Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - January 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/5/7)-(2/1/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(2/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(2/1/8/4)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/4)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/4)-(4/3/5)-(2/8/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/8/6/3)-(7/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3/5)-(2/8/6/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/6/3)-(7/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/3)-(7/6/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/1)-(3/7/4/1)-(10/2/5/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/1)-(10/2/5/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/2/5/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/7/1)-(10/2/5/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/7/1)-(10/2/5/7/1)-(10/2/5/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/17/2026 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLT ROCK Jan03 Dec13 Dec03 Nov14 Oct10 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 126 6.00    
THE COMMISH Nov29 Nov12 Oct25 Oct17 Oct05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
GO GO PRANCER Jan03 Nov29 Nov06 Oct25 Jun08 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 124 1.00 48% 1.10    
FIBER STRONG Dec03 Oct22 Sep27 May22 Apr19 (runco jeff )EBOW III 119 5.00    
BEECHMONT Dec03 Nov14 Oct23 Oct02 Sep12 (farrior anthon)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.50    
REMYS GUNSMOKE Dec13 Nov10 Oct21 Oct07 Aug26 (shafer gabe)DIAZ JR 126 20.00 5% 18.30    
 
CT-2   01/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE ARCHES Dec06 Nov15 Nov08 Oct17 Oct01 (gur battulga)LEWIS M 124 10.00    
SCR  T REX UNION May08 Mar08 Feb13 Jan11 Dec07 (runco jeff )EBOW III 117 1.00    
BARAPHA Dec13 Nov28 Nov01 Oct18 Oct08 (conn p)TORRES JOMAR 119 15.00    
TOWN HOT Jan08 Nov15 Oct22 Oct09 Sep26 (pyke josep)FRANCIS G 122 30.00    
ABOLITIONIST Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul10 May22 (armstrong busanda )STOKES J 124 12.00 32% 2.20    
BLAMEITONMYROOTS Dec05 Aug08       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
GRONKSFLYINSEAGULL Dec12 Oct23 Sep26     (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
CT-3   01/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Dec13 Dec05 Nov06 Oct18 Sep11 (perry lawre)EBOW III 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
MUSICAL ENTOURAGE Dec19 Nov27 Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.00 24% 3.10    
A REASON TO PARTY Dec05 Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 Aug21 (jackson an)SANTAELLA MOISES 121 5.00    
ALDRE Jan07 Dec12       (jones michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
BUZZ BUNNY Dec05 Nov06 Oct31 Oct03 Sep19 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 126 2.00    
CAPO TOO Dec05 Jul10 Jun12 May15 Mar14 (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 30.00    
SMOOTH SAILOR Dec05 Oct03 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 (viands r)ACOSTA D 126 3.00    
FERNANDO'S GOLD Dec12 May18 Apr21 Aug25 Jul31 (bourne lori)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 126 15.00 14% 5.90    
 
CT-4   01/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAN THE RED Dec11 Nov22 Oct30 Oct17 Oct01 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
GONE WITH THE WYN Jan03 Dec13 Dec03 Nov07 Oct22 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
MACI'S WORLD Dec07 Nov16 Nov03 Oct20 Sep29 (shafer gabe)DIAZ JR 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
CALVARY KAT Jun23 Jun02 May07 Oct07 Sep09 (rojas murra)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
BEAUTY OF THE NILE Nov14 Oct29 Aug30 Jun11 Feb23 (knudsen kent)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MALIBU YEARS Dec11 Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Sep26 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 124 4.00    
 
CT-5   01/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRACCESCA Dec04 Nov13 Sep18 Aug21 Aug06 (rodriguez fran)CHILO MAXIMO 126 8.00    
DEEDS OF LOVE Dec15 Nov15 Oct20 Sep29 Aug22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 28% 2.50    
STREETCORNER Dec12 Nov22 Oct31 Oct10 Sep06 (viands stace)LEWIS M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
KISS CAM Jan07 Dec10 Nov28 Nov22 Nov13 (rangel)RIOS-CONDE JR 126 15.00    
TEMPLEMENT Dec12 Nov13 Oct22 Oct01 Jul12 (venham )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
ITZAYANA Nov22 Oct31 Oct10 Sep26 Sep10 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
MITOLE CANDY Dec12 Nov21 Oct23 Oct02 Sep05 (straughn wi)EBOW III 117 20.00    
CAIRNHILL Dec13 Nov21 Nov12 Nov05 Oct15 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
TRUE INDY Dec13 Nov21 Nov05 Oct02 Sep05 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 126 15.00    
10  DAME CATHERINE Jan02 Dec10 Nov14 Nov07 Oct23 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
SCR  GOLD TIME VIXEN Jan09 Dec19 Nov22 Nov02 Oct10 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
 
CT-6   01/17/2026 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KASS N KIKI Dec22 Sep25 Sep05     (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 7% 13.70    
RENEGADE RABBIT Dec13 Nov20 Nov07 Oct08 Sep13 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50    
BIG MO GEE Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Aug08 Jul24 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 12.00    
SCR  CAJUNCHITO Dec13 Oct17       (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
ROMANTIC WARRIOR Jan10 Apr04 Mar21 Mar07 Jan17 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 4.50    
NO TIME TO BOOGIE Dec13 Nov22 Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
YORK TAVERN Feb22 Jan25 Jan18 Jan11 Dec28 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
CT-7   01/17/2026 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S NO UNCLE Jan09 Dec19 Nov29 Nov07 Oct18 (lane scott)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Jan08 Dec13 Nov13 Oct24 Oct17 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
DETERMINED LOVE Nov25 Oct15 Sep29 Aug18 Jul08 (robillard )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
COAL COUNTRY Jan08 Dec12 Nov13 Oct11 Sep26 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 126 2.00 11% 8.40    
QUEEN OF SOUL Jan09 Dec10 Nov28 Nov01 Oct23 (lane s)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 30.00    
FLAG WOMAN Nov04 Oct06 Aug03 May13 Apr27 (robillard julie)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
AMALFI SUNSET Dec13 Nov13 Oct31 Oct17 Oct01 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
CT-8   01/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOGALU Dec19 Nov11 Oct16 Oct09 Sep10 (rodriguez jose )VARGAS JOSE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
MR SANDMAN Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 May03 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 126 3.50 20% 4.00    
TAPIO (IRE) Dec11 Nov20 Oct10 Sep20 Jun20 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
RIDICULOUS Dec06 Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00    
VALHALLA'S PALACE Jan09 Dec06 Nov12 Oct29 Oct15 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 121 2.50 6% 16.30    
JUBA BOUND Jan03 Dec04 Nov14 Oct29 Sep28 (knudsen kent)TORRES JOMAR 124 20.00    
ALPHA BLUE Jan07 Dec13 May09 Feb28 Jan18 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Dec11 Nov13 Oct03 Sep13 Jul04 (king w)LEWIS M 126 4.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Jan10 Dec11 Nov28 Sep02 Aug21 (collins tim)STOKES J 126 15.00    
10  FIELDSTONE Dec01 Nov12 Oct27 Oct07 Aug27 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 50% 1.00    
11  BIG BEEMSTER Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 Aug01 Jul09 (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 126 4.50    
SCR  GUNS N' ROJAS Jan07 Dec11 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 (albright a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 6.00    
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Dec11 Nov28 Sep24 Sep07 Aug09 (jones michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.