Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - July 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/6)-(6/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(6/4/5)-(6/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/1/3)-(3/10/7/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/10/7/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/10/7/6/1)-(8/4/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-5   WIN (3/10/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/6/1)-(3/10/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/6/1)-(3/10/7/6/1)-(3/10/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/7/6/1)-(8/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/10/7/6/1)-(8/4/3)-(3/6/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/20/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG D         (block chris)COLON H 119 3.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
2  BRIDGE CLASSIC         (perez man)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 6.00 8% 10.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of MORE FOR JILL by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MY LITTLE SOLIN         (young r)REYES FRANK 119 4.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of ME TOO MO by UNCLE MO)
4  CHIEF MORTER         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPECKLEDBIRD by MACHO UNO)
5  CHI TOWN PRINCE         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of PRINCESS ULELE by UNCAPTURED)
 
HAW-2   07/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Jul03 May26 Oct06 Sep12 Aug27 (becker sc)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  GAVEL Apr27 Apr06 Feb16 Jan30 Dec12 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80    
3  CORTESE May31 Apr06 Jan30 Jan05 Oct17 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
4  UNPREDICTABLE BAY Jul03 Jun05 May02 Apr06 Mar22 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
5  TWIRLING ROSES Jul03 Jun05 May25 Apr27 Apr11 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
6  MISTER KELLY Jul03 Jun18 May25 May06 Mar23 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
HAW-3   07/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEON DEION Jun26 Jun08 May25 Apr04 Mar22 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00    
2  DEMAND RANSOM Jul12 Jun26 Jun10 May17 Apr26 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00    
SCR  PLAIN OR PEANUT Apr13 Mar30 Nov25 Nov17 Oct20 (alonso fernando)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00    
4  MAN ON ATTACK May25 Mar09 Feb14 Dec21 Oct13 (childers s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  MANCHESTER Jun14 May31 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 (johnston rebecca)MURGIA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHARP STICK Jun29 May22 May01 Apr10 Oct13 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  NAGY AND DA BEARS Jun26 May25 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 (alonso fernando)REYES FRANK 122 3.50    
8  AMERICAN CAUSE Jun21 May29 May17 Mar29 Mar08 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
HAW-4   07/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jul10 May15 May08 Mar12 Feb17 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Dec18 Dec04 Nov04 Oct10 Sep08 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50 ★    
3  DIAMOND DAVE Jun29 Aug20 Jul06 Nov04 Sep30 (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Jun29 Jun08 May22 Sep05 Aug22 (perez manny)COLON H 122 4.00    
5  U S HONOUR NAP Jun29 Jun17 Jun08 May18 Apr27 (dizeo din)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 10.00    
6  SIXWILLBERICH Jul12 Jun08 Apr30 Apr06 Feb26 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
7  LAND MARK DEAL Jul10 Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar30 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   07/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRINITYTHREEINONE Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr27 Sep26 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROARING VIXEN Jun12 May22 Apr27     (cristel j)REYES FRANK 120 12.00    
3  REIMAGINE Jun17 May20 May05 Apr13 Mar20 (simpson da)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  POLSKA SUE Jun26 Jun01 May15 May08 Mar21 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50    
SCR  WW BEST OF TIMES Jun26 Apr10 Oct19 Sep01 Aug08 (becker scott)FELIX E 124 10.00    
6  UNKEPT PROMISES Jun11 May15 Apr24 Apr06 Mar21 (candelas bla)GILES EMMANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  D' ARGONAUT Jul10 Oct13       (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 5% 18.30    
8  CHINATOWN GIRL Jun26 Jun03       (coontz arthu)TAVARES JAVIER 120 20.00    
9  CATNIP HILL Jun12 May15 Apr27 Apr06 Nov06 (horvath f)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 30.00    
10  I'M HUNGOVER Jun01         (block chris)COLON H 120 4.00 8% 11.80    
11  LA MULA UNO Jun26         (block chri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
12  BALLYBAY BEAUTY Jul10 Jun29 Jun12 May22   (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
 
HAW-6   07/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALLAPOOSA Jul03 Jun12 Jun01 May08 Apr10 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50    
2  ANCIENT MAN Jul03 Jun26 Jun12 May22 May15 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00    
3  SON OF GRACE Jul03 Jun08 May29 May08 Apr27 (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  STORM'S REFLECTION Jun29 Jun08 Apr23 Mar05 Feb21 (banks chr)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LINE TO GAIN Jun29 Jun08 May22 May04 Apr17 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 ★    
6  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Jul03 Jun12 May22 Apr24 Apr17 (rosas rigo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  LATE BLACKSMITH Jul03 Jun03 May25 Apr26 Mar30 (lopez eli)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
8  WINGING WAYS Jul10 Apr27 Oct24 Sep05 Aug24 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 0.80 71% 0.40    
 
HAW-7   07/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING SAMURAI Jul10 Jun26 Jun08 May25 May11 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EUCLID AVENUE Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 May18 May04 (haran john)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 9% 10.70    
3  DANVILLE Jun12 May25 Apr24 Apr06 Mar30 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  FIRST MASAMUNE Jun29 Jun19 May15 May01 Aug29 (ramirez c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00    
5  ICE AXE Jul03 Jun26 May29 May22 May15 (villalobos heri)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
6  ROCKET HOTSHOT May18 Apr24 Apr06 Mar06 Feb02 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00 13% 6.40    
7  JET FLIGHT Jul10 Jun26 Jun08 May15 May01 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 4.00    
SCR  CONTRABANDISTA Jul02 Jun04 May09 Apr20 Mar25 (jansen kenny)FELIX E 122 10.00    
9  REGIMENTAL Jul06 Jun12 May29 May15 Apr17 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.