Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/3/4)-(4/6/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/3/4)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(4/6/1)-(6/5/7/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/6/1)-(6/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(6/5/7/2)-(5/6/8/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (6/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/5/7/2)-(5/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/2)-(5/6/8/7)-(2/6/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (5/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/8/7)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/7)-(2/6/3)-(6/4/1/9) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/4/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (6/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/9)-(6/4/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/9)-(6/4/1/9)-(6/4/1/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANGER TOWN Sep03 Aug05 Jun15 May25 May10 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 122 25.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of STRANGER TIDES by UNION RAGS)
2  THE WRIGHT WAY Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16   (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by BASIN out of HIDYGO by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR  HIGH MILER Jul30         (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
SCR  AREUNOTENTERTAINED Sep03 Aug19 Aug05     (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 0.80    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LADY LAPUMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  TODO CORAZON         (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of JR'S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
ASD-2   09/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Matron Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURROW DOWN Aug26 Aug04 Jul15 Jun25 May31 (taphorn mike)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.40 48% 1.10    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
2  MARVELOUS LADY Aug26 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 118 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SAPPHIRE BLUE by MR. GREELEY)
3  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Aug23 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCH OF TROY by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  MAGIC CHROME Aug26 Jul22 May31 Mar31 Mar06 (wise a)ALI RONALD 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEASIDE MAGIC by HARD SPUN)
5  BABY GUNDIN Aug26 Aug04 Jun29 Jun06 Apr27 (gourne)PATTERSON R 123 2.50    
  (by OXBOW out of MINX by TAPIT)
 
ASD-3   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEZE 'EM Aug13 Jul15 Jun23 Jun11 May28 (laing sherry)CHICKENESS S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PESO Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Jun04 Apr29 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
3  NORTHVALE ROAD Aug27 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Apr26 (gourneau jerr)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.20    
4  DESIGNATED HITTER Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 Jun03 (anders)PATTERSON R 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  MR. STANG Aug27 Jun24 Jun03 Dec23 Nov03 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 122 4.00    
6  TOTALIZER Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May28 (laing sherr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
ASD-4   09/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINERAL RIGHTS Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 May27 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 5.00    
2  I AM MILA Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 (jordan jennife)HEWITT ROGER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAJESTIC APPEAL Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 121 15.00    
4  CASUALLY CLASSY Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun17 Jun04 (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 117 6.00    
5  BOUND FOR HEAVEN Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  BETTY JO Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 Jul09 Jul01 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
7  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Sep10 Aug20 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00 19% 4.10    
 
ASD-5   09/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gold Cup Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC TIGER Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (anders)PATTERSON R 119 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
2  RIVERSIDE Aug26 Aug04 Jul12 Jun27 May31 (wise a)ALI RONALD 119 25.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MCKAGUE Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Aug13 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of NORTHERN COTTON by HIGH COTTON)
4  CORREDOR Aug04 Jul14 Jun10 May14 Apr18 (keshane nor)TOWNSEND SHAVON 119 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of MY FOOLISH HEART by SKY MESA)
5  JUDO Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.00 30% 2.30    
  (by STREET SENSE out of OUR LOVE TAP by TAPIT)
6  MALIBU S S Aug26 Aug04 Jul23 Jun01 May16 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DARLING MY DARLING by DEPUTY MINISTER)
7  ARREST Aug01 May31 Apr16 Mar19 Feb20 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 20.00 8% 11.90    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of CEDAR ISLAND by FIVE STAR DAY)
8  MR JAWS Sep02 Aug25 Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 (gourneau je)DALRYMPLE DARIO 114 8.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPANISH ANGEL by EARLY FLYER)
 
ASD-6   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOIWONTBACKDOWN Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jul08 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 25.00    
2  LEMON TWIST Aug27 Aug04 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 1.00 36% 1.80    
3  RUGGED ROOSTER Sep09 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jul09 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 15.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  HOT CAKE Sep09 Aug19 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (cole terr)SEECHARAN A 122 30.00    
5  SILVERCREEK KID Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Jun02 May21 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 119 4.00    
6  ROCKIN ATTHE PARTY Aug27 Jun21 Jun14 Jun08 Sep04 (hanson deborah)PRUITT CIERA 117 20.00 28% 2.60    
7  BETTERMAKETHATTWO Aug04 Jun17 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 (cizik lar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.00    
 
ASD-7   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL TO PAR Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jun19 May21 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 12.00 17% 4.90    
2  RYTHMOFTHERAIN Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 Jun18   (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 119 25.00    
3  SGT. FILKOW Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Sep09 Aug27 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 20.00    
4  CANADIAN LITES         (hunter judy)PARRIS SACHIN 114 6.00 21% 3.70    
5  ROCKY TOP MISCHIEF Aug20 Aug05 Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00    
6  DO NOT Sep02 Aug20 Aug12 Jul29 Jul23 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 119 1.20 26% 2.80    
7  MIDNIGHT CHEER Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 30.00    
SCR  MOMMAS EDITION Aug13         (cizik larry)BELLE SHAVON 119 40.00    
9  MO MAMBO Aug20 Jul29 Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.