Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Friday - September 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-1   WIN (3/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7)-(2/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(8/2/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-4   WIN (8/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-1   09/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.5K) 35 M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVINCIBLE ANGEL Aug30 Jul13 Jul05 Jun14 Aug25 (lavanway )RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00 19% 4.10    
  (by GIACOMO out of ANGELS O' WAR by WAR POWER)
2  CUT N CURL Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 Nov15 (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
3  FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR) Jan19 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 Dec26 (whitehouse wilto)COATES R 128 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of ENERGIE GREEN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
4  RAINBOWS ON ICE Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Oct12 Sep28 (johnson bruce)VIRGEN JESUS 128 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPIT TEN by TAPIT)
5  BANDERSNATCH Apr05         (dillenbeck bruce)MARTINEZ R 126 6.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of CAUSEWAY R. N. by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  MORE THAN INDY Aug30 Aug16 Jun23     (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 6.00    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of SORA by CROWD PLEASER)
7  LADY QUICKSAND Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jun13 Apr22 (mitchell chr)BETHKE A 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of LADY ATARAH by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR  SWEET JO Sep05 Aug22       (goo)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 126 3.50    
  (by FIVE SEASONS out of ICE N SWEET by SING BABY SING)
 
SWF-2   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODBYE NOW Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 (mitche)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50    
2  SARAH'S BIG BANG Aug03 Jul05 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (hansen da)RIVAS CARLOS 128 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  DIABLOS MOON Aug29 Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 Jun13 (hadley tori)ARANA MINOR 128 4.50    
4  THE FUSS Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jul04 (gurnick emma)REYES CRISTIAN 128 6.00    
5  SCREAMING VIRGINIA Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jun07 Jan14 (buenrostro ign)VIRGEN JESUS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  I AM AMADEO Aug29 Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 May30 (eaton terri)BETHKE A 128 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
SWF-3   09/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOS MAN Aug31 Aug10 Nov01 Oct13 Sep08 (gurnick emma)BETHKE A 126 3.00 39% 1.50    
2  VALIANT KNIGHT Aug22 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 (dominguez ca)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50    
3  HARBOR THUNDER Aug09 May25 May18 May04 Mar26 (lavanway dayson)COATES R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WINSITWELL Aug10 Jul06 Jun14 Apr19 Mar24 (hall dru)ARANA MINOR 126 6.00    
5  MONGOLIAN FROST Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 (barrio sergio)MARTINEZ R 126 4.00 ★    
6  BUCK OWENS Sep06 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 (story shaun)VIRGEN JESUS 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  HULA CANDY Sep05 Aug17 Jul27 Jun20 May02 (hall d)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00    
 
SWF-4   09/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PADDYS FOUR ROSES Aug22 Jul27 Jul06 Sep28 Sep15 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONCH DADDY Aug30 Aug10 Aug02 Jul20 Jul12 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Aug10 May24 Apr15 Mar26 Feb27 (whitehouse wilto)COATES R 126 15.00    
4  STREET N SOUR Aug31 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 Sep22 (simpson lynn)VIRGEN JESUS 126 4.50    
5  BRON AND THE BROW Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jul06 (lavanway )RIVAS CARLOS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIVERSPORT Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 Jul13 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 126 8.00    
7  HOT ARTIE Sep01 Aug02 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 (simpson gary)MARTINEZ R 126 5.00    
8  WAYLAY Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (teeter clay)BETHKE A 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.