Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Saturday - August 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (9/6/5/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/8/1)-(9/6/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/8/1)-(9/6/5/8/1)-(9/6/5/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/5/8/1)-(3/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/5/8/1)-(3/6/2)-(7/4/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(7/4/3)-(6/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(6/3/4)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/5/6)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/6/5)-(1/5/10/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/5/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/5/10/8)-(6/3/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-7   WIN (1/5/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/8)-(1/5/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/8)-(1/5/10/8)-(1/5/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/10/8)-(6/3/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FP-8   WIN (6/3/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/2/4)-(6/3/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/2/4)-(6/3/5/2/4)-(6/3/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPADEEDOODA Jul21 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 May20 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANG IT BABE Aug02 Jul05 Jun24 Jun07 May06 (plasters lori)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00    
RARE BEAUTY Aug02 Oct07 Jul15 Jun27   (retana ga)MEDINA ANGEL 126 20.00    
MADAM LEE Aug10 Jul22 Jul05 Jun14 Oct31 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 20.00    
DISTRACTED Aug05 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07   (becker sco)HERRERA C 120 3.50 5% 18.80    
LADY ARTIST Jul03 Jun12 May13 Apr30 Jun11 (caraker do)SIMPSON M 126 6.00 31% 2.20    
ATRAXA Aug17 Aug02       (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
LOOK MY WAY Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 May20 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
REYANNO ROYAL Aug02 Jun21       (manley steve)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
10  KATIESGONNAMAKEIT May20 May13       (nesbitt amy)GILES EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
 
FP-2   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jul01 Jun12 Apr24 Apr03 Mar27 (alonso)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 4.00    
VIOLENZA D'ORO Jun10 Apr26 Nov02 Sep24 Sep14 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
RACE DRIVER Aug09 Jul19 Jun24 May10 Apr26 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 1.20 51% 1.00    
KANITHAPPEN Oct15 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Sep26 (mcdonnell b)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 12.00    
DEMAND RANSOM Aug19 Aug07 Jul20 Jul12 Jun26 (hughes w)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 6.00    
AFTER MY BROTHER Jul19 Jul01 May20 May10 Oct26 (sandrowski j)FELIX E 126 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
FP-3   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIP TO BALI Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 Oct06 Sep17 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SPECIAL SKIPPY by SKIP AWAY)
SASSY JULIA Aug12 Jul15       (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 12.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of SENSATIONAL GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ALTERNATIVE GRACE Jul05 Jun07 Nov02 Oct08   (wells duane)WALES T 120 6.00 9% 9.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INDY ANNA ANNA by JUMP START)
THINK FAST Jun12         (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 10.00 24% 3.10    
  (by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR out of HONEY BROWN by TOPSIDER)
SCR  EPIC MOMENT Jul15 Jun28 Jun07 Mar29 Mar14 (clay pat)MEDINA ANGEL 126 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLASHY GAL by BOLD N' FLASHY)
MILAALAH Aug12 May06       (lynch e)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of TALAALAH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
D' ARGONAUT Jul20 Jul10 Oct13     (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of D'ARGENT DE MIEL by UNION RAGS)
 
FP-4   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS KID Aug19 Aug09 Jun28 Jun07 May10 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 120 5.00    
TOWER GROVE PARK Aug05 Jul22       (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
STANCE Aug09 Jun28 Jun10 May13 Apr29 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 8% 11.10    
VOLODYMYR Z Aug09 Jul12 Jun07     (becker scott)WALES T 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMND CON SUERTE Nov18 Nov07 Oct21 Sep19 Aug26 (wilborn ke)SIMPSON M 124 10.00    
FIVEO'CLOCKCHARLIE Aug09 Jun28 May27 May10 Nov02 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
 
FP-5   08/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUTLASS KING Jul13 Jun30 Jun17 May31 May01 (lynch e)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00    
MILLARD'S SMILE Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun12 Mar22 (manley steve)WALES T 126 4.00    
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Jul19 May25 May01 Apr13 Mar08 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
GOLD SMOKE Aug07 Jun21 May17 Apr26 Oct17 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00    
POLTERER Jul31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan19 Dec22 (hernandez arman)REYES FRANK 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
REDFIELD Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May25 Apr26 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT A COUNTRY Jul31 Jun21 Sep12 Aug25 Aug06 (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 124 10.00    
 
FP-6   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENDING ALBERT Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 May18   (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00    
ICONICUS Aug17 Jul26 Jul08 Jun21 May24 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
NATIONS DREAM Jun21 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep14 (mcewen j)DIEGO JAVIER 124 5.00    
KING ANTHONY Jul26 Jul08 Jun21 May04 Mar30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
SWEET LA CREMA Jul08 Jun21 May24 May10 Apr18 (wilborn kevi)TAVARES JAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HEART N SOUL Jul08 Jun13 Sep11 Jul11 Jan25 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
FP-7   08/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER SHARPIE Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
REGIMENTAL Jul20 Jul06 Jun12 May29 May15 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
HOLCOMBE Aug02 Jul22 Jul12 Jun17 May31 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  CREPE YARNS Aug05 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (laux clay)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00    
MYSTIC POWER Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 May25 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  VIA DEL CORSO Aug03 Jul17 Jul06 Jun26 Jun05 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 4.50    
HIGHLY PERFECT Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun24 Jun03 (martinez a)WALES T 124 12.00    
NIGHTWIND Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 May25 Apr25 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
PETE'S LEGACY Aug10 Jul12 Jun28 Jun03 May17 (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 10.00    
10  STINGY Jul10 Jun08 May29 May08 Apr24 (schlenk j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00 21% 3.70    
 
FP-8   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEGWAR Aug02 Jul22 Jun28 Jun04 May13 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 120 10.00    
INTO GOLDEN ROAD Aug09 Jul05 Jun10 May27 May13 (coontz arthu)TAVARES JAVIER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
FASTTIMESATMIDNITE Aug09 Jul15 Jun24 Jun07 Apr29 (becker scott)WALES T 124 4.50 5% 18.30    
WORD GAME Jun14 May31 Dec13 Oct23 Oct08 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
RISKY SPIRIT Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Dec31 Oct24 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
FLIGHTNING BOLT Jul15 May31 May13 Apr29 Mar16 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.50 68% 0.50    
CRAZY DIXIE Aug19 Jul26 Jul01 Jun17 May31 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 10.00    
GOODBYE INDY Aug09 Jul12       (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 15.00    
THIRSTY NATALIE Aug02 Jul15 Jun28 Jun23 Jun04 (manley steve)FELIX E 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.