Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - October 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/8)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/8)-(5/3/1)-(3/6/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(3/6/1/4)-(4/1/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4)-(4/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/4)-(4/1/7/3)-(2/4/5/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(2/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3)-(2/4/5/8)-(1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/8)-(1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/8)-(1/7/6)-(5/4/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(5/4/6/2)-(6/3/9/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(6/3/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/3/9/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/10/2)-(6/3/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/10/2)-(6/3/9/10/2)-(6/3/9/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES TO LOVE Sep25 Sep02 Aug08 Jul18 Jun28 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  SLEWING Oct02 Sep11 Aug14 Aug07 Jul24 (collyer d)LARROSA G 124 3.00    
COLLECTING ANGELS Oct03 Sep18 Jul24 Jul11 Jun28 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 115 8.00    
CLIMATE CHANGE Oct02 Sep07 Aug14 Jul18 Jun06 (farrior ant)EBOW III 112 4.50 40% 1.50    
LOOK AHEAD Oct02 Sep12 Jul25 Jun28 May23 (shanley ti)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 4.00    
KARPATHIAN DREAM Oct02 Sep04 Jan19 Dec10 Nov26 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
BEACHES AND PEARLS Oct02 Jul31 Jun17 Apr27 Mar20 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 8.00    
MITOLE CANDY Oct02 Sep05 Aug14 Jul25 Jun20 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   10/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PIXY STIX Sep27 Sep06 Jun28 Jun06 May10 (figgins l)LARA VICTOR 112 15.00 12% 7.30    
TITIAN TYRANT Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 Jun13 May15 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 3.00    
CAN I GET AWITNESS Oct17 Sep27 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 6.00 19% 4.20    
CHASE BY THE MOON Oct17 Sep26 Aug22 Jul23 Jun08 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50    
DAME CATHERINE Oct04 Sep19 Sep06 Aug10 Jul26 (adorno jean )BELISARIO JUAN 115 1.40 28% 2.60    
AMORICA Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul11 (rodriguez jes)MAURICIO JOSE 124 10.00    
 
CT-3   10/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAPTASTIC Oct02 Sep19 Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 (dollinger-st)LEWIS M 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DAGUERRE Sep19 Jul27 May30 May09 Mar27 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SAMAMTHA WHO by SULTRY SONG)
TASK FORCE (FR) Oct02 Sep14 May17 Apr11 Feb15 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 118 1.40 32% 2.20    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CAPRIA by REGAL INTENTION)
ROYCES RIDE Oct10 Sep13 Aug29 Jun21 Jun05 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CAUSEWAY ROYCE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RAGTIME SCRIBBLE Oct10 Sep19 Jan15 Dec11   (runco jeff)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCRIBBLE IT by CARPE DIEM (FR))
PICO PLAT Oct02 Sep14 Aug14 Jul19 Jun08 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.60 19% 4.30    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ALHAMBRA CIRCLE by ELTISH)
SCAR NOSE Oct10 Sep06 Aug01 Jul03 Jun26 (shanley timoth)HIRALDO JOHN 118 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of AUSTRALIAN WALTZ by AUSTRALIA (GB))
 
CT-4   10/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS CHOICE Oct09 Sep18 Sep05 Aug08 Jul05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
BLUESKYSLOOKINATME Oct02 Sep12 Sep01 Jul18 Feb21 (locklear jam)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
BUCKSKIN SUZIE Oct02 Jul25 Jun27 Jun05 May17 (shanley s)CRUZ KELVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOVELY LUCY Oct02 Sep18 Aug15 Aug07 Jul25 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
QUEEN OF SOUL Oct10 Sep26 Aug15 Aug01 Jun27 (lane j)LEWIS M 120 5.00    
P B FOXY Oct02 Sep04 Aug15 Jul18 Nov30 (venham )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00    
CAMELIA ROD Sep05 May29 Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 (barton)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
CT-5   10/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADIO Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun06 (hess j)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
MISTER GRINCH Sep26 Sep04 Aug23 Aug09 Jun28 (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.00 54% 0.90    
INTENTION TO ZIP Sep26 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (stehr p)CHILO MAXIMO 120 6.00    
JUBA'S TAJ Sep19 Aug23 Jul25 Jul18 Jun27 (dollinger-st)LEWIS M 120 2.50 10% 8.70    
DONTCROSSTHELINE Sep26 Jul11 Jun28 Jun06 May23 (atkins micha)BELISARIO JUAN 113 20.00 9% 10.60    
A REASON TO PARTY Sep26 Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (grigsby anth)DIAZ JR 120 6.00    
GRONKSFLYINSEAGULL Sep26         (martinez j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00    
CRUSH 'N RUN Oct10 Sep27 Aug21 Jul11 Jun27 (lewis r)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   10/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIBER PROOF Oct01 Sep13 Aug22 Jul19 Jun21 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
SWIFT WATERS Sep19 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 Jun06 (kirlew lenwor)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00    
GRANDPA JOE Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 (boggs joanna)DIAZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  CANDY MAN CAN Oct17 Oct01 Sep20 Aug22 Jul25 (jackson an)BATISTA X 120 8.00    
CANDY MAN MARTIN Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 2.50    
BARSOOM Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug09   (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MEXICALI MIKE Oct01 Aug22 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 (runco jeff)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
CT-7   10/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LINEAGE Oct11 Sep25 Sep04 Aug14 Aug01 (perry lawren)BELISARIO JUAN 113 6.00    
THIS JUICE B LOOSE Oct09 Jun21 May24 May02 Apr18 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAFFEINENNICOTINE Oct14 Aug16 Jul19 Jun21 May24 (meehan)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 10.00    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Sep25 Aug07 May15 Apr25 Mar20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
RUM N COKE Oct04 Sep25 Sep04 Aug02 Jul10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
DIRECT APPEAL Oct11 Sep25 Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 (clatterbuc)BATISTA X 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
BIG JOE B Sep12 Aug07 Jul11 Jun12 May15 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   10/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINELLA Oct10 Sep27 Sep05 Aug09 Jul17 (rangel ricardo)LARA VICTOR 114 15.00    
DREW D'ORO Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 Jun06 Apr12 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN JOE Oct04 Sep27 Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
FU MAN SUE Jul31 Jan02 Dec14 Sep21 Apr21 (sewell lenwo)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May23 May01 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
CLAW Oct04 Sep23 Sep04 Jul26 Jul10 (sandoval mic)BELISARIO JUAN 115 1.40 28% 2.60    
LINE ASTRAY Oct03 Aug16 Jul12 Jun08 May15 (rangel)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 15.00    
BESOTTED Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 May29 Mar15 (atkins micha)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Oct04 Aug16 Jul24 Jun06 Jan30 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
10  HOPPING HENRY Sep28 Sep11 Aug16 Jul05 Jun21 (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00 9% 10.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.