Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - November 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/6/1)-(6/1/9/7/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(6/1/9/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(6/1/9/7/8)-(2/4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/1/9/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/7/8)-(6/1/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/7/8)-(6/1/9/7/8)-(6/1/9/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/9/7/8)-(2/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/9/7/8)-(2/4/1/7)-(4/5/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(4/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7)-(4/5/6/2)-(5/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(5/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/6)-(5/9/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/6)-(5/9/6/4/2)-(5/9/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   11/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANGO FOR BUCKS Oct12 Sep28 Aug09 Jul20 Apr24 (valenzu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
VERN'S SHOWSTOPPER Sep21 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun29 (hall dru)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Oct05 Sep15 Jul06 Jun14 Jun01 (puentes jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SHARP ATTITUDE Sep10 Aug23 Aug10 Jul23 Jun29 (ortiz isaiah)CORBETT W 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
BIYOMBO Sep08 Jul31 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 (eikleberry kev)ALVARADO T 122 1.20    
 
TUP-4   11/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO GREY Sep03 Aug06       (lawrence heath)KRIGGER K 121 5.00 8% 11.00    
GIFTED VALOR Oct16 Sep17 Sep03     (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  MOONSHINER Aug08 Jul19 Jun15 Apr30   (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.00    
GOLDEN AGENDA Oct16         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 4.00 53% 0.90    
AL'S BIG BOY         (gilmour jim)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00    
NITRO BOOST Aug24         (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
TUP-5   11/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREEBROTHERS Jun21 Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb06 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
HARD LOVE Sep03 Aug17 Aug06 Jun18 Jun07 (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50    
CRAFTY KING Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul26 Jul09 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 5.00    
PACIFIC THEATER Sep18 Aug17 Jul23 Jul02 Jun08 (fuentes rub)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
WILTON Oct16 Sep02 Jul01 Jun02 May12 (silva a)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
RIGHT HAND RYDER Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jul11 Jun27 (rosale)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
THIRTY SECONDS OUT Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 (ferguson c)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MUAY THAI (IRE) Sep20 May24 Apr22 Mar27 Mar04 (whitehouse w)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
NAVAL ESCORT Sep06 Aug17 Jul13 Jun20 May17 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 5% 17.20    
 
TUP-6   11/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS PAYTON Oct06 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
TROUBLE N PARADISE Jan25 Dec19 Dec04 Nov12 Sep21 (trela rosema)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
SPRINKLES Jan13 Jan01 Nov21 Nov12 Jul21 (matt wend)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 119 8.00    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Sep13 Aug27 Aug10 Aug02 May31 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
LITTLE BIT TIPSY Aug24 Aug03 Jul02 May24 Apr03 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 4.50    
ROSES R BLUE Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul18 Jun27 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00    
GAME TO PLAY Jun15 May26 May18 Apr23 Apr08 (diaz f)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   11/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Oct11 Sep28 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
SMILING LADY Oct18 Oct05 Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BANNER ELK LADY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
BIG POP Oct18 Sep13 Aug08 May30 May04 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of PROPERO by YES IT'S TRUE)
SAYUCAN Sep06 Aug08 Jul05 May30 Mar22 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of BOLD KITTEN by JACINTO)
STAY SASSY Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 Jul03 Jun21 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PIPPA BOU PEEP by HARBOR THE GOLD)
RAVEN'S QUEST Sep20 Sep10 Aug27 Aug16 Jul10 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 8.00 6% 16.80    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CHATTOLANEE by ROCK HARD TEN)
LOVELY LOLA Nov01 Oct18 Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 (simpso)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
 
TUP-8   11/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR INSENSITIVE Sep17 Aug31 Aug16 Aug06 Jul12 (ivy-wr)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 8.00    
CHASENTHEONE Sep13 Sep03 Aug17 Aug02 Jul02 (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 6.00    
PEPPER JACK Sep13 Aug27 Aug06 Jul13 Jun08 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
DOS VICIOS Sep21 Apr28 Mar18 Mar10 Feb25 (whitehouse w)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00    
BATTLE SCARS Sep16 Sep02 Jul21 Jul01 Jun22 (silva jos)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
LIGHT THE BEAM Oct13 Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Aug01 (rosale)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 5% 18.60    
FAST CHAZ Sep29 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00    
SAQEEL Sep26 Jul25 Jun21 May26 Apr27 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
WAR CHEST Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.