Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Friday - October 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(1/2/4)-(2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(2/4)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/4/5)-(6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/1/5)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/1/2)-(3/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/4/5)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCK WOOD Sep03 May26 Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 119 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  GHOST OF LONDYN Sep16 Sep01 Aug18 Aug07 Jun25 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
3  MR LOOOCH Sep12 Aug28 Jul09 Jun07 Nov25 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  RECKLESS L J Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 Jul09 Jun25 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 8% 12.30    
5  HIP HIP HOORAY Aug14 Jun06 May14 Apr05 Oct26 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
6  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Sep10 Aug22 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 (mendieta aleja)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   10/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PONCHO JAC Sep24         (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by LEA out of JAC A by JAC'S FACT)
2  MO MO LIGHTNING         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  BEAT THE BUZZER Aug05         (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 118 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  LUCKY FOR LIFE         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WAY TO FLY by BOWMAN'S BAND)
5  UNBRIDLED O'BRIEN         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 118 15.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of ULTIMATE HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  LEAVETHENINETYNINE Sep24 Aug26 Aug05     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 4.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of LENA LOVE by CITY WEEKEND)
7  MR. RIFFLE Sep20 Aug22       (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 2.00 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of THE PINK WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
TDN-3   10/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTICAL MOBIL Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul03 Jun11 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 121 6.00    
2  COWGIRLTAKEMEAWAY Jun27 May27 Apr21 Nov07   (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  GREEK BOUTIQUE Sep12 Aug06 Jul01     (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 1.80    
4  OVER THE FALLS Sep16 Sep02 May27 May08 Apr21 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 117 5.00 6% 15.00    
5  RON DAH LOU Sep18 Aug12 Jul03 Jun10 Oct19 (tumblin andr)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 1.60    
 
TDN-4   10/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINGONHIGHLEVEL Sep26         (faulkner rodne)SWAN KIRSTEN 118 3.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LEVEL WITH ME by ROCK SLIDE)
2  TEN REFLECT Sep10         (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 115 8.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of REFLECT by TRAPPE SHOT)
3  LIL RED BEAUDETTE Sep15         (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 118 1.20 60% 0.70    
  (by BUCCHERO out of AMEERAH B by STREET BOSS)
4  TOP FROST         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 13% 6.50    
  (by FROSTED out of TABLE FOR SIX by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  STRIKE BREAKER         (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMART STRIKE out of MARIA CANDELA (CHI) by BALCONAJE)
 
TDN-5   10/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHALI J Aug05         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 13% 6.90    
2  SOLO SURPRISE Sep10 Aug20 May26 May13 Apr12 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
3  SHE'S SO SEXY Aug25 Jul10 Jun21 Jun02 May12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
4  HONDURAS PASSION Sep12 Aug25 Jul10 Jun21 Jun02 (puhl kim)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
5  PEARL MAGIC Sep04 Aug07 Mar15 Feb22 Jan29 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AZTEC MELODY Apr23         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOBIL LADY Sep08 Aug19 Jul07 May08 Apr05 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  KISSING MEDALS Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  COMMISSIONER D Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 Jun16 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Sep16 Aug29 Jul14 Jun02 May05 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
5  AMY'S STAR Sep16 Aug27 Aug07 Jul16 Jun21 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.60    
 
TDN-7   10/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLOILEDCAT Sep16 Jul14 Jun07 May14 Apr24 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
2  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Sep16 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 May29 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 1.60    
3  ELOPEDATTHEDERBY Aug23 Jul25 May30 Jul19 Jun07 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 1.80 34% 2.00    
4  GABADOST Sep16 Aug06 Jul14 Jun21 May27 (esposito c)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  PRINCESS EM Sep09 Aug19 Jun07 May14 Apr24 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY'S PRIDE Sep17 Sep09 Jul14 Jul07 Jun10 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
2  PATRIARCHAL Sep22 Jul09 Jun10 May29 May06 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
3  SAILINGTHEISLANDS Mar05 Feb08 Jan16 Nov20 Nov05 (mahan p)DIAZ I 123 10.00 14% 5.90    
4  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Sep25 Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 Mar01 (gonzalez ric)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 8.00    
5  AUGER Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jul10 Jun25 (feliciano benny )RIVERA R 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  SO DIALED IN Sep04 Aug19 Aug04 Oct08 Sep11 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.