Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - November 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/1/3)-(7/3/8/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(7/3/8/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(7/3/8/2/6)-(1/3/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/3/8/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/2/6)-(7/3/8/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/2/6)-(7/3/8/2/6)-(7/3/8/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/2/6)-(1/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/2/6)-(1/3/6)-(4/6/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(4/6/2)-(7/2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(7/2/5/3)-(5/3/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(5/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(5/3/2/4)-(7/5/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/4)-(7/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYE DIRECT Oct31 Sep06 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of AYE A CAT by FIBER SONDE)
JUBA'SDIAMOND Jun06 May23 May10 Apr25 Mar28 (lockle)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of HASTYPUDDINDIAMOND by CITISLIPPER)
MILLE PAROLE         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 124 1.60 18% 4.40    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of RESTRAINT OF TRADE by CITY ZIP)
DON'T GET CUTE Aug09         (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 126 10.00    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of SOFIE S by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
KING UNI         (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 124 4.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MODEST MADAME by KING CUGAT)
PEACE FOR SIMON Sep04 May31 May10     (wilhelm tab)RAMGEET R 124 30.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PROSPECTIVE PEACE by MEDFORD)
 
CT-2   11/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY BAY Nov05 Oct22 Sep04 Jul24 Jul10 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 117 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  OUR STREET ANGEL Oct18 Aug15 Jul26 Jun12 May15 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 120 6.00    
KEEP SHINING ON US Nov01 Oct04 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 (davis russ)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOMORROW'S EDGE Sep12 Sep04 Jan03     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Oct11 Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
OUR MISS CROSSBOW Oct18 Aug15 Jul26 Jul10 Jun07 (runco jeff)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 3.00    
GHOST OF ALCINA Oct18 Oct02 Aug14 Jun21 May23 (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 122 20.00    
 
CT-3   11/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELINE FACTOR Oct03 Sep18 Apr18     (barr dona)BOCACHICA J 124 20.00    
GORTREAGH GAL Oct30 Oct15 Sep27 Sep13 Aug16 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 5.00 6% 16.50    
PROUD WORDS Nov03 Sep30 Aug27 Aug08 Jun05 (knudsen kent)ACOSTA D 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
ESTRELLIS Oct15 Aug16 Aug09 Aug14 Jul18 (nazario pedro)LUNA A 126 20.00    
LORRAINE'S WAY Oct30 Oct17 Sep26 Aug23 Jun21 (delgado al)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 4.50    
FLYING DESTINY Oct30 Sep27 Jul21 Jun26 May26 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
LILLIPUT Oct18 Sep26 Aug20 May23 Feb28 (farrior ant)EBOW III 112 1.60 38% 1.60    
CAJUN PRIME Nov08 Oct17 Oct09 Sep26 Sep18 (mccanns arle)BELISARIO JUAN 117 4.00 14% 6.00    
DENIM N LACE Oct15 Sep27 Aug31 Aug09 Jul27 (werneth rob)BURNHAM MATILDA 124 20.00    
 
CT-4   11/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE Jan24 Jan03 Dec09 Nov29 Nov04 (hamlin kathl)LEWIS M 126 2.50 27% 2.80    
TINA'S BACK Oct22 Sep25 Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 3.50    
BAB'S ESTATE         (lucas )RIOS-CONDE JR 126 4.50 25% 3.10    
GOLDEN PLUNGE Nov06 Oct17 Sep25 Sep06 Mar06 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00    
SHESSWEETLIKECANDY         (rangel ricar)BELISARIO JUAN 117 5.00    
RUNAWAY GOLD Nov06 Oct17 Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALMARY Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 Sep07 Jul31 (knudsen)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
SMALLTOWNSMOKESHOW Oct24 Oct09 Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 (knudsen kent)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE CASTLE Nov07 Oct17 Oct09 Sep27 Jul30 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
STRYDA Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 Aug22 Jul31 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 117 2.00 36% 1.80    
PAISLEY SINGING Oct10 Aug23 Feb04 Jan07 Dec18 (frock charl)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 8.00    
DISSOLUTE Oct16 Jun13 May22 Apr11 Mar14 (siculietano )LEWIS M 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Oct29 Oct09 Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80    
 
CT-6   11/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE ALERT Sep05 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
ALICE'S MOON Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 (figgins oll)EBOW III 112 2.00 19% 4.20    
PALACIO Oct29 Oct15 Sep26 Sep18 Sep01 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE Nov01 Oct15 Sep05 Aug17 Jul11 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50    
ADDY MAE Nov01 Oct08 Sep05 Aug14 Aug01 (boggs joanna)DIAZ JR 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
TOWN TOPIC Nov01 Oct15 Oct03 Sep12 Aug09 (bass curti)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
SARONIC BAY Oct29 Oct15 Sep05 Jul04 Jun06 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
CT-7   11/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODEST KAY Nov08 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 (gomez r)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
SONDE TAILS Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 124 10.00 8% 11.70    
LIL KNOCKOUT Oct22 Sep25 Sep06 Jul26 Jul19 (dollinger-st)LEWIS M 122 5.00 12% 7.00    
FANCY CONCHITA Nov06 Oct25 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 (cromer lesli)BELISARIO JUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST PRINT Nov05 Oct11 Sep25 Sep04 Jul24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.20 53% 0.90    
AZTEC MELODY Nov06 Oct25 Oct03 Apr23   (dacosta j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
MEEMAW'S GIRL Nov05 Oct11 Sep11 Aug16 Jul26 (reggetts steph)MONTANO JOSE 120 4.50    
GRAND INTENTIONS Nov01 Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 Jun27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   11/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRIGHTSVILLE Oct31 Oct10 Sep14 Jul31 Jun20 (carlisle john )MONTANO JOSE 126 10.00    
SCR  STORE SALE Nov06 Oct31 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 (campbell ma)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
FABELMAN Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 Aug16 Aug01 (jones micha)EBOW III 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
COOLKID Sep19 Aug21 Aug01 May30 May09 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
CONTRIVANCE Oct22 Oct02 Aug30 Aug08 Jul11 (carlisl)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
WE LIVE THIS GAME Oct22 Sep15 Sep07 Jul20 Jun29 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
MO JOKE Nov12 Oct31 Oct25 Oct02 Sep19 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 117 1.40 35% 1.80    
STINGRAY SHUFFLE Oct31 Oct08 Sep20 Aug07 Jul03 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.