Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - September 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/3/4)-(3/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/7/6)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(6/5)-(6/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/3/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(6/3/1/8)-(2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8)-(6/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/8)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/8)-(2/5/1)-(5/9/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/9/1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/9/1/3/4)-(2/7/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-7   WIN (5/9/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/3/4)-(5/9/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/3/4)-(5/9/1/3/4)-(5/9/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/1/3/4)-(2/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   09/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEY Aug24 Aug07 Jul06 Jun05 May11 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
GUNNY SACK Aug31 Aug03 Jul17 Jun29 Jun05 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00    
PONCHO ATTACK Sep11 Aug10 Jun12 Jun05 Mar07 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
HOLDEN MICHAEL Jul05 May18 Apr27 Apr13 Feb14 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
EL MUCHO Sep04 Jul24 Jun12 May25 Apr20 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
THREE AFLEET Sep04 Jul24 Jun29 May11 Oct10 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Sep04 Aug21 Aug10 Jul17 Jul06 (martinez joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50    
 
HAW-2   09/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTISM COMPASSION Aug28 Aug17 Jul13 Jun12 Apr27 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 38% 1.70    
PASTA SALAD RHONDA Sep14 Aug24 Aug07 Jul13 Jun29 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
IZZY'S MONSTER Jul13 May29 May03 Apr20 Nov11 (villa francisco)MOJICA O 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Sep10 Aug24 Jul13 Apr27 Apr17 (dizeo dino)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONG TALL WOMAN Aug24 Jul24 Jul10 Jun15 Apr24 (villa francis)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
HOT DAME Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 Jun12 May24 (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
 
HAW-3   09/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QURBAAN D ORO Sep10 Aug21 Jul13 Jul04 May26 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 8.00    
REGAL MAJESTY Sep11 Aug30 Jun18 Apr27 Mar28 (berndt joel)MOJICA O 121 3.00    
OH MACARENA Sep07 Aug14 Aug03 Jun29 May29 (bigelow c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
CHURCH PEW Sep10 Aug21 Jul30 Jun18 May24 (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50    
SCR  SPICY ITALIAN Sep07 Aug14 Jun29 May13 Mar08 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00    
MADELYN ATTACK Sep07 Aug03 Jul13 Jun12 Oct29 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE DIXIE Jul27 Jul06 Apr17 Mar22 Apr11 (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  END OF INNOCENCE Aug24 Jun26 May29 Apr27 Mar02 (haran john)REYES FRANK 122 4.00    
 
HAW-4   09/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY SHOT Aug21 Jul31 Jun29 Jun01 May22 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50    
SCR  CENTRAL PARK Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 Jan25 Jan06 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 0.80    
LARRY THE POET Aug03 Jul17 Jul06 May24 May10 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
FREEDOM EMPIRE Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 Jul06 Jun01 (villalobo)ULLOA JOAN 119 20.00    
FEVER NATION Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 May31 May17 (jansen ken)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
RUSSIAN TO WIN Aug28 Jul31 Jun29 May17 Apr06 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 4.50 57% 0.80    
 
HAW-5   09/25/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIALEAH HOTTIE Sep04 Aug05 Jun28 Jun10 May27 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 15.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  SASSY WALKER Sep06 Jul22 Jul05 Jun21 May10 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
HONOR HIS HALF Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
SHARP ATTACK Sep07 Aug21 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (divito jam)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Aug31 Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 Jun01 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
ISLAND BENDER Aug27 Aug16 Jul05 May26 Sep19 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 35% 1.90    
FOXY ZORRA Sep10 Aug16 Aug07 Jun29 Dec07 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00    
GOLDEN NOTE Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 Jul06 Jun15 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISTY SUNDAY Sep02 Aug19 Jul06 Jun19 Dec01 (alonso fe)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 30.00    
10  REALTA Sep13 Aug23 Jul15 Jun26 May31 (irion heather)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
SCR  SHE STOPPED SHORT Aug24 Aug03 May04 Apr09 Mar26 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 119 10.00    
SCR  MISS SAIPAN Aug31 Jul17 Jun01 May04 Apr13 (bahena fe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00    
 
HAW-6   09/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMNUS (GB) Sep16 Aug21 Aug10 Jul06 Jun03 (rodriguez)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
IDEA MAN Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.80 35% 1.80    
OFF TO THE RACES Sep14 Aug21 Jul27 Jul10 Jun03 (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
SCR  HATCHET CREEK Aug17 Jul17 Jun26 May29 May15 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
KING OF THE PALACE Sep07 Jan11 Nov28 Sep26 Sep05 (tracy tanner)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
RISKY BOY Aug07 Jul19 Jul01 May29 May15 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
BREAKING NEWS (GB) Sep02 Jul27 Jun01 May01 Mar27 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
 
HAW-7   09/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN GAL         (rodriguez edua)COLON H 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of RED DANE by RED ROCKS)
RESORT FEE Aug21 Aug02       (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STORMIN MAGGY by STORM CAT)
ROARING VIXEN Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 Jun12 May22 (cristel j)REYES FRANK 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TRAVELING TIGER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
KAIA'S CHOICE Aug31 Sep26       (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NAGZILLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BRAVE SAMANTHA Sep06 Aug18 Jul14 Jun12 May19 (medina rob)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LITTLE HIDDEN GEM by BODEMEISTER)
UNKEPT PROMISES Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 Jun11 May15 (candelas )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CHEERS DARLING by CUVEE)
I'M HUNGOVER Aug31 Jul20 Jun01     (block chris)MOJICA O 121 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of JOYFUL NIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
CATNIP HILL Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 Jun12 May15 (horvath f)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 116 30.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOMORERICHBLONDES by HARD SPUN)
MIRACLE MINDED Aug31 Aug13 Jul03 Jun14 May26 (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by PAYNTER out of CURLISH FIGURE by CURLIN)
 
HAW-8   09/25/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALISUE Aug02 Jun29 May10 Apr19 Mar02 (campbell joel)FELIX E 119 20.00    
SYNTACTIC Sep13 Aug16 Jul30 Jul12 Jun28 (escobar mar)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 27% 2.60    
C F V BULLET Aug31 Jul31 Jul06 Dec22 Dec06 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE STEVEN Sep14 Aug31 Aug09 Jul17 Jun08 (candelas )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
SOUL COAXING Sep14 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jun05 (villa fran)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Aug30 Jul19 May25 May01 Apr13 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
EYE DEE KAY Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 May22 Apr27 (villa franc)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  LUCKY BOSS Sep18 Aug19 Aug02 Jul19 Jun07 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
SCR  REDFIELD Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May25 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.