Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - August 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/5/7/3)-(6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/3)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/3/7)-(3/1/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(3/1/7/5)-(8/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/5)-(8/6/2)-(2/9/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(2/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(2/9/3/1)-(3/6/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/1)-(2/9/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/1)-(2/9/3/6/1)-(2/9/3/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/3/1)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/11/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/11/2/5)-(3/6/11/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTAGRAND GIRL Jul25 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 May11 (murdock s)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 0.60 36% 1.80    
2  P B FOXY Jul18 Nov30 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 (venham )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
3  CENTIMORGAN May10 Apr19 Mar29 Mar06 Jan24 (viands r)ACOSTA D 116 10.00    
4  LOVELY LUCY Aug07 Jul25 Jun27 Jun12 Apr24 (ramos m)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
5  BREAKING BULLET Jul25 Jun27 Jun07 Apr24 Apr03 (walters dav)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 12.00 11% 8.10    
6  TALAVERA Jun27 May30 May15 Apr24 Apr05 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   08/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE REASON Jul11 Jun21 May23 May02 Apr18 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
2  SNOWY JUBA CAT Jul18 Jun26 Apr25 Mar06 Feb08 (tuomisto cli)DIAZ JR 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Jul12 Jul03 May23 May02 Apr10 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TALENT EXPECTED Aug02 May23 Sep16 Aug26 Jun18 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
5  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Aug02 Jul11 Jun26 Apr25 Mar14 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  LOVE OF GRACE Dec03 Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 Aug15 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
7  PRINCESS MARGARET Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 May23 May17 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  GHOSTLY SQUALL Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 May23 May02 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
 
CT-3   08/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABURO'S VOW Jun27 Jun07 May17 Apr26 Apr05 (dollinger-s)CESPEDES JHORMA 115 12.00    
SCR  COUNTRY CHERRY Jun13 Mar22       (brown w)HIRALDO JOHN 118 2.50    
3  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Jul24 Jun13 May01 Apr03 Feb26 (gilles)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  RIDE TO REMEMBER May24 May08 Apr17 Apr03 Feb07 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MELANCIA Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 May09 Apr06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00    
6  CARIBBEAN COMEDY Jul03 Apr03 Feb26 Feb07 Dec14 (brown ronney)BATISTA A 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  SWAN Jul26 Jun07 May17 Apr26 Apr05 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   08/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON TEQUILAS Jul12 Jun26 Feb12 Jan13 Dec02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
2  JUBA'S NOTION Jul19 Jun21 Jun05 May24 May10 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 4.50    
3  VALHALLA'S PALACE Aug01 May08 Mar13 Feb26 Feb05 (brown ronne)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 8.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  WIN NO JOKE Jan24 Dec20 Dec13 Dec01 Nov03 (singh somraj)ARNOLD BRINTON 112 3.50    
5  STORMY HOLLOW Jul04 Jun15 May28 Apr27 Mar28 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
6  STORMIN ROCKET Jul04 Jun13 May22 May01 Feb07 (craig e)JORGE JULIO 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
7  CASE ACE Jul05 Jun12 May29 May15 Apr18 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   08/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR MISS CROSSBOW Jul26 Jul10 Jun07 May15 Apr23 (runco jeff )CESPEDES JHORMA 111 5.00 16% 5.10    
2  OUR STREET ANGEL Jul26 Jun12 May15 Apr24 Mar14 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 116 6.00    
3  SUMMON THE GLAM Jul26 Jun21 Jun07 May22 May15 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 1.80 56% 0.80    
4  NAVY BAND Nov20 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
5  CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 Apr05 Mar15 (bass curt)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SKIE'S MUSIC Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 May09 Apr23 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
7  FULL OF CHARM Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 May15 Mar01 (craig lewis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  JUBA'S TOPAZ Jul21 May15 May09 Apr23   (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   08/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALLTOWNSMOKESHOW Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 Apr19 Mar16 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 15.00    
2  ALL CAPS Jul24 Mar08 Feb05 Dec14 Nov08 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BASHFUL DAISY Jul31 Jun20 Jun05 May17 Apr26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
4  DOLCE VELOCE Jul03 May17 Apr18 Mar15 Feb19 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
SCR  MYGIRLISABOMB Jul24 Jun20 Jun05 May22 Apr23 (martinez joseph )ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
6  SPEEDY BUBBLES Jul24 Jun26 Jun13 May17 Apr10 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 9% 9.70    
7  CASTLE TOY Jul18 Jul07 Jun08 Apr02 Jan30 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
8  REDHOTCHILIPHILLY Jul03 Jun13 May10 Apr17 Mar14 (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 116 1.00 62% 0.60    
 
CT-7   08/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO BRAKE NEEDED Jul26 May29 May09 Apr23 Mar20 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONE TRUE DUDE Jul05 Jun13 May11 Apr26   (geralis j)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  LAWYER UP RILEY Jul21 Jul05 May15 Apr10 Mar20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 16% 5.20    
4  NO TIME TO BOOGIE Aug08 Jul12 Jun12 May30 May15 (atkins)RIOS-CONDE JR 116 12.00    
5  HURRICANE JIM Jul03 May31 May10 Apr19 Mar07 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 120 20.00    
6  MO MONEY MO MONEY Jul17 Jun12 May07 Dec27 Oct09 (caiazzo corby)ACOSTA D 116 3.00 ★    
7  KENTUCKY GO GO Jul30 Jul03 May03 Mar14 Feb21 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 12.00    
8  BREEZING UP Aug01 Jul05 Jun07 May16 May04 (barr donald )ARNOLD BRINTON 110 10.00    
9  MILITARY GRADE Jul26 Sep29       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
10  ROCKET SCIENCE Aug08 Jul03 May29 May15 Mar20 (gillespie a)STOKES J 116 20.00    
 
CT-8   08/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BESOTTED Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 May29 Mar15 (atkins g)STOKES J 122 30.00    
2  FACTOTUM Jul17 Jun18 May27 Sep14 Sep01 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARK DID IT Jun13 May08 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
4  LOST WEEKEND Jul26 Jun20 Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
5  THANK YA PETE Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 May23 May15 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FANCY CONCHO Jul11 Jun20 May23 Apr10 Mar14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  IT'LL DO Jul26 Jun28 Jun15 May25 May09 (farrior anthony)HO WESLEY 124 2.00    
8  HEAD LAD Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 May22 Apr19 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 117 4.50    
9  SARGENT KOBE Jul30 Apr10 Mar15 Feb22 Feb06 (lane s)RIOS-CONDE JR 120 30.00    
SCR  TAPIO (IRE) Jun20 May23 May09 Apr11 Feb27 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
11  CAJUN DREAM Aug01 Jul23 Apr18 Mar29 Feb07 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.