Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - August 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(4/3)-(2/9/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/9/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/9/7/5)-(6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/5)-(2/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/5)-(2/9/7/5)-(2/9/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/7/5)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/5)-(6/5)-(1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/7)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(3/1/6)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MAN TO SEE Aug01 Jul11 Mar21 Oct31 Sep16 (dowling wil)RAMOS O 123 4.00    
WORK FROM HOME Aug07 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 Nov08 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00    
SCR  PHOBIA Jul23 Oct05 Sep19 Aug12 Jul24 (boucher lil)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 8.00    
FREE DROP BACH Jun19 May31 May23 Apr25 Dec20 (dunham g)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE Jul31 Jul01 Oct29 Oct12 Oct05 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00    
ZAPATA (IRE) Jul21 Jul05 Jun10 May05 Mar21 (beecher m)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 66% 0.50    
 
PEN-2   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FULL CONTACT Aug02 Jun27 Jun15 Jun03 May19 (perez flores )RIVERA D 121 5.00    
BRUDER Aug06 Jul25 Jul05 Jan09 Dec20 (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 125 1.80    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May16 May02 (cifarelli fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
FREEDOM'S START Aug06 Jul18 Jul05 Jun13 May30 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
ANNA'S GOT STYLE Aug06 Jun25 Apr24 Mar21 Jan27 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 1.60    
SCR  WEMBY Aug06 Jul05 Jun11 May21 Apr25 (nunley randy)CORA D 123 8.00    
 
PEN-3   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S CAUSE Jul23 Jun25 Nov27 Oct23 Oct02 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 125 10.00    
KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jul16 Jun11 May29 Apr29 Mar28 (kravets m)CORA D 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
A T M AWESOME Jul11 Dec19 Nov29 Oct30 Aug23 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 125 50.00    
JACK SLYE Jul30 Jul05 Jun26 Jun13 Jul17 (catanio pau)INIRIO J 125 15.00    
TRIVISTA Jul25 Jul11 Jun13 May21 May08 (ippolito mark)TUNON JORDANO 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAFITTE'S FLEET Jul11 May08 Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 (kravets bruce )ADORNO ABNER 125 10.00    
INDIRECTLY Aug01 Jul09 Jun05 May22 Apr25 (rathman eli)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 May08 Mar27 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 3.00    
MOBEER Jul10 Jun19 May03 Aug06 May17 (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-4   08/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLIVIA DEE Jul24 Jul05 May02 Nov13 Oct23 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00    
FASHIONISTA Jul24 Jun21 Jun04 Mar14 Feb01 (allen f)HAZELWOOD TESHAWN 119 12.00    
SCR  BUGGED OUT Jun26 Jun12 May04 Mar26 Feb28 (gallegos a)BEATO INOEL 118 4.00    
BOSSY BOOTS Jul26 Jun22 May24 Nov01 Aug24 (flores ir)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00    
BRACCESCA Aug06 Jul08 May29 May17 Apr17 (rodriguez franklin)CORA D 119 10.00 12% 7.00    
XERCES Jul29 Jul15 May02 Jul15 Jun25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MARIANO Jun22 Dec29 Nov10 Oct10 Sep06 (mancilla a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50    
 
PEN-5   08/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI HEAT Jul30 Jul12 Jun18 Jun06 May07 (salvaggio v)CORA D 125 6.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  RYE DIGGITYDOG Aug01 Jun27 May03 Nov29 Oct27 (mcmahon d)HERNANDEZ F 121 3.50    
SCR  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Jul23 Jun25 Feb07 Nov22 Oct31 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 121 8.00    
SCR  HARBOR OF GOLD Jul23 Jun22 Oct04 Sep09 Aug02 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50    
SCR  PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB) Jul23 Jun26 Jun12 May26 Jan08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.00    
BANJO Aug01 Jul22 May17 Apr23 Apr02 (catalano l)AGUILAR JEAN 121 6.00    
MONCRIEF Aug01 Jun29 Jun06 Nov13 Oct25 (robb troy)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-6   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE DANI         (montoya mary)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of LUCKY MISS BUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
PADDY'SHEARTOFGOLD Jul10         (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 4.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RUNAWAY HEART by RUNAWAY GROOM)
GLOWS IN THE DARK         (allard edward )CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of J K'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
CAITLIN THE GREAT         (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
  (by TONALIST out of RARE MATCH by FAIRBANKS)
IRISH LOVE SONG Aug06         (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 125 1.60    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SINGMEALOVESONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SMARTY'S LOVE Apr02 Feb26 Jan14     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SONG OF JOY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
PEN-7   08/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAQUET Jul17 Jun27 Jun11 May02 Apr12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00    
IRIE EMPRESS Jul15 Jul01 Jun07 May25 May13 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00    
DANCING CHIME Aug06 Jul23 Jun27 May09 May01 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SUZY Q THE QUEEN Jul23 Jun20 May19 May09 Apr23 (mauro julia)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 50.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS LIKE BETH Jul16 May27 May13 Apr15 Mar05 (catalano l)AGUILAR JEAN 123 4.00    
PINK ROSE Aug06 Jul16 Jun11 Jun02 May17 (o'callahan carl)CORA D 125 3.50 58% 0.70    
PEYTON ELIZABETH Aug01 Jun22 May24 May04 Apr08 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.50 12% 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.