Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - October 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/5/6)-(6/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/5/2)-(3/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(3/1/4)-(8/5/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(8/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(8/5/7/2)-(6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (8/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/2)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/2/7)-(6/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-7   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(6/7/4)-(7/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   10/05/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLISON ROAD Sep04         (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of TAHOE DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
AVA ROSE         (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 5.00    
  (by SLEWDLEDO out of INFINITE CENTS by GOLDENCENTS)
MOLLY THE CAT Sep04         (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of HOUSE CAT by TACTICAL CAT)
ALROSA Aug17 Jul10       (perez man)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MIDPOINT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
THEN NOW 'N ALWAYS Aug17         (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NORA IN THE SKY by SKY MESA)
SHEZ TWISTED Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 Jun03 May15 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LIMITED VIEW by FREEDOM CHILD)
 
HAW-2   10/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR OSCAR Sep06 Aug04 Jun07 Apr27 Jun16 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.60    
SIR STERLING Sep20 Sep06 Aug10 Jul24 Jul09 (rengstorf )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
MISTER KELLY Jul20 Jul03 Jun18 May25 May06 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
TAHOE RUN Jul10 Jun19 Oct06 Jun29 May25 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
SHANKAR Apr26 Feb26 Jan22 Dec08 Oct27 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
CAMP DADDY Aug25 Jul31 Jul03 Jul14 Jun07 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
HAW-3   10/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELEN OF C'VILLE Aug31 Aug14 Jul15 Jun14 May31 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.50    
TOUR DE' PORT Sep07 Aug02 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAME UP ROSES Aug31 Aug17 Jul10 May26 May06 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
WAVE OF MEMORIES Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun26 (lindsay rick)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
ENTICING OPTION Aug31 Jun26 May22 May01 Apr10 (young r)REYES FRANK 124 1.60 17% 5.00    
GOPHERS AXE Aug31 Aug07 Dec21 Nov29 Sep26 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
HAW-4   10/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY HELENA Sep14 Aug10 Jul13 Jun26 Jun05 (martinez j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
DESSERT FIRST Sep21 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May11 (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00    
PASTA SALAD RHONDA Sep25 Sep14 Aug24 Aug07 Jul13 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
HIDDEN SPIN Sep21 Aug20 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
LILY'S CREED Sep06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul13 Jun29 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 4.50    
TALL GIRL Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul03 Jun12 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   10/05/2025 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Hawthorne Derby Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANEGADA Sep06 Aug09 Jul05 Jun07 Apr23 (maker michael )COLON H 124 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
BUTTONS AND LACE Sep04 Aug03 Jul13 Jun12 May15 (boyce michele)MOJICA O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MY MERTIE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SMOKEN BOY Sep19 Aug19 Jun28 Jun07 May14 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SMOKEN DEB by CAIRO PRINCE)
TAUNTING Sep07 Aug07 Jul13 Jun08 May11 (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of RENDITION by A.P. INDY)
WEDNESDAY ADDAMS Sep14 Aug07 Jun29 Jun01   (boyce mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 16% 5.20    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
MAUI STRONG Aug09 Jul04 Jun07 May03 Apr07 (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 1.80    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of LEGAL TENDER by JUDGE T C)
PERRY COUNTY Sep06 Jul18 Jul10 Jun20 May24 (litfin veronica)MCMAHON J 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of TYRANNICAL by STREET BOSS)
SUSHI MAN Sep06 Aug09 Jun28 Jun11 May18 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
  (by ASTERN out of KITTY BOO by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
 
HAW-6   10/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST River Bear Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDYVILLE Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 Jun19 May17 (boyce mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PUNTSVILLE by CASHEL CASTLE)
MIDNITE ALEX Sep19 Sep09 Aug26 Jul19 Jul01 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of HAVANA STROLL by STROLL)
WILDWOOD SICILIAN Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 May26 Oct06 (becker sc)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.00    
  (by GHAALEB out of SICILIAN by STORM BOOT)
RAVIN'S RANSOM Aug21 Aug12 Jul19 Jun26 May17 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 115 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RAIZE'S RANSOM by TAPIT)
FAST JACK Aug14 Jul10 Jun19 May25 Aug13 (becker scott)MOJICA O 119 3.00 10% 9.10    
  (by GHAALEB out of TURTLE PIE by WILD ZONE)
W W HOTSHOT Aug30 Jul01 May26 Oct22 Oct06 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 125 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by GHAALEB out of TRIPLEHOTT by CITY ZIP)
 
HAW-7   10/05/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC HABITS Sep10 Aug23 Aug06 Jul03 Jun07 (escobar ma)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 10.00    
GRACE DARLING (IRE) Sep10 Aug23 Aug13 Jul09 Jun07 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
MY BUDDY BROOKS Sep04 Aug14 Jul13 Jun01 Apr12 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00    
MY LADY SLEW Aug24 Aug14 May18 Apr13 Mar27 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00    
SCR  SHEZALITTLESTINKER Sep08 Aug04 Jul05 Dec19 Oct10 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00    
JOURNEYIST Aug14 Jun15 May18 Feb14 Oct10 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
YAMILE'S Sep04 Aug13 Jul27 Jul04 Jun11 (miller m)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 18.20    
 
HAW-8   10/05/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEARS' D Sep06 Aug20 Aug06 Jul03 Jun11 (miller m)MOJICA O 124 2.00    
SCR  BODADDY Sep07 Jul27       (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
RYAN'S SHADOW Dec24         (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00    
DYNO WAR Sep21 Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar13 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  MORE MONEY MO Sep18 Aug30 Aug03 Jul23 Jun11 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.50    
CASH APP MIKE Sep21 Aug10 Jul24 Jun26 Jun08 (simonovic)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
BLACK RUSSIAN Sep21 Sep14 Aug28 Aug10 Jul17 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  CRUZIN N CURSIN Sep14 Aug10 Jun26 May18 Oct06 (lindsay ri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
SCR  MY LAST ESCAPADE Sep14 Aug21 Jul10 Jun19 May29 (slager mike)FELIX E 124 8.00    
 
HAW-9   10/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY IMAGE Sep18 Aug24 Aug03 Jul24 Oct31 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FOXY ZORRA Sep25 Sep10 Aug16 Aug07 Jun29 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 6.00    
LOST SUNSET Sep04 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 12% 7.30    
SKY RAVEN Aug24 Aug03 Jul24 Jun28 Jun18 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50    
HIGHWOOD Jul25 Jul03 Jun01 May17 Sep22 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
TWO TIMER Sep21 Aug17 Jul31 Jul13 Jun26 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50    
SHE BE SHEEHAN Apr25 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Dec06 (divito ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
RUNNERS HEAT Sep21 Sep04 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 (wilson l)FELIX E 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.