Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/1/4)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-6   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(2/5/4)-(5/1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-8   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   09/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL RUN Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Jun28 May30 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  WEDGE POND Sep01 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 44% 1.20    
3  BARAK Sep05 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 (ward anderson)CARTER KYLE 125 3.50    
4  DON'T LET ME DOWN Aug23 Aug08 Jul11 Jun24 May30 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 125 2.00    
5  DOUG'S HERO Aug09 Jul07 Jun06 May23 Nov03 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-2   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINAHASPECSHOES Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 3.00 27% 2.80    
2  JOY IN GRACE Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul07 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.00 32% 2.20    
3  NINE OCLOCK CEASER Sep06 Aug22 Jul07 Jun24 May17 (henson robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00 7% 14.20    
4  LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Aug15 Jul18 Jul07 Apr01 Mar10 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.20    
5  KARDINAL ROSE Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 May24 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50    
 
CTD-3   09/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERLICH Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 Nov03 Sep22 (coney jason)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  NEIGHBOR Aug01 Jul07 Jun15 Oct12 Sep22 (henson r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  SELF SERVING Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00    
4  CALI CONQUEST Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOLY EMPEROR Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 May17 (vanoverschof ro)CARTER KYLE 125 2.00    
 
CTD-4   09/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARUNDEL CASTLE Aug02 Jul12 Nov02 Oct06 Sep22 (gilkyson as)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOAX (IRE) Sep05 Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 May17 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 1.60 19% 4.10    
3  MATURITY DATE Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 May31 (rycroft carl)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50    
4  DONTGIVEUPTHEFIGHT Aug23 Jul26 Jun28 Jun13 Apr10 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  WHO'S THAT BABY Jul07 Jun24 Jun06 May17 May03 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 2.50    
 
CTD-5   09/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARTERBACK DAK Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun15 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 125 0.80 34% 2.00    
2  KYSTONE Sep12 Aug23 Aug02 Jun24 Jun07 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 4.50    
3  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 May30 Apr02 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00    
4  BRINGER OF RAIN Sep02 Aug20 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 125 6.00 28% 2.60    
5  STREET VENDOR Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun13 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
6  TITIAN Aug23 Aug09 Jun27 Jun14 May30 (henson robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-6   09/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOB BOSS Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Aug23 Jul26 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 15.00 21% 3.70    
2  SPORTSCARR Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00    
3  HARD DIAMOND Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 Jun24 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
4  MENDELJOHN (IRE) Sep05 Aug23 Jul18 Jul05 Jun06 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 4.50    
5  SQUALOTORO Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 Jul05 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZONE CONTROL Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Aug01 Jul07 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  NICE GUY EDDIE Aug23 Feb19 Jan29 Jan01 Oct27 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 123 6.00    
8  POINT TO THE STARS Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jul04 Jun15 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
 
CTD-7   09/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAHUN Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 30.00    
2  FIRECRACKER STAND Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul07 May24 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  HE'S A SAINT Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (ward a)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 20.00    
4  GOOD BYE PUTIN Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 (coney jason)HUGHES RASHEED 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PICAHOUSE Sep05 Aug30 Aug09 Apr30 Apr22 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 4.50 28% 2.50    
6  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 3.50 ★    
7  TIGERITO Sep06 Aug30 Aug15 Aug04 Jul19 (rumsey cory)LAHOE RUJA 125 6.00    
SCR  MOUNT ASGARD Sep05 Aug16 May31 Oct13 Sep21 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 3.00    
 
CTD-8   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET CITY DOLL Sep06 Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 Jun06 (robertson je)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  SMOKIN JOY Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Oct12 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
3  ALBERTA Sep06 Jul25 Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 (petrowski )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 30.00    
4  VIOLENT VIOLET Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 May09 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 123 8.00    
5  H K MIMI Sep06 Aug09 Jul18 Jul04 Jun24 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  WORTHY SPIRIT Jul25 Jun07 May23 May03 Oct27 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Aug15 Jul12 Aug02 Jun07 May04 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ISABELLE ANNE Jul12 Jun27 May23 Nov02 Oct26 (kettleson to)HUGHES RASHEED 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.