Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/7/5/6)-(5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(5/1/2)-(6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(6/1)-(3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/5/4)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-6   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF A BUCK Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 May17 May01 (pedigo randy)BOREL H 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Jun01 May17 Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 (ramirez julio)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
BAD BRAD Jul14 Jun10 Jan24 Dec20 Nov26 (hernandez )RAMIREZ JR 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Jul14 Jun10 May17 Feb13 Jan31 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
THE THREE KS Jul14 Jun01 Sep02 Apr10 Jan15 (burkes bobby)EDISON JOCELYN 117 20.00    
COLT'S BRIM Jul15 Jun10 May03 Mar20 Feb21 (hargrave k)GONZALEZ NICASIO 124 3.00    
 
LAD-2   08/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGITIMATE TARGET (GB) May19 Mar07 Jan17 Dec20 Nov24 (wong jonathan)PENA JONUELLE 120 1.20 51% 1.00    
DECLARE WAR Jun24 Jun10 Mar10 Feb25 Jan28 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 30.00    
CRAZY RIDGE Jul13 Jun29 May16 May02 Mar30 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 8.00    
LITTLE WARRIOR Jul15 Jun24 May25 Apr19 Mar04 (gomez rafael )LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
HEXCEL Jun22 May20 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 (munoz yova)BATISTA X 125 8.00 8% 11.50    
ALLIGATOR CRAWL Jun24 May19 Mar07 Feb15 Jan04 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SLEW SKIES Jul16 Jun21 May24 Apr17 Mar29 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.00 13% 6.80    
 
LAD-3   08/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT HAND GIRL Jul01 Jun01 May19 May03 Mar16 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
GYPSYROSELEE Jun24 May19 May11 Mar20 Feb27 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 123 12.00 11% 8.00    
EMMAS RULER Sep11 Jul03 Jun17 May08 Jan05 (de beauvil)BATISTA X 123 10.00    
AVERI EVER AFTER Jun17 Jun01 May11 Mar20 Feb27 (duke steve)GONZALEZ NICASIO 123 8.00    
ALLIACEOUS Jun20 May26 May09 Apr17 Jan17 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 0.80 39% 1.50    
LIGHTENING MO Jul15 Jul05 Jun01 Apr30 Mar12 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50    
 
LAD-4   08/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMOTION Sep30 Sep02 Jul17 Jun25   (davila jes)RAMIREZ JR 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
BOSTON ELLE Jun29 May17 Dec06 Nov08 Oct12 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RISKY SECRET Jun23 Jun10 May26 May11 Mar18 (husak j)PENA JONUELLE 119 3.50    
SCR  GOLDIE'S MOON         (johnson he)BATISTA X 119 3.00    
CLEARLY BELLA Jul01 Jun03 May13 Mar12 Feb22 (wilson shane)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00    
ROBERTS REVENGE Jun23 Sep26 Sep16     (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
LA CHICA DE ORO Jun09 May22       (gomez rafael )VARGAS P 119 15.00    
 
LAD-5   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSPITTINIMAGE Jun15 Jun02 Apr27 Apr13 Mar21 (wakeland david)BOREL H 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MY DAENERYS by CONGRATS)
SWEET AUNT ROSIE Feb20         (ziadie kirk)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SWEET BLISS by HUNTING HARD)
PITCHATIZZY Jun09 May12 Feb19 Dec13 Nov08 (dunn henry)BATISTA X 116 3.50    
  (by OXBOW out of PITCHER by LION TAMER)
GAB'S HUMOR Jun20 May25 Apr20 Mar08 Feb19 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of PEACELOVEANDJOY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SOPHISTICAT         (asmussen stev)PENA JONUELLE 114 5.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of LINDY HOPPIN by SUAVE)
KRISTABELL Jun15 May17 Apr25 Mar09   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 1.20 69% 0.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of SIMPLE SURPRISE by COWBOY CAL)
 
LAD-6   08/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAH NIGH Jul16 Jun29 Jun05 May16 May03 (dussette alvi)VARGAS P 127 4.50    
DEE'S LEGS Jul15 Jun29 Jun02 May20 May11 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 5.00    
REGATTA BAY Jul25 Jun29 Jun16 May20 May10 (broussard j)BALTHAZAR JARED 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
GRAND ENCORE Jun16 May13 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
GIBSON Jun17 Jun02 May13 Apr19 Mar23 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  LOUISIANA NATIVE Jul05 May31 Apr26 Mar19 Mar09 (dandridge )ALBERT S 120 8.00    
PICCOLO UOMO Jun29 Jun09 Feb23 Jan31 Jan02 (clary jaylan )PENA JONUELLE 117 3.00    
 
LAD-7   08/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARISIAN LIGHT Jun10 May09 Apr17 Mar06 Feb14 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.20    
SWIZZLECITY Jul22 Jun10 May20 Sep23 Sep11 (fogarty desmond)SINGH R 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
FERN SPIRIT Jun03 May20 Apr05 Feb12 Jan02 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 120 8.00    
FOREIGN TOURIST Jun16 May26 May09 Feb27 Jan12 (munoz yova)BATISTA X 125 6.00 17% 5.00    
MOENCHANTED Jul11 Jun16 May20 May01 Apr12 (wilson melto)NIEVES EMANUEL 127 2.50 34% 1.90    
MARDI GRAS ALARM Jul23 Jul01 Jun17 May28 May15 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
GYPSAN Jun22 May17 Apr19 Apr06 Mar09 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 4.50 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.