Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - October 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/5/6)-(8/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(8/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(8/7/6)-(6/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/6)-(8/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/6)-(8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/6)-(6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6)-(6/4/7)-(5/2/11/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(5/2/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(5/2/11/10)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/2/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/11/10)-(5/2/11/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/11/10)-(5/2/11/9/10)-(5/2/11/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/11/10)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/11/10)-(4/2/1)-(5/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(5/9/8)-(4/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-7   WIN (5/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/8)-(5/9/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/8)-(5/9/6/4/8)-(5/9/6/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/8)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-8   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRUMCONDRA Sep26 Aug29       (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 5.00    
2  GRAY MIKE Sep28 Sep07 Jul06 Jun19 Apr13 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00    
3  STORM BACK Sep28 Sep14 Aug06 Jul24 Jun26 (rosas rigo)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 6% 14.90    
4  AVERYZ DAY Sep26 Aug29 Jul21 Oct13 Sep21 (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  MARK MY MEMORY Sep28 Sep07 Aug30 Jul30 Jul05 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 0.80 51% 1.00    
6  KUZ I CAN MAN Sep07 Aug21 Jul06     (rosas rig)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 116 15.00    
 
HAW-2   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING CAB Sep25 Aug24 Jul04 May25 May17 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 4.50    
2  STREET WARRIOR Sep06 Aug09 Jul09 Jun25 May11 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  CLYDE'S GREEN GO Aug21 Jul31 Jul01 Jun10 May17 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
4  ELI'S PROMISE Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May01 Mar22 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 2.00    
5  THEALLIGATORHUNTER Sep06 Aug09 Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
6  SPINNING PRIDE Jun12 May17 Apr03 Mar19   (candelas bla)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-3   10/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLOW'S ICE Sep20         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ALL HALLOW'S EVE by SILVER GHOST)
2  LIEUTENANT CHARM Sep14         (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ENCHANTED LADY by LANGFUHR)
3  THIEVER Aug28 Aug03       (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CRAFTY ANA by CRAFTY FRIEND)
4  KETCHUM         (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00 ★    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ELEGANT SUPERMODEL by LOPE DE VEGA)
5  I NEED MORE MONEY Sep30 Sep09       (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 119 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of BREAD PUDDIN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  COPPERJACKET         (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of TAPRIETTA by TAPIT)
7  UNION CAIT Sep14         (campbell joel)COLON H 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of AGI'S CAIT by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  MR IN PERSONAL Sep17         (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of HAY BABY GIRL by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
HAW-4   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLDEN MICHAEL Sep25 Jul05 May18 Apr27 Apr13 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00    
2  EL MUCHO Sep25 Sep04 Jul24 Jun12 May25 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 122 1.60    
SCR  LATE BLACKSMITH Aug06 Jul03 Jun03 May25 Apr26 (lopez elia)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00    
4  GUNNY SACK Sep25 Aug31 Aug03 Jul17 Jun29 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 119 10.00 29% 2.50    
5  RUMBLING Sep28 Jul27 Jul06 May04 Apr13 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
6  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Sep28 Sep04 Aug21 Aug10 Jul17 (martinez joel)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  FRONTIER MARSHAL Sep14 Aug03 Jun29 Jun05 May04 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   10/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN IT AND RUN IT Sep21 Aug09 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
2  COOL LESTER SMOOTH Sep21 Aug28 Aug10 Jul10   (block chris)FELIX E 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
3  ALADANTE Sep04 Aug17 Aug10 Jul17 Jul03 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00    
4  SAN ANTON (IRE) Sep21 Sep14 Aug28 Aug10 Jul17 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 15.00    
5  MOONRISE DRIVE Sep21 Sep04 Aug17 Jul06 May29 (winebaugh )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 58% 0.70    
6  BYWORD Oct02 Sep21 Sep04 Aug17 Jul24 (candelas bl)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
7  HIGH RANSOM Aug28 Aug15 Jul12 Jun28 Feb16 (cook wesley)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
8  BEST DRESSED MAN Oct02 Sep14 Aug21 Jul27 Jul10 (childers shane)REYES FRANK 119 20.00    
9  LONE RETURN Sep04 Aug24 Jul24 Jul13 Jun26 (alonso fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
10  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Sep21 Sep04 Jul06 Oct06 Sep29 (childers shan)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  MONEY AGENT Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun26 (perez man)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
12  SHTARKER Aug10 Jul06 May18 Oct06 Sep05 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
 
HAW-6   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BL FORTY Sep18 Sep10 Aug24 Aug07 Jul09 (espinoza ed)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRE DITA Dec07         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
3  WHAT'S CRACKIN Sep02 Aug24 Aug02 Jul04 Jun21 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 3.50    
4  KELLY'S GIRL Sep18 Aug07 Jul13 Apr24 Sep08 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  REALTA Sep25 Sep13 Aug23 Jul15 Jun26 (irion heather)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
6  DREAM NAP Sep12 Jul07 Jun16 May18   (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
7  SULTRY KITTEN Oct02 Sep18 Jul13 Jun20 Dec01 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50    
SCR  SMOKED Oct07 Sep22 Jul15 Jun26 May22 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 4.00    
 
HAW-7   10/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURPLE OCTOPUS Oct04 Sep16 Sep02 Aug23 Aug09 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00    
2  MAHONEY ROAD Sep21 Sep04 Aug24 Jul31 Jul13 (reid r)COLON H 122 5.00    
3  WARP RIDE Sep20 Aug09 Jul24 Jul04 Jun11 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00    
4  JOE THE TAILOR Oct02 Aug31 Jul17 Jul06 Jun03 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 4.00 ★    
5  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Jun29 May22 May11 Apr26 Mar09 (divito ja)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 59% 0.70    
6  ZOOMBIE Sep18 Sep04 Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 ★    
7  STABILITY Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Aug06 Jul23 (espinoza ed)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
8  DEVILS RED Sep18 Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jul06 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  CANE CREEK ROAD Sep30 Sep10 Aug23 Jul06 Jun13 (williams )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
HAW-8   10/16/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT DAME Sep25 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 Jun12 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
2  IRISH KITTEN Sep07 Aug21 Aug02 Jul09 Jun28 (cook wesley)COLON H 122 12.00    
3  MISS RIVER RAT Sep28 Sep04 Aug07 Jul14 Jun15 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  ROAR OF SILENCE Sep14 Aug14 Jun01 Oct16 Sep08 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
5  FACTOR THAT Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 (rengstorf )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
6  WANDA STRONG Sep28 May29 May08 Oct10 Aug18 (miller patt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNION DOLLY Sep04 Aug24 Aug07 Jul03 Jun01 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
8  DESERT GLOW Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 (espinoza e)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.