Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - September 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/6/1)-(10/1/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(10/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(10/1/7/4)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (10/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/7/4)-(10/1/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/7/4)-(10/1/3/7/4)-(10/1/3/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/1/7/4)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1/7/4)-(1/2/3)-(4/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/5/1)-(4/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(2/10/9/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/5/2/1)-(4/3/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(2/10/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(2/10/9/6/4)-(7/1/2/9/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (2/10/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/6/4)-(2/10/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/6/4)-(2/10/9/6/4)-(2/10/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/9/6/4)-(7/1/2/9/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/9/6)-(7/1/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/9/6)-(7/1/2/9/6)-(7/1/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CICATRIZ Aug14 Jul25 Jun29 May03 Mar27 (shanley timothy)LARA VICTOR 108 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BEACH GIRL by VIOLENCE)
2  DICE ARM Aug14 Jul25 Jul05 May24 May10 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HIPPOCAMPUS by TAPIT)
3  FOX FIFTY EIGHT Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May23 (payne claud)RAMGEET R 118 12.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of CAUSE FOR REPENT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  READY TO ROCKNROLL Aug15 Aug02 Jul04 May24 Dec27 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TAP CLASS by TAPITURE)
5  CITIFIED Aug30 Aug15 Jul23     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 2.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SCARLET by UNCLE MO)
6  PRINCESS BLAME Jul26 Dec02 Oct26 Oct01   (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 114 2.00    
  (by BLAME out of OUT OF MY DREAMS by TWO PUNCH)
 
CT-2   09/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINEY GHOST Aug09 Jun26 Jun14 May17 Apr26 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TUP'S TO TAKE Aug09 Jul12 Jun14 May17 Apr26 (jones michae)BELISARIO JUAN 110 8.00    
3  MONKEY WRENCH Aug09 Jul12 Jun14 May31 May17 (barahona isa)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
4  WISHFUL THOUGHTS Sep05 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 0.60 44% 1.30    
5  BEST HOP IS A DROP Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun14 May29 (atkins michael )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
6  SHUFFLE Aug09 Jul12 Jun05 May29 May01 (rofe jean)STOKES J 122 4.50 31% 2.30    
 
CT-3   09/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALHALLA'S PALACE Aug15 Aug01 May08 Mar13 Feb26 (brown w)LARA VICTOR 114 5.00 19% 4.10    
2  TYCOON MOGUL Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jun07 May21 (ramos m)CHILO MAXIMO 118 6.00    
3  JUBA'S NOTION Aug15 Jul19 Jun21 Jun05 May24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 6.00 ★    
4  CHICA CHUCK Sep05 Aug08 Nov20 Nov14 Oct25 (adorno )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEFIANT GIANT Sep04 Aug07 Jul11 Jun12 May15 (shanley timoth)HIRALDO JOHN 124 5.00    
SCR  REMYS GUNSMOKE Aug26 Jul23 Jun17 May25 May04 (cuttino l)STOKES J 124 12.00    
7  JUBA BOUND Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 Jun13 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  COLOR FIELD Aug31 Jul18 Jul09 Jun18 May29 (nazario pedr)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
9  SIR BANANA BRIAN Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jul04 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
10  FIRE OF ANATOLIA Aug08 Jul18 Jun13 May15 Apr18 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
CT-4   09/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BEE BOP Aug22 Jul03 Jun05 May16 Apr25 (sandoval mic)BELISARIO JUAN 114 2.50 61% 0.60    
2  PRINCESS MARGARET Sep04 Aug15 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 (sandoval michael)CULLUM W 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PLAYING FOR TWO Sep04 Jul12 May13 Apr10 Mar06 (shanley timothy)LARA VICTOR 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COAL COUNTRY Aug22 Aug02 Jul24 Jul05 Jun13 (shanley timoth)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.00    
5  DIXIE YODELER Mar14 Feb19 Jan30 Jan02 Dec06 (davis )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50    
6  RAN THE RED Aug01 Jun21 Apr30 Mar16 Mar01 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
7  O K SMARTY PANTS Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Apr19 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00    
 
CT-5   09/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIO LORENZO Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 May17 Apr25 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CORONATION TIME Aug16 Jul03 Jun20 May16 Apr25 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00    
3  RAPPER ZAPPER Aug14 Jul09 Jun14 Oct26 Oct05 (cruz jesus)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
4  SWEET SODDY J Aug23 Jul01 Jun16 Apr22 Mar01 (jones michae)BELISARIO JUAN 110 10.00 42% 1.40    
5  MARK DID IT Aug15 Jun13 May08 Apr11 Mar21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
6  DANCE FOR GREEN Aug07 Jul12 Jun28 Jun18 May29 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
7  ABUELO PAPS Aug16 Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 May31 (walters l)ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
8  JESTER'S SONG Aug01 Jul17 Jun22 Jun06 Apr13 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 ★    
 
CT-6   09/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP ON PRAYING         (boykins kevin)STOKES J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
2  PEPPA'S PRIDE         (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of FUNNY PEPPER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  PRESHOW HYPE Aug16 Jul05 Jun06 May09 Apr23 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 108 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
4  AIM'S REDIRECT Aug09 Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50 45% 1.20    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  SMART CRY Aug16 Jul26 Jun21 Jun06   (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 118 1.40 ★    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
6  UNCONDITIONAL LOVE Aug09 Jul10 Jun21     (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of OUR MISS BETTY by CHARITABLE MAN)
7  GOLD ROAD Sep06         (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 30.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of CANDLE OF GOLD by FIBER SONDE)
8  STARS OVER JUBA Sep06 Aug09 Feb27     (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by JUBA out of LIANA STAR by LINE OF DAVID)
9  KAYLEE'S FIREBALL Aug09 Mar14 Feb27 Feb08 Jan31 (clatterbuck fre)LARA VICTOR 108 50.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
10  MODEST KAY Aug16 Aug09 Jul25 Jun12 May02 (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of KEYSTONE PIPELINE by LOUIS QUATORZE)
SCR  KEEP SHINING ON US Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 May09 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 3.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
 
CT-7   09/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY PASS Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun14 May31 (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
2  COASTAL CRUISE Apr23 Nov29       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 24% 3.10    
3  TAP THE ARCHES May10 Apr19 Oct26 Sep26   (gur battulga)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
4  MOR D'ORO Sep04 Jun14 May23 May10 Apr25 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TALENTED LINO Aug16 Jul04 Jun06 May03 Apr23 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 12.00    
6  RENEGADE RABBIT Aug16 Jul18 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  INDICATOR Aug16 Jul19 May11 Apr11 Mar21 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.50    
8  BIRCH BAY Jul25 Jun21 May23     (boggs joanna)DIAZ JR 118 20.00    
9  HOLIDAY CASH Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun21 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
10  FIBER PROOF Aug22 Jul19 Jun21 May31 May10 (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  HUMOROUS Sep05 Aug16 Jul04 Jun14 May29 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 20.00    
SCR  RED ROSCOE Aug19 Jul22 Jun22     (cuttino l)STOKES J 122 20.00    
 
CT-8   09/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN THAT SAINT May23 May02 Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  KENNY HAD A NOTION Jun14 Apr23 Feb27 Feb06 Dec13 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 13% 6.80    
3  OPTIMISTIC NATE Jul26 Jul13 May08 Apr23 Mar29 (gillespie a)STOKES J 122 3.00    
4  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jul04 Jun13 May22 May08 Apr23 (king w)DIAZ JR 120 12.00    
5  SUTTON VALLEY Aug16 Apr23 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 (venham )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
6  THANK YA PETE Aug31 Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 (cromer lesli)BELISARIO JUAN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAIN LINE CIPHER Aug08 Jul04 Apr05 Mar22 Feb12 (calhoun amanda)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  ANTIPOISON Oct10 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
9  BILLY JACK Aug23 Jul24 Jun19 Jun03 Oct16 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
10  GABRIEL SEVEN Aug31 Aug16 Jul10 Jun14 May24 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  TENAX Jul23 Jun22 May31 May10 May27 (graham ro)HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.