26 (vargas a)ROJAS MARTINA 119 30.00    
DAMIR Jan02 Dec24 Nov29 Oct09 Sep20 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
LATE CALL Dec13 Nov28 Sep01 Aug03 Jul06 (ryan s)CASTANON L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLES J Nov01 Sep12 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 (lee joseph)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00    
OLD FLAG (IRE) Dec27 Nov01 Oct08 Sep20 Sep13 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE FACTOR Dec26 Dec12 Apr19 Apr04 Mar02 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
THUNDERING Dec26 Nov08 Sep27 Aug30 Aug03 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
INTO IT Jan03 Nov27 Oct03 Aug17 Jun21 (breen j)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
CHICAGO THEATRE Dec26 Nov26 Mar29 Mar01 Jan08 (proctor thoma)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
10  TUX Feb01 Dec07 Nov09     (mott i)CENTENO E 119 4.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  AIR INVASION Dec27 Dec03 Sep03 Aug13 Jun12 (paramo m)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.