Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (7/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/6)-(4/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/6)-(4/3/2/8)-(3/6/7/1/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/8)-(3/6/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/8)-(3/6/7/1/9)-(3/8/11/2/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/6/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/1/9)-(3/6/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/1/9)-(3/6/7/1/9)-(3/6/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/1/9)-(3/8/11/2/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/1/9)-(3/8/11/2/10)-(8/3/9/2/5) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LAD-4   WIN (3/8/11/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/11/2/10)-(3/8/11/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/11/2/10)-(3/8/11/2/10)-(3/8/11/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/11/2/10)-(8/3/9/2/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/8/11/2/10)-(8/3/9/2/5)-(7/9/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-5   WIN (8/3/9/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/2/5)-(8/3/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/2/5)-(8/3/9/2/5)-(8/3/9/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/9/2/5)-(7/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/2/5)-(7/9/8)-(10/2/1/8/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-6   WIN (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/8)-(7/10/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8)-(7/10/9/8/4)-(7/10/9/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/8)-(10/2/1/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (10/2/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/8/3)-(10/2/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/8/3)-(10/2/1/8/3)-(10/2/1/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   09/22/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REESE'S WORLD Aug20 Jul14 Jun26 May22 Feb23 (zeringue w)RAMIREZ JR 120 20.00    
LEFT HER BEHIND Sep06 Aug19 Jul11 Mar24   (rangel raul)VARGAS P 125 5.00 10% 9.30    
OLIVIA ANTOINETTE Aug19 Jul30 Jul11     (duhon o)BOREL H 120 6.00    
MEG'S LADYBUG Aug19 Jul28 Jul11 Jun16 Jun02 (burkes bobby)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 4.00    
SWEET THIRTEEN Jul24 Jun27 May20 Mar20 Jan31 (woodley j)REA HUNTER 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
VICKIE'S HALO Sep01 Jun16 May20 Apr26 Mar30 (wilson melto)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
KINSLEY GRACE Sep06 Aug16 Jul24 May20 Mar01 (balderas alfo)PENA JONUELLE 115 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
LAD-2   09/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADISON RAE Sep09 Jul05 Jun19 Apr23 Feb05 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 123 1.50    
CAJUN ACES Sep09 Aug30 Aug06 Jul14 Jul01 (wilson melto)JOURNET JARRED 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
TALKSALOT Aug28 Aug02 Jul04 May29 May09 (sanchez juan)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD EXAGGERATION Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Jun07 Feb21 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 65% 0.50    
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Jul12 Jun26 May30 Apr12 Mar06 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 116 15.00    
LEXINGTON DIVA Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun20 Jun06 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 123 20.00    
DAY FOR THE GRAY Sep02 Aug21 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00    
EAGLE EXPRESS Aug29 Aug15 Jul12 Jul01 Jun17 (eschete naso)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
TURN ON THE BLING Sep09 Aug11 Jul16 Jun24 Jun06 (jacks e)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
 
LAD-3   09/22/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF AMBITION         (jeansonne justin)REA HUNTER 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of THEMLEY by UNCLE MO)
SHE'S A LIVE WIRE Aug29 Aug01       (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of INCOMING WIRE by HALF OURS)
K G'S MAGIC Aug30 Jun27 Jun07     (gelner jayde)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of CITY RUN by CHEROKEE RUN)
LIL BIT FORGOTTEN         (hargrave k)GONZALEZ NICASIO 119 6.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of FORGOTTEN by BRAHMS)
IT'S JUST SIMPLE         (foster jose)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of DRINKING FUND by PLACID FUND)
OH BABY         (gibson jon)BATISTA X 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of OH MY OH by COMIC STRIP)
MO SIMPLE         (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50 8% 12.20    
  (by YAUPON out of AN EDDIE SURPRISE by SQUARE EDDIE)
ATHENA'S IRON LADY         (sanchez juan)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 20.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of ARTIST CRY by CLEVER CRY)
KARA FLASH Sep06 Aug18       (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME BET out of BETTY LOU by HOLY BULL)
 
LAD-4   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T BLINK TWICE Feb15 Jan31 Dec04 Nov15 Oct29 (rivera nestor )MUNOZ SERGIO 121 30.00    
SHELLEY'S ROSE Sep02 Aug11 Jul09 Jun18 May14 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
WOWSERS Sep09 Aug25 Feb17 Jan19 Nov28 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
MEDAGLIA'S SONG Sep09 Aug25 Jul19 May10 Apr27 (rangel raul)PENA JONUELLE 119 15.00    
SCR  STELLA RIDGE Sep09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun28 Jun15 (rangel raul)EDISON JOCELYN 119 30.00    
PAPIRINGA Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 Aug14 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 120 5.00    
MAKING MISCHIEF Sep09 Aug11 Jun19 Jun07 Apr29 (morris rowdy)JOURNET JARRED 120 30.00    
DINAHS GIRL Aug18 Aug09 Jul19 Mar09 Jan31 (degeyter r)BATISTA X 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
CAT ATE THE CANARY Aug18 Jul30 Jul22 May25 Feb22 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 6.00    
10  SURELY THE ONE Sep01 Jul28 May26 Apr25 Mar28 (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  Y CITY Aug18 Jul29 Jun09 May26 Apr27 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   09/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH N CLASS Sep06 Jul21 Jun19 May20 Mar18 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Aug05 Jun21 Apr04 Mar09 Jan04 (foster jose)SANTIAGO EDWARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TITANIUM DEAL Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 May31 May08 (richard russ)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
SOUTHSCAPE Aug23 Jul03 May21 Apr24 Mar13 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
MAGNOLIA WEST Jun28 Apr30 Mar20 Jan19 Nov28 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHASTE ONE Aug18 Jul15 Jun10 May25 May05 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 20.00    
NATIVE STAR Aug29 Aug11 Jul31 Jun21 Mar18 (gelner scott)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00    
HOUSE BOURBON Aug23 Aug07 Jul26 Jun07 May17 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 122 2.00 49% 1.10    
TONTERIA Aug30 Aug23 Aug05 Jul15 Jul03 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PACIFICISLANDTIME Aug30 Aug13 Jul01 Feb15 Feb01 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
 
LAD-6   09/22/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUTONIUM Aug13 Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May30 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 122 30.00    
SCR  NOVA'S RETURN Sep01 Aug21 Aug08 Jul19 Jun12 (schwandt e)BATISTA X 115 20.00    
MUCHO MACHO CAM Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 Jul12 Jul04 (love alan)BOREL H 122 30.00    
LITTLE DITTY Sep01 Aug12 Jul14 Jun29 May03 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
DEE'S LEGS Aug26 Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 Jun02 (nelson eri)GONZALEZ NICASIO 119 20.00    
SCR  THE HIT KING ROSE Jul29 Jun09 May25 May02 Apr18 (jackson rich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00    
QUATERNION Aug27 Aug09 Jun21 May27 Mar12 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.50 79% 0.30    
MISTERHOLYROLLER Aug26 Aug13 Jul25 Jun29 Jun10 (melancon don)JOURNET JARRED 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALL SAINTS Sep01 Aug15 Feb22 Jan17 Dec18 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CATHY'S BOY Sep01 Aug12 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
SCR  AGATINO (IRE) Sep01 Aug01 Jul05 Jun05 May10 (peterson je)SANTIAGO EDWARD 122 8.00    
SCR  DOSS Jul29 May20 Sep10 Aug27 Jul24 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 119 30.00    
13  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Aug22 Aug01 Feb23 Jan05 Dec07 (broussard jerv)MUDD JAMISON 117 10.00    
14  ITS WILD AGAIN Sep01 Jun13 May10 Mar14 Feb21 (peterson jes)EDISON JOCELYN 114 20.00    
 
LAD-7   09/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNIN MUNNIN Aug25 Aug07 Jul29 Jul18 Jun20 (faul jason)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 8% 11.10    
CUSTOM'S CLEARED Aug18 Jun17 May13 Mar22 Feb27 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.00 12% 7.10    
COURAGEOUSLY Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jun22 Jun03 (fogarty desmond)SINGH R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
PEGASO (PER) Jul15 Jul01 May19 Mar04 Feb12 (turner patti)VARGAS P 119 6.00    
BERNIN TUNE Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 Jun03 May08 (claire ale)BATISTA X 122 30.00    
SUMMER LOVER Sep10 Jul21 Jun24 Jun15 May19 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 30.00    
MOMENT OF STARDOM Jan01 Aug16 May11 Mar23 Feb08 (wilson shane)JOURNET JARRED 119 15.00    
FRAN'S STAR Aug18 Apr11 Mar21 Jan30 Jan01 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
GORILLA TREK Aug27 Jul29 Jul01 Jun15 May27 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
10  PUBLIUS Aug07 Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 Dec19 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 53% 0.90    
11  FOXTROT HARRY Sep02 Jul21 Jul01 Jun02 Apr20 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50    
SCR  VERACRUZIN Sep10 Apr06 Mar21 Mar06 Feb14 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.