Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-4   WIN (7/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/6)-(4/1/8/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-5   WIN (4/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-6   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/6/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/6/8/4)-(3/6/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-7   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-8   WIN (5/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7/4)-(5/3/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/6/7)-(7/2/1/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-9   WIN (7/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-4   09/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KESSLER KID Aug31 Jul27 Jul11 Jul06 Sep29 (higgins martha)COATES R 126 10.00    
MONTANA Sep06 Aug16 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 (greene paul)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00    
LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Sep07 Aug10 Aug02 Jul13 Mar29 (eaton terri)BETHKE A 126 8.00 34% 2.00    
BRUIN MAGIC Sep07 Aug17 Jun29 Sep28 Sep15 (klatt melissa)VIRGEN JESUS 126 2.50    
SCR  STAR OF STARS Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 Jul19 Jul12 (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 126 5.00    
RIVER TIBER (IRE) Aug30 Aug15 Aug09 Jul27 Jul20 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALTERNATE TIME Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 Aug02 Jul13 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 126 2.00 35% 1.90    
CHUMLY Aug30 Aug17 Jul05 Sep10 Aug10 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SWF-5   09/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODBYE NOW Sep12 Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 Aug03 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
BROKE THE CODE Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jun14 Jun06 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 123 8.00    
CHILLING VIPER Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jul12 Jun06 (hadley garrett)COATES R 124 10.00 12% 7.70    
BIG BLUE CAT Sep07 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Mar04 (guadarrama om)ZAVALA JULIAN 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
BENCH'S CONQUEST Aug30 Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Jul13 (hadley jordan)LARSEN S 126 12.00    
TIZ A SNEAKY LINK Aug31 Aug16 Jul20     (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 121 8.00    
TRES TENADORES Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Sep01 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50    
TERRY'S SERVICE Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 May30 (kemper kerry)BETHKE A 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
SWF-6   09/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.5K) 35 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WYOMING JEWEL Sep06 Aug30 Jul13 Jun14 Jun06 (buenrostro igna)ARANA MINOR 125 3.50    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of PEARL'S FROM ABOVE by FLASHY BULL)
NATIVE KID Aug29 Aug16 Jul27     (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 128 3.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of SHE'S BORRACHO by TALE OF THE CAT)
GEORGE'S SURPRISE         (dillenbec)RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CITY WOLF out of TOP NOTCH by OLD TOPPER)
GRAVASTAR Sep05 Aug22 Aug03 Jul26 Jul19 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 128 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of GRAVATA by MONSUN (GER))
ROAD QUEEN Sep05         (giles raelee)BETHKE A 125 4.50    
  (by CAHILL ROAD out of EVOKING by UNION RAGS)
DELIGHTFUL RESERVE Sep05 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Apr26 (quezada zach)CHAVEZ E 126 4.00    
  (by LA RESERVE out of TRIBAL DELIGHT by TRIBAL RULE)
MR. DUFF Sep05 Sep01 Jul27 Jun29 May26 (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 128 6.00    
  (by DANCE HALL DOCTOR out of BIG HONEY BEE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
R N S STRATAGEM Sep05 Aug22 Aug03 Jul05 Jun22 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR BOND out of STRATAGEM by AIR COMMANDER)
 
SWF-7   09/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAW SOME Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Feb25 (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 128 4.50    
STAR ENTRY Aug31 Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 (hall dru)ARANA MINOR 128 2.00 34% 1.90    
TAG ME Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 (scudder jr)COATES R 128 4.00 34% 2.00    
DREAM TRAP Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 (johnson robert )WOOD DAKOTA 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 (teeter clay)BETHKE A 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
REDISUR Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul26 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 128 12.00    
WARRENS WORLD Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (por)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 6.00    
MUAY THAI (IRE) May24 Apr22 Mar27 Mar04 Feb24 (whitehouse wilton )LARSEN S 128 5.00    
 
SWF-8   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Sue Wallis Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAW ME Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 May04 (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.00    
  (by LAST DRAW out of MONTADA by DAYJUR)
JERSEY SUNSET Aug29 Jul27 Jun15 May17 Apr20 (dillenbec)RIVAS CARLOS 126 3.50    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of FREE SUNSET by SIERRA SUNSET)
CRIMSON LADY Sep01 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jun29 (scudder jr)COATES R 126 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUSAN'S WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
SHEZA DELIGHT Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 (simpson gary)ZAVALA JULIAN 126 8.00    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of FORESTRY'S DELIGHT by FORESTRY)
ZIPPIN PIPPIN Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 Sep29 Sep08 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 54% 0.90    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PROUD DAME by PROUD ACCOLADE)
ADIOS MUCHACHAS Aug30 Aug16 Aug09 Jul19 Apr29 (mitchell chris )WOOD DAKOTA 126 10.00 5% 18.60    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of ALL SUMMED UP by IN SUMMATION)
VELLA Aug22 Aug03 Jun08 May26 Mar18 (whitehouse wilto)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TREASURE RIDE out of PEARL'S RULE by TRIBAL RULE)
LOVELY LOLA Sep06 Aug16 Aug10 Jul26 Jun15 (ortega joe)BETHKE A 126 5.00    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
SUPER ANNIE Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Sep29 Sep08 (hall dru)ARANA MINOR 126 12.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of PERFECT ANNIE by PERFECT MANDATE)
 
SWF-9   09/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GEMAR Aug22 Jul13 Jun29 Sep23 Sep02 (warr scott)ARANA MINOR 128 15.00 5% 19.00    
STAYSOBER Aug29 Aug15 Aug31 Aug16 Sep03 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 128 2.50 26% 2.90    
GETTIN TWO COZZY Jun07 May17 Oct06 Sep07 Aug31 (johnson bruce)VIRGEN JESUS 125 12.00    
FAST SOPHIA Sep05 Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 (buenrostro i)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
MONTUCKY Aug30 Jul26 Jun20 Sep28 Aug30 (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 128 2.00    
TRAILERS BULL PEN Sep05 Aug16 Aug10 Jul13 Sep29 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 5.00    
LET'S TIE ONE ON Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 May31 Aug04 (scudder jr)COATES R 128 4.00 40% 1.50    
IMPULZIVE STORM Jul05 May11 Sep28 Sep07 Aug10 (matt r)CARDENAS JACOB 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.