Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(7/4/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(7/4/6/5)-(4/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
HAW-2   WIN (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/5)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/5)-(4/3)-(7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(7/4/6)-(1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(1/6/5)-(10/5/2/12/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(10/5/2/12/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(10/5/2/12/3)-(1/5/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (10/5/2/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/2/12/3)-(10/5/2/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/2/12/3)-(10/5/2/12/3)-(10/5/2/12/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/2/12/3)-(1/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/2/12/3)-(1/5/2/7)-(7/2/1/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7)-(7/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/7)-(7/2/1/4)-(1/9/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/3/1/4)-(7/2/3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/4)-(1/9/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-9   WIN (1/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/2)-(1/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/2)-(1/9/4/2)-(1/9/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABUNDANCE Jun08 Apr11 Feb22 Jan18 Dec28 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ABOUNDING JOY by QUALITY ROAD)
2  ANTHONY THE GREAT Aug31 Aug10       (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 1.60 57% 0.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SCARLET FLUTTER by SMART STRIKE)
3  ATTERSEE         (block chris)COLON H 121 3.50    
  (by KLIMT out of LAKEFRONT by DEPUTY MINISTER)
4  FINAL COUNTDOWN Aug31 Jul14 Jun23     (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.50    
  (by GIO PONTI out of CINNIE by MARTE)
5  PRINCE DAY Oct10         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 6% 16.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of LATENT PRINCESS by LATENT HEAT)
 
HAW-2   09/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND FESTIVAL Sep07 Aug28 Jul27 May25 Apr28 (perez manny)COLON H 124 20.00    
2  KISS MY CHARMS Jul24 Jun26       (young r)REYES FRANK 121 20.00    
3  CASH APP MIKE Aug10 Jul24 Jun26 Jun08 May11 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50    
4  SAN ANTON (IRE) Sep14 Aug28 Aug10 Jul17 Jun13 (rosin cot)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
5  DYNO WAR Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar13 Feb21 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLACK RUSSIAN Sep14 Aug28 Aug10 Jul17 Jun26 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARLEY PRIDE Jun28 May09 Apr06 Mar07 Feb09 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 1.20 64% 0.60    
SCR  RAGNOW Sep06 Aug21 Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
 
HAW-3   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED PULSE Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 Jun29 Jun08 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 6.00    
SCR  PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Aug21 Aug05 Jun29 May22 May04 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 1.20    
3  WINGING WAYS Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul10 Apr27 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  RACARINO Aug31 Jul27 Jul10 Jun08 May20 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  LAND MARK DEAL Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul10 Jun08 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
 
HAW-4   09/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTICEONEMORETIME Sep04 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 (thurman rhonda)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
SCR  LONE RETURN Sep04 Aug24 Jul24 Jul13 Jun26 (alonso fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
3  I O FEDRO Sep04 Aug17 Jul24 Oct06 Sep22 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.80    
4  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Sep04 Jul06 Oct06 Sep29 Sep08 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  COOL LESTER SMOOTH Aug28 Aug10 Jul10     (block chris)FELIX E 121 4.50    
6  MONEY AGENT Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun26 May11 (perez man)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOONRISE DRIVE Sep04 Aug17 Jul06 May29 Apr17 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
HAW-5   09/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LICENSE TO STEAL Sep09 Aug17 Jul13 Jun08 Oct10 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
SCR  GAME SANTA Aug21 Jul10 Jun19     (perez manny)COLON H 119 6.00    
SCR  DASH TO THE CASH Sep04 Jul27 Oct13 Sep05 Aug11 (lindsay ri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
4  BYWORD Sep04 Aug17 Jul24 Jul06 May29 (candelas )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 8.00    
5  GUN IT AND RUN IT Aug09 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 5% 18.60    
6  T LAW Aug09 Jul22 Jun28 May29 May11 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
HAW-6   09/21/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN ON ATTACK Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 May25 Mar09 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
2  HAWKS CREEK Sep07 Jul03 May29 Oct06 Aug26 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
3  GRAND ILLUSION Sep11 Aug28 Jul01 May29 May01 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE Sep11 Aug28 Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 30.00    
5  DEL RAYO Jul08 May03 Mar15 Feb26 Feb01 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  DAPPER DUDE Sep09 Aug24 Aug03 Jul08 Jun19 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
7  CANYON STREAK Sep07 Aug17 Aug07 Jul13 Jun28 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50    
8  WICKED SUPRISE Sep07 Jul10 Jun29 Jun19 May29 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00    
9  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Sep04 Aug17 Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 (poulos de)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
10  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Aug31 Aug14 Jul17 Jun29 May25 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 8.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Sep14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun19 May25 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
12  SHARP STICK Sep07 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 May22 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   09/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Sep06 Aug05 May08 Apr13 Mar28 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  SIGNATURE STREET Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANNIE'S HOPE Aug23 Jun29 May29 May01 Apr13 (villa francis)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
4  DESSERT FIRST Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May11 Apr17 (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.60    
5  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Sep14 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (villa francisco)MOJICA O 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  NO NANNETTE NO Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 6.00    
7  JOCELYN Sep04 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (perez man)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   09/21/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. LOUIE LOUIE Jun19 May17 Apr26 Oct26 Oct08 (becker scott)FELIX E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RIVER REDEMPTION Aug24 Jul02 May07 Mar15 Jan18 (young r)COLON H 122 8.00 31% 2.20    
3  ALL CHOKED UP Jul03 Oct13 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 ★    
4  BOURBON LIFE Sep06 Aug17 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARD TO FATHOM Sep07 Aug17 Aug07 Jul24 Jun29 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
6  MAHONEY ROAD Sep04 Aug24 Jul31 Jul13 Jun15 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
7  EVEN THE WIND Aug07 Jul13 Jun15 May29 Oct13 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
8  AMERICAN CAUSE Sep06 Aug10 Jul20 Jun21 May29 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
9  TOWERING STORM Aug24 Aug08 Jul03 May11 Mar08 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50    
 
HAW-9   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITTEN CONSENT Aug31 Aug21 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  TIME BREAK Sep11 Aug24 Jul08 Jun03 May06 (lopez eli)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WILDWOOD QUEEN Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May28 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
4  RUNNERS HEAT Sep04 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jun26 (wilson l)FELIX E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIDDEN SPIN Aug20 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 May02 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50    
SCR  LOST SUNSET Sep04 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
7  HEAVENLY HASH Sep04 Aug24 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
8  TWO TIMER Aug17 Jul31 Jul13 Jun26 Jun01 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00    
9  STAGFLATION Jul22 Jun28 Jun05 May13 Apr22 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.