Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (6/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/8)-(6/1/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/8)-(6/1/2/3/8)-(6/1/2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/3/8)-(11/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/8)-(11/10/6)-(9/7/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (11/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/10/6)-(11/10/6/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/10/6)-(11/10/6/12)-(11/10/6/12) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/10/6)-(9/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/10/6)-(9/7/1/4)-(6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (9/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/1/4)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/4)-(6/1/5)-(10/6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(10/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(10/6/8/1)-(5/3/9/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-5   WIN (10/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/1)-(10/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/1)-(10/6/8/1)-(10/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/8/1)-(5/3/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/1)-(5/3/9/4/1)-(4/8/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-6   WIN (5/3/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/9/4/1)-(5/3/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/9/4/1)-(5/3/9/4/1)-(5/3/9/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/9/4/1)-(4/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/9/4/1)-(4/8/2/5)-(5/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-7   WIN (4/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/5)-(5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/5)-(5/8)-(1/7/3/10) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/8)-(1/7/3/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EVD-9   WIN (1/7/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/10)-(1/7/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/10)-(1/7/6/3/10)-(1/7/6/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNFORJUSTICE Jul12 Jun07 May30     (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
PAROLE DRAMA Aug02 Jul05       (pomier ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by NO PAROLE out of MUM by TAPIT)
MINGLING MO         (ward ronnie)FLORIAN JOSE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SOCIAL DOLL by HALF OURS)
MR DIGITS Jul05         (castille car)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
DOC B RANEY Jul13 Jun29 May30     (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of WICKED RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
NATE'S FOCUS Jun14 May15       (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FUGITIVE LADY by GUILT TRIP)
BIG MO Jun07         (zenon charles)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOM out of BORN TO D' WILD by D'WILDCAT)
UNLAWFUL Aug02 Jul05       (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED out of RUNAWAY ABACO by SUN KING)
LIFE'S RIDE Jun28         (castille carrol)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
 
EVD-2   08/16/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACE HAZEL May24 Apr16 Feb20 Nov30 Aug11 (terre david)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
SCR  BAR TAP Jul25 Jun20 Jun07 May23 Jan18 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
GIRL THIRSTY Jul25 Jun12 May23 May02 Apr16 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 20.00    
SCR  DAISY DE ORO May24 Apr23 Jan20 Jan04 Dec14 (thomas lee)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 15.00    
SCR  HONEST ANGUS Jul04 May09 Apr10 Feb05 Jan16 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 122 3.50    
BEST PERFORMER Jun15 Apr04 Feb14 Jan28 Dec14 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
GASTOWN Jul25 Jun19 May09 Apr25 Apr10 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
EMILY'S BULLET Aug02 Jul11 Jun12 Mar23 Feb13 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 119 12.00    
SCR  BOSTON PAULETTE Jun05 May02 Sep09 Aug17 Jun20 (segura kearney)POMPELL L 119 20.00    
10  PULPIT'S DREAM Jul25 Jul04 Jun05 May10 Apr26 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
11  GROUND CONTROL Aug02 Jul24 Jun21 May16 Apr16 (alberto ant)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00 29% 2.50    
12  CINCY'S ANNA Jun19 Apr23 Dec19 Nov21 Nov01 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
 
EVD-3   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY'S NATIVE ONE         (ramirez eduard)THORNTON G 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of QUIET NATIVE by QUIET AMERICAN)
ALYSE PARKER Jul24 Jun05 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 (courville ri)MAGNON H 121 2.50    
  (by YORKTON out of HURRICANE SHEILA by CONGRATS)
SCR  DEAL WITH ME         (martin)RUIZ GARCIA 121 15.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of DEPUTYSPRETTYPENNY by KEY DEPUTY)
COOL LUCKY LADY Jun26 Jun06 May11     (calhoun w)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LUCKY BE A LADY by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
KINSLEY GRACE Jul24 May20 Mar01 Feb17 Feb01 (balderas alfo)PENA JONUELLE 116 20.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of TWINS PLUS A DOT by GIO PONTI)
OSTRICA Feb06         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GATEAU by SUPER SAVER)
TWANG Oct20         (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of AIN'T NO TELLIN' by DYNAFORMER)
JOHN'S JUNE May22 Apr25       (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SHES DIXIES ESKIMO by ESKIMO)
KINDLING EMBERS Jul11         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 3.00 51% 0.90    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of KINDLING by BOUNDARY)
 
EVD-4   08/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN BRANDON Jul17 May16 Apr26 Mar04   (terre dav)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of ESCALADY by LION TAMER)
THAT'S APRIORITY Jul24 Jun28 Jun13 May24 May01 (thomas lee)PEREZ CARLOS 116 1.80    
  (by APRIORITY out of THAT REAL WORLD by ROGER THAT (GB))
FIRST SAMARITAN Jul17 Apr05 Mar23 Mar03 Feb20 (robinsj)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LAINE'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
VICTORY PRINCE (AUS) Jul03 May21 Jan31 Jan09 Dec14 (gelner j)ARANA KELVIN 113 3.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MISCHIEVOUS BELLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
WALKINAFTERMIDNITE Jun14 Oct16       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SITTIN AT THE BAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
RED BARRON Jun13         (castille carro)THORNTON G 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by TEXAS RED out of QUEEN NEGWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
EVD-5   08/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE CUTE Jul31 Jun19 May31 Apr25 Apr05 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BYZANTINE Aug02 Jun22 Apr19 Apr09 Feb13 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00    
SCR  BEAT THE DOUBLE Jul10 Jun14 May21 Apr23 Mar16 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
PASILA Aug02 May09 Apr04 Feb12 Jan09 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 3.00    
SPECIAL FEATURE Jul10 Jun14 May16 May01 Apr09 (latour nic)RAMIREZ JR 121 12.00    
QUIET MELODY Jul26 Jul05 May14 May02 Apr05 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
MOR MOR MUSIC Jul31 Jul05 Jun19 May24 May02 (west henry)MECHE COLE 119 8.00    
MY IDEA Jul31 Jun30 Jun14 Apr16 Mar16 (zeno benjamin)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
LOVE IN THE DARK Jul19 Jun27 May30 May16 Apr23 (latour nicho)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
10  BLUSHING KAM Jul31 Jul10 Jun13 May14 Apr17 (larrosa a)PEREZ CARLOS 116 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
EVD-6   08/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTION Jul18 Jun06 May24 Mar27 Feb21 (mouton cha)RAMIREZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE FRANK Jul18 Nov02 Jul13 May03 Apr11 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
EL PERFECTO Jul26 Jun06 Apr16 Mar23 Mar07 (rogers andy)ROSIER R 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
NORTHERNREFLECTION Aug02 Jul24 Jun19 Jun06 May08 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 117 10.00 6% 14.60    
BUTLER CABIN Jul26 Jul03 Feb22 Jan30 Nov09 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
COOKN WIT CATMAN Jul16 Jul01 May27 Feb14 Jan24 (leblanc ant)FUSILIER C 120 30.00    
SHORTLIST Jul26 Jun06 May01 Apr16 Mar06 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00    
NAPOLEONIC CODE Aug02 Jul17 Jun20 May23 Apr25 (escobar aliso)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 15.00    
AMERICAN CITY Aug02 Jul17 Jun21 Jun06 May14 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.00 7% 12.70    
 
EVD-7   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT PETER'S BAY Jun20 May14 May02 Apr10 Mar04 (mouton ch)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
PICO D'ORO Jun21 Jun05 May24 May16 May04 (govea cesar)PEREZ CARLOS 117 10.00 12% 7.30    
BACKFIRE May21 Dec27 Dec08 Nov29 Nov05 (klanfer alan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00    
JULIA'S WARRIOR Jun28 Jun06 May23 May09 Apr18 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
BARON OF THE NILE Jul10 Jun06 Apr11 Mar06 Feb12 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MCLAREN VALE Oct14 Sep14 Aug08 May04 Mar16 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 122 2.00    
GRAND ACADEMIC Jun27 Jun06 May02 Apr19 Mar20 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 119 8.00    
CAPTIVATING BOY Apr10 Mar13 Feb13 Dec28 Nov01 (segura kearney)POMPELL L 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
EVD-8   08/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAYOU BERTIE Jul03 Mar23 Feb28 Jan09 Nov09 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 119 2.00    
SCR  QUINQUELA May31 May17 Apr25 Mar21 Mar02 (west henry)MECHE COLE 114 20.00    
JUMPIN JUDY Jul03 May29 Jan03 Oct29 Jul12 (alberto antonio)MCMAHON J 122 3.50    
SCR  SIX STRING Aug01 Jun07 May02 Mar23 Feb28 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 4.50    
SASSI STRUTTER Aug01 Jul03 May29 May02 Mar23 (thomas le)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  MISS DEALORITY Aug01 Jul05 Jun05 Apr09 Feb22 (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00    
SCR  RUE LALA Jun07 May01 Mar23 Feb28 Feb06 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
GRACIE DIAMOND Jul03 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jun05 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
KAELY'S SISTER Jul03 May29 Feb22 Dec12 Oct03 (duhon paul)BARRERA J 122 3.00    
 
EVD-9   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SOY BORRACHO Jul26 Jun21 May16 Feb20   (cano muno)PEREZ CARLOS 116 2.00 54% 0.90    
STANLEY LITTLE BOY Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 May31 (boxie s)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
ABOUT THE BUSINESS Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 May31 May08 (alberto antonio)MCMAHON J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
DEPUTY DEAL Jul26         (zenon shel)RAMIREZ JR 121 20.00    
SCR  U RASCAL U Jul26 Jun21 May08 Apr24 Mar14 (ladner herman)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
SEVEN DIGITS May09 Mar03 Feb06 Nov05 Aug24 (journet albert)CHAVEZ ORIEL 118 6.00    
SAFE BET Jul30 Jul14 Jun15 May03 Apr06 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
VALHALLA VIKING Jul24 Jun15 Apr19 Mar30 Mar07 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
LA BOUCANE Jul24 Jul03 Jun05 May25 May10 (zenon charles)ROSIER R 124 12.00    
10  WHATDIDWEDO Jul03 Jun14 Jun05 May16 Apr30 (latour nichola)THORNTON G 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKY BOURBON Jul26 Jul15 Jun24 Jun14 May15 (zeno benjam)LEDET THEODRICK 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.