Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/3/5)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/2/4)-(3/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/4/2)-(4/7/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/7/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(4/7/1/2)-(5/3/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/2)-(5/3/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/2)-(5/3/4/1)-(1/7/3/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/1)-(1/7/3/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/1)-(1/7/3/4)-(6/10/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/4)-(6/10/1/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/10/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/8)-(6/10/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/8)-(6/10/1/8)-(6/10/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSH Sep16 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul07 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PATERNO Sep19         (herrington c)AYALA J 120 4.00    
DONT BLAME COURT Aug20         (connelly teresa)MARTINEZ W 117 3.50    
FAAZ         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
DUCK HUNTER Sep16 Aug26 Jul07 Jun18   (hayes leland)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.00    
AYE BAY BAY Sep04 Aug16       (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
PID-2   10/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S NOTION Sep16 Aug31 Aug19 Jul29 Jun27 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
HUNDRED PROOF Sep24 Sep16 Jun18 Jun05 May15 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
GIFT EXCHANGE Sep16 Aug19 Aug11 Nov29 Oct31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
LOOKIN LIKE LUCKY Sep16 Aug16 Jul11 Jun07 May22 (vargas j)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
BAYTOWN BULLEIT Sep11 Jul29 Jun16 May28 Apr21 (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 17.70    
VERNOR'S JUNCTION Aug14 Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 Jan15 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00    
 
PID-3   10/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THALBERG Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 (morrell )GALLARDO A 123 4.00    
MOR SPRING SPIRIT Aug25 Aug11 Jul29 Jun30 Jun18 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 1.60 32% 2.10    
REAL NAUGHTY Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 May10 (cline robert )BRACHO A 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
THE SINNER IS YOU Sep10 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ENJOY THE MUSIC Sep22 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 Jul09 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 5.00    
SHOWDOWN KING Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 123 6.00    
 
PID-4   10/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT NURSE Sep08 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jun26 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 5.00    
HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 Jun24 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
INANNA'S QUEST Aug15 Jun21 May24 Nov09 Oct31 (russell )GALLARDO A 123 1.40 57% 0.80    
ROCK TUNE Aug20 Aug06 Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 123 6.00 5% 18.20    
OMIKAMI Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50    
XERCES Sep15 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 May02 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 4.00    
 
PID-5   10/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTRICITY         (clement migue)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of SILVER LANTANA by BADGE OF SILVER)
GEVALIA         (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of WILD MOCHA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LIGHTNING LANE Aug06         (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of STONEDOLLER by AMERICAN FREEDOM)
HEN PARTY         (harty eoin)POSTON K 110 2.50 43% 1.40    
  (by HENNESSY out of BASKING by LORD NELSON)
BROADWAY MUSICAL Aug31 Aug16       (o'dwyer jeremi)SHEEHY DANNY 120 3.00    
  (by CLEVER TRICK out of ISLAND TREASURE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SUN KISS Aug28 Aug16       (mott willia)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 110 3.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of SAN ANTONIO STROLL by STROLL)
INTIMATE Sep08 Aug25       (pappada )GALLARDO A 120 5.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TOPSIDER out of CITY OF LOVE by CITY OF LIGHT)
 
PID-6   10/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL KING Aug11 Jul23 Jun18 Nov01 Jun26 (fennessy joh)AYALA J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRUIT Sep02 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Nov29 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 125 15.00    
KING REIGERT Sep17 Sep10 Aug22 Jul29 Jul02 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
NICOLE'S WILL Aug11 Jul04 Jun07 Apr11 Sep20 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 8% 11.70    
INCREDIBLE Aug23 Jul29 Jul03 Jun05 Oct23 (hiles a)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
SHOOT THE WAVES Sep03 Aug24 Aug05 Jul03 Jun09 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
SCR  WETLANDS WILLY Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
RACHAEL'S WAGON Apr04 Mar08 Feb20 Jan20 Dec26 (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00    
 
PID-7   10/01/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLARAMENTE Sep12 Aug25 Aug19 Aug04 Jul03 (rojas mu)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
ARGUMENTAL Sep15 Aug06 Jul30 Jun24 Jun04 (russell randall)ALLEN M 123 10.00    
MINNESOTA MUNNY Sep03 Aug21 Aug01 Jun23 May21 (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 9% 9.70    
BAYTOWN STORM Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 May21 Mar14 (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAKE A MILLION Sep24 Sep01 Jul23 May20 Mar26 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 8.00    
NELIDA Sep15 Aug26 Aug06 Jul28 Jul03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 10.00    
WHEREVER WE ARE Sep15 Sep02 Aug15 Jul28 Jul03 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  LA SCATTA Sep17 Aug25 Jul15 Jun23 May28 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50    
NO DOUGH NO GO Jul15 May31 Apr05 Jan29 Nov12 (reed r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
 
PID-8   10/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Sep09 Sep01 Aug05 Jul07 Jun18 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 9% 9.80    
RIO DEL ARMOUR Sep16 Aug08 Jul26 Oct25 Oct17 (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 116 15.00    
MARKET ORDER Sep22 Aug29 Aug15 Feb01 Aug27 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
SCR  QUEEN ATLAS Sep14 Jun21 May24 Dec14 Nov11 (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 120 2.50    
SCR  STRAWBERRY SKY Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul28 (valdez moises)GARCIA F 120 20.00    
DOWN IN THE BAYOU Aug15 Jul30 Jul08 Jun23 Jun16 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 123 6.00 34% 1.90    
GROSSE ILE Sep16 Aug24 Aug15 Jul23 Jun29 (brooks g)RODRIGUEZ O 123 4.00    
TOVIA Sep16 Aug15 Jul30 Jul20 Jul02 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
KATHLYNS PHALANX Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jun15 May12 (carr-rozantz )MORALES PABLO 123 15.00    
10  TRIPLE SECRET Sep16 Sep01 Aug15 Jul30 Jul14 (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.