Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/1/3)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(4/6/3)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/2/4)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/3/5)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(5/1/4)-(2/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELZIE CLAYTON         (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
YOUREAWIZARD HARRY Oct07 Aug26       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
DUCK HUNTER Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 Jul07 Jun18 (hayes leland)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 2.50    
SCR  LIGHTNING LANE Oct01 Aug06       (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 117 10.00    
BOSH Oct01 Sep16 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
THEY CALL ME SUE         (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
PATERNO Oct01 Sep19       (herrington c)AYALA J 120 4.50    
 
PID-2   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMENTOUS MISS Sep24 Sep01 Aug11 Jul23 Jun23 (cobb marga)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
BEGANINGREENPOINT Sep14 Aug31 Jul12 May18 Apr26 (gotera juan )AYALA J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHRISTENSEN Sep16 Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (cordero-lopez alex)STOKES J 123 5.00    
BRUDER Oct06 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul25 (beattie )RODRIGUEZ O 125 4.50    
GROWTH CAPITAL Sep29 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jun11 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
CHIPS LEGACY Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jun18 May21 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
PID-3   10/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE PARTY Sep24 Aug31       (harty eo)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 7% 12.70    
KRISSYS STAR Sep06         (morey e)MARTINEZ W 117 4.50    
HIGH YIELD HUNK Sep22 Sep09       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MO DODGY Sep19 Sep09 Aug16 Jul04 Jun01 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 1.80    
MISS MOXEE Oct09 Sep16       (rice lin)RODRIGUEZ O 117 4.50    
VIVA VIENNE Sep08         (russell britt)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
PID-4   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENIK Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 (rice linda)SPIETH S 120 2.50    
EL CHISPAZO Jul08 Jun09 May26 Mar28 Mar02 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00    
MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Sep29 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 Jun02 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
RIDING A DREAM Oct07 Sep19 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
DRUNKLE Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Jul22 Jun25 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
BLESS AMERICA Sep15 Aug20 Jul28 Jun21 May24 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
PID-5   10/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMIKAMI Oct01 Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 Jul28 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
ALCOHOL Sep23 Sep10 Aug19 Jul09 Jun10 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
CLOUD STORAGE Oct02 Sep15 Aug20 Jul15 Jun24 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
FACTISIMFLASHY Sep19 Aug29 Aug09 Jul03 Jun06 (poole m)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
TIME FOR AN ANGEL Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul31 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 1.80    
NEEDED Sep30 Sep17 Sep10 Aug18 Jul22 (gilmartin brend)JIMENEZ S 123 8.00    
 
PID-6   10/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Sep24 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jul28 (connelly tere)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  FACE ABARRIO Jul06 Jun20 May24 May10 Mar02 (antus lawrence)GARCIA F 123 6.00    
SWISS SLANG Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 Jul26 Jul14 (orantes yoni )MORALES PABLO 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
UNCLE TRULY Sep23 Sep03 Aug15 Jul03 May27 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 125 3.00    
BARTULIA Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul22 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
CERTAIN Sep19 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (connelly teresa)MARTINEZ W 123 4.50    
 
PID-7   10/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANES ABLOWIN Sep19 Sep08 Aug19 Jul22 Jun25 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
JUSTICE IS SWEET Sep30 Sep17       (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
LETS GET IT ON Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Aug06   (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
MAJOR MISCHIEF Jun24 Nov09 Oct04 Aug29   (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
KING MENDELSSOHN Sep30 Aug19 Jul30 Jul11 Jun13 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 1.80 51% 1.00    
HOT ROD KITTY Sep19 Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 Jun07 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 120 5.00    
 
PID-8   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAYTE WHYTE Sep02 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 Nov13 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 125 20.00    
GOGGINS         (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
SO GRAND Sep24 Aug24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun11 (davis sc)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
FUOCO Oct02 Sep10 Aug11 Jul07 Nov18 (lawrence l)MARTINEZ W 125 3.50 31% 2.30    
SIETE SIETE SIETE Oct08 Jun01 May01 Mar30 Mar15 (morzan javi)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S NOTION Oct01 Sep16 Aug31 Aug19 Jul29 (kintz matt)AYALA J 122 6.00    
RAR Oct05 Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
VERNOR'S JUNCTION Oct08 Oct01 Aug14 Jul19 Jun27 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
SCR  NOBLE GEM Sep16 Jul29 Jul17 Jun24 Oct16 (morris r)SPIETH S 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.