Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/7/2)-(3/1/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(3/1/2/9)-(12/4/2/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/9)-(3/1/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/9)-(3/1/2/9/7)-(3/1/2/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/2/9)-(12/4/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/9)-(12/4/2/10)-(10/8/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (12/4/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/4/2/10)-(12/4/2/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/4/2/10)-(12/4/2/10/1)-(12/4/2/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/4/2/10)-(10/8/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/4/2/10)-(10/8/5/6)-(7/6/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/6)-(10/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/6)-(10/8/5/6)-(10/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/8/5/6)-(7/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/8/5/6)-(7/6/2/4)-(3/1/9/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/4)-(3/1/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/4)-(3/1/9/4)-(12/13/1/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/4)-(3/1/9/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/4)-(3/1/9/6/4)-(3/1/9/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/9/4)-(12/13/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/9/4)-(12/13/1/9)-(1/8/12/3/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (12/13/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/13/1/9)-(12/13/1/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/13/1/9)-(12/13/1/9/10)-(12/13/1/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/13/1/9)-(1/8/12/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/8/12/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/12/3/4)-(1/8/12/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/12/3/4)-(1/8/12/3/4)-(1/8/12/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIZZY'S DREAM Jun21 Jun06 May27 May08 Apr12 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 20.00    
2  STEADY FLO Dec10 Nov26 Sep07 Aug24   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★    
3  MAMA DEBS         (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 26% 2.90    
4  HOLA HERMOSA Dec24 Nov28 Oct26 Oct03   (gulick m)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
5  MAGGIES BREW Jul12 Jun21 May31 Mar28   (pimental john )CASTANON L 120 12.00    
6  LA DAMA DE HIERRO         (hernandez enrique)TORRES R 120 15.00 11% 7.70    
7  DEB'S SEA BREEZE Dec03 Oct26 May04 Apr25   (yanez moises)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 8.00    
8  DOILY Sep21         (arnett g)LEON SONNY 120 4.50    
9  LOVE THAT GAL Dec19 Dec03 Nov22 Sep05   (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 120 6.00    
 
TAM-2   12/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEIGS Nov13 Oct28 Sep30 Sep08 Aug20 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 123 3.50    
2  ANCHISES Dec24 Dec05 Oct09 Aug20 Jul29 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 8.00 15% 5.70    
3  RIDING A DREAM Oct16 Oct07 Sep19 Aug19 Jul30 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  UNDALAY Nov29 Oct09 Sep20 Jun28 Jun12 (richards )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 114 6.00    
5  AWESOME MOVE Sep05 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jun28 (birdwell te)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 20.00    
6  ESTILO MAGICO Dec03 Nov09 Oct31 Oct04 Sep12 (simone micha)BATISTA A 121 15.00    
7  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Jun18 May28 Feb14 Jan22 Jan04 (poole a)FELICIANO R 121 15.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  CROOKED DREAMS Dec19 Dec10 Oct23 Sep24 Sep15 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00    
 
TAM-3   12/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIT TO FIRE Nov19 Apr30 Apr09 Dec18 Oct20 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
2  KY THIRTY WON Nov28 Oct04 Sep11 Aug16 Jul11 (dini mike)CASTANON L 120 8.00 8% 11.90    
3  MESSI THE GREAT Dec05 Nov19 Sep18 Aug16 Jul31 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  WEAPON Jun23 Jun16 Apr29 Feb23 Dec07 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
5  FORE FLAG Dec20 Dec05 Oct02 Sep19 Sep11 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 30.00    
6  K PAZ Dec03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 15.00    
7  STEAM POWERED Sep20 Jul18 Jul06 Jun06 Apr16 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 ★    
8  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Nov26 Nov09 Oct05 Sep12 Jul13 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00    
9  MY SATISFACTION Dec10 Nov19 Mar02 Feb07 Jan24 (morales )MARTINEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   12/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANTHAROS JR Dec17 Jun22 Mar23 Feb09   (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 4.50 ★    
2  CHANTICLEER Sep20 Jun27 Jan05 Oct20 Aug24 (yanez re)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  GENERAL FANALE Oct06         (durr zolli)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
4  NYIKOS Dec03 Oct04 Sep20 Jul17 Jun28 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  CYBERBEAST Nov28 Oct20 Sep28 Sep01 Aug07 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 115 4.00    
6  MAP THIS May08 Apr19 Apr05 Mar26 Feb19 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 124 30.00    
7  PARTY ON RUFUS Nov28 Oct15 Sep04 Aug23   (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00    
8  ARROW GHOST Nov26 Sep11 Jul12 Mar14 Feb23 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 124 12.00    
9  PROTEST Aug17 Jul20 Jun22 May03 Apr26 (march william)BUSH V 122 12.00    
10  FLASHOVER Oct28 Oct20 Sep26 Aug01 Jul06 (cordero eniel)SERPA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  ORO ROSO Sep14         (cascallares )GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
12  FLY COMMANDER Dec17 Dec03 Nov16 Oct18 Sep13 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
TAM-5   12/31/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNICK'S HONOR Nov29 Sep20 Sep03 Jul27   (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 5.00    
SCR  JES SEE ME Oct13 Sep19 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 8.00    
SCR  DYNAFLAME Nov02 Oct04 Sep03     (allen ferris)CENTENO E 120 5.00    
SCR  MO DODGY Dec06 Oct16 Sep19 Sep09 Aug16 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
5  JUSTIN SMILES Nov16 Oct19 Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
6  HIGH YIELD HUNK Dec06 Nov10 Oct16 Sep22 Sep09 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  EFATA Nov26 Oct11 Aug02 Jun08   (delgado h)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
8  DEEP STAR Sep07 Aug23       (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50 31% 2.30    
9  INDE ROSE Dec06 Nov22 Oct26 Sep12 Aug28 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 115 15.00    
10  DISTINCT Nov26         (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-6   12/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ANGEL MARIE Dec06         (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SPLASH CASH by UNCAPTURED)
2  PERMIAN BASIN Dec06 Oct24       (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50 11% 8.00    
  (by BASIN out of FLAT OUT GITTIN IT by FLAT OUT)
3  DUCHESS ELEANOR Dec06 Oct25 Oct03     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MISS PROPITIOUS by J P'S GUSTO)
4  JEN D'ORO Dec06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jun27 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JENNEMILY by STRONG MANDATE)
5  SAMMYTRINADAMO         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SATULAH by GONE WEST)
6  ENDLESS GLORY Dec06 Oct10 Sep17     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
7  WIN BET ONLY Nov29 Nov09 Oct18 Aug31 Aug15 (ors)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of POLO UNION by UNION RAGS)
8  RESPONSIBLY         (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GIN MARTINI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
TAM-7   12/31/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESOTHO PROMISE (IRE) Dec12 Nov09       (motion graham)CENTENO E 119 2.50 9% 10.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of DIAMOND FIELDS by FASTNET ROCK)
2  BEACH BEAMER Dec06 Aug08       (wilson tony)LEON SONNY 119 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BEAMISH by TEOFILO)
3  BROOKLYN STYLES Dec12 Oct16 Oct07 Aug29 Aug01 (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
4  TRAVIESO         (minguet ramon)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of K P DREAMIN by UNION RAGS)
5  JESS SO FLATTERIN         (torres r)TORRES R 119 20.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of FLATTERIN WENDY by FLATTER)
6  BODY BY CARVEL Dec06         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00 ★    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BEAUTIFY by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  SIR GAR D'LYON         (soler edisl)NOGUERA MARLENI 119 30.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of QUIET DIGNITY by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  ALWAYS BOURBON         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BONBOURBON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  UNDERTAKER Dec06 Oct23 Oct11 Sep06 Aug23 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAND SLAM out of SUDDEN DEATH by NORTHERN JOVE)
10  TORONJA Aug23         (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
  (by MATANZAS INLET out of GOLDEN DYNA by GOLDENCENTS)
 
TAM-8   12/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY ARMY         (birdwell te)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 8% 11.70    
2  CHAOS COMIN Dec06         (vanwinkle david)LEON A 119 10.00    
3  WILLING ONE Nov26 Oct18       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
4  THEY CALL ME SUE Dec10 Oct16       (bowersock maria)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
5  JUST A FLAME Dec10         (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
SCR  GIGGITY Dec13 Oct01 Sep17 Aug14   (cahill steven )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  PEPPAPETE         (avila jua)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 4.50    
8  JUDY CHOP Dec10 Nov26 Jul07 Jun18 May11 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
9  NET PROFIT         (arnett g)HO WESLEY 119 10.00 8% 11.70    
10  FAST PRINCE         (rini anthony)SERPA ANGEL 119 20.00 ★    
11  RIPMAN         (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
12  UNION CAIT Dec10 Nov02 Oct16 Sep14   (campbell joel)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
13  SUBATE         (avila c)BATISTA A 119 4.50 14% 6.10    
 
TAM-9   12/31/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACKSTER Nov26 Oct19 Oct03 Aug16 Jun22 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Oct19 Sep06 Aug06 May03 Mar26 (yanez moises)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 30.00    
3  REMINDER Nov28 Oct19 Sep19 May23 May04 (sano antonio)FERRER C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN WIND Dec13 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul12 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HYPER VENOM Nov28 Oct18 May04 Apr26 Mar23 (bagwandeen per)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
6  STANDPOINT Nov28 Oct28 Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 4.50    
SCR  TONY B Nov26 Jun20 Apr27     (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
8  SWEET TONE Dec13 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep06 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
9  JIBILIAN Nov28 Oct09 Sep23 Sep11 Aug16 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 118 5.00    
10  SPARTACUS'S DUDE Nov28 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun21 (mcburney p)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
11  BRAGGART JOE Nov07 Oct15 May27 May19 Aug27 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 15.00    
12  SKY MASTERSON Nov28 Oct15 Oct04 Sep18 Aug21 (dini mike)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.50 8% 11.40    
SCR  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Nov29 Nov09 Oct18 Oct03 Aug10 (gardea abraham)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
SCR  RAMESSES Sep04 Aug09 Jul06 May29 May18 (kintz matth)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.