Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - September 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/7)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7)-(4/5/1)-(3/8/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/8/4/7)-(3/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/7)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/7)-(3/5/2)-(4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/1)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/4/3)-(3/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   09/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYCROFT Aug29 Jul31 Jun28 Nov22 Nov01 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 121 4.00    
NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD Sep03 Jul31 May15 Mar20 Jan08 (montford leslie)FLORES E 123 15.00    
KORU Aug06 Jul17 Jun13 May26 Aug28 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
WORK FROM HOME Sep10 Aug21 Aug07 Aug01 Jul11 (salvaggio m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 4.50    
SEVERN RUN Aug13 Jul24 Jun21 Jun01 May17 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00    
VEKOMA KID Aug23 Jun27 Jun07 Mar18 Nov23 (black ken)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
MAX BARLEY May17 Apr13 Mar13 Dec11 Nov20 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 123 15.00 6% 16.80    
THICK AS THIEVES Aug22 Jul31 Jul17 May18 Mar18 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  REGGAE MAN Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jun21 (lawrence james)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00    
 
PEN-2   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGO'S MARGARITA Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jun18 Jun05 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN STYLE Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun12 May24 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
MISS WILDWOOD Sep04 Aug08 Apr25     (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 1.40    
VIXENZHYPNOTKHONEY Aug07 Jul05 Jun05 May16 Apr25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.80 35% 1.90    
NEW BOOTS Sep01 Aug23 Jul16 Jul05 Jun19 (demario a)FLORES E 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-3   09/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS RUMMIKUB (FR) Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 May24 Apr11 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 119 3.00    
BRAQUET Aug21 Jul17 Jun27 Jun11 May02 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 3.50    
CHANTILLY ROAD Jul23 Jun20 Apr26 Jul20 Jun22 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
CALL ON CLARA Sep03 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Sep27 (reck christ)INIRIO J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELEANOR RIGBY Sep06 Aug20 Jul25 May03 Apr23 (betancourt e)TORRES L 112 30.00    
BALLROOM EYES Jun18 May15 Mar21 Feb14 Jan09 (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 121 5.00    
REDO Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Apr24 Dec05 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOLA GATA Aug30 Aug08 May03 Sep07 Aug17 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  AURORALINNA Aug15 Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 May17 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  MARELOW Aug06 Jul02 Feb26 Jan28 Dec30 (servis c)RIVERA KENDRY 112 5.00    
SCR  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Aug08 Jul05 Jun15 May24 Apr18 (linder louis )IORIO MELISSA 121 3.50    
SCR  MIA VITA Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 Jun15 Apr18 (synnefia)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 3.00    
 
PEN-4   09/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESEARCH TRIANGLE Aug23         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 119 5.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of EDGE CITY by PETIONVILLE)
PUNCH AND JUDY Aug07 Jul24       (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
PARAMETRIC         (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of SETUBAL by THE FACTOR)
FORTUNATE MISSION         (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 3.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GIRL ON A MISSION by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
AMBESSA         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 20% 3.90    
  (by HOLY WAR out of PEMAQUID SALLY by TALENT SEARCH)
TIK OR TAK Jul24         (albright r)CHIAPPE R 119 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of JESSICA'S TAK by MUTAKDDIM)
 
PEN-5   09/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARISSE Aug07 Jul17 Feb27 Jan03 Nov02 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ELENI Aug22 Jun06 May16 Apr26 Mar08 (synnefias dimitrios)CORA D 121 3.00    
STRONG DECISION Aug20 Aug06 Jul25 May08 Feb27 (rodriguez f)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.00    
ENIGMATIC Aug31 Jun14 Mar07 Jan24 Dec29 (synnefia)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 1.00 55% 0.80    
AVRIL Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 May21 May03 (carpio erin)RAMOS O 121 2.50    
 
PEN-6   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY'S LOVE Aug21 Apr02 Feb26 Jan14   (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 1.60    
SCR  VINO AMORE Jul24 Jul03 Jun05 May15 Apr25 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 123 2.50    
TAP AND A HUG Sep04         (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
PEACHY PROMISES Jun27 May06 Apr14     (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
WOOD LILY Sep03         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 6.00 36% 1.80    
IRISH LOVE SONG Aug21 Aug06       (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00    
 
PEN-7   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND DANIEL Aug18 Jul14 Jun15 May19 Feb28 (servis ty)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 1.80    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Sep04 Aug14 Aug01 Jun27 Jun05 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 2.50    
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Aug29 Aug08 Jun27 Jun05 May08 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
DEBATE Jul11 Jun26 Jun06 May16 May01 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET SPITE Aug22 Jul11 Jun19 May23 May08 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 123 4.00    
STATELY ORDER Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jun05 May15 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.