Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/1)-(5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/4)-(3/5/7/2) 16 $0.20 $3.20 
ASD-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (5/4)-(3/5/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/5/7/2)-(2/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-4   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/2)-(2/7/1)-(3/1/6/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/4/3)-(2/7/1/4/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
    DD (2/7/1)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/5/2/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-6   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/1/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2/8)-(3/1/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2/8)-(3/1/5/2/8)-(3/1/5/2/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Jun14 May25 May11 Apr25 Mar28 (gourneau )SEECHARAN A 123 5.00    
SUMITUP Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May27 May13 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
EAST COAST COWGIRL Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 Sep18 (hunter ju)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00    
ISLAND HIGH Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May28 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 9% 10.00    
I AM MILA Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May27 (jordan jennife)BALROOP SVEN 123 15.00    
BOUND FOR HEAVEN Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 May28 May14 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
ASD-2   08/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phil Kives Purse ($40K) 3UP C/G PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW NO CALL Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 May28 May14 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
DELVECCHIO Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May20 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 119 8.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of BRIARS FLASH by HURRICANE CENTER)
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May27 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 20.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of NAUGHTY DOTTY by REBMEC)
MCKAGUE Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Aug13 Jul30 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 0.40 35% 1.90    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of NORTHERN COTTON by HIGH COTTON)
 
ASD-3   08/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Graduation Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKING BROADWAY Aug05 Apr10       (williams de)TOWNSEND SHAVON 120 2.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIGHTS ON BROADWAY by REAL SOLUTION)
AREUNOTENTERTAINED Aug05         (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 3.50    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LADY LAPUMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
OMAHA WARRIOR Aug05         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCINA by ARCH)
EURO K Jul25         (addicott ronal)BELLE SHAVON 117 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by EUROEARS out of STROLLYMADE by STROLL)
NEYTIRI Jul30 Jul16       (pruitt lise)PRUITT CIERA 114 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TRAJECTORY out of AVATARI by UNION RAGS)
 
ASD-4   08/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINED TO DANCE Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 May30 Apr26 (fraser lo)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50    
FRESNO CHILE Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 Mar23 (fraser lorne)PARRIS SACHIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
YELLOW BIRDIE Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 May27 May13 (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
NO BARB WIRE Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun11 Jun03 (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 123 25.00    
OFFLEY SPECIAL Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Aug05 Jul29 Jun17 May20 Mar26 (stanford mar)BENNETT MATHEW 123 10.00    
OLIVE'S CANDY Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 May20 Sep17 (gardip)PATTERSON R 121 3.00 8% 11.00    
 
ASD-5   08/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIPSY AT THE BAR Jun22 Jun15 Jun16 Sep12 Aug30 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
TAP THE HEART Aug02 Jul25 Jul18 Jun22 May18 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 6.00 39% 1.60    
WAITINBYTHENILE Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 1.60    
JUST A POSE Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 Jun02 May14 (pruitt lise)BENNETT MATHEW 123 4.00    
SWEETNESS TO Aug05 Jul29 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 (constant )SEECHARAN A 121 40.00    
SPUNOUTOFCONTROL Jul05 Jun17 Jun01 May11 Apr05 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 117 3.00    
BELLE EPOQUE Sep04 Jun24 Apr07 Mar01 Feb15 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
CAVORE Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul09 Jun24 (stanford maria)HEWITT ROGER 121 50.00    
SUBLIME EUPHORIA Aug05 Jul29 Oct08 Aug19 Aug05 (gardipy raymo)PARRIS SACHIN 116 50.00    
 
ASD-6   08/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL KLINK Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 May25 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.00 12% 7.40    
BIG INVESTMENT Aug13 Aug05 Jul23 Jul14 Jun25 (stanford mari)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00    
IMPERIAL HORNET Jul29 Jun14 Apr19 Mar28 Feb28 (hunter judy)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 1.00 47% 1.10    
SOL DEL SUR Aug04 Jul29 Jul14 Jun18 Jun03 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 20.00    
DIANE'S WISH Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 May28 May14 (mustard )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 25.00 8% 11.60    
DAAHERS BULLY Aug02 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 (cavanaugh per)CUMBERBATCH R 124 5.00 9% 10.50    
RIDE EM Aug04 Jul22 Jun18 Jun10 Jun03 (husbands tif)BENNETT MATHEW 124 30.00    
 
ASD-7   08/19/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCT TALE Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 Sep23 (hrymak bren)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
EL MUZN Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 May27 May13 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 122 40.00 5% 19.00    
NO MAGIC Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May27 May13 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Jul30 Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 May27 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00    
DIRTY FLIRT Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 May27 Sep16 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00 12% 7.30    
ZEN STATE Jul30 Jul15 Jun10 May02 Apr19 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 1.80    
HOT CAKE Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May13 Apr03 (cole terry)HEWITT ROGER 122 50.00    
MARVELOUS MARK Aug12 Jul09 May21 Apr24 Apr03 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
PICKIN' RIFFS Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.