Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Tuesday - July 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/3)-(1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/2/6)-(1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FP-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(1/3)-(4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/6/3)-(3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FP-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/4)-(5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-6   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/3/4)-(6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FP-8   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   07/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTASTAR Jul04         (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 120 5.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TIJORI by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
2  MIKE'S LAST CALL         (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by SWEEP AWAY out of DANGEROUS GAL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  SHOVE OFF Jun15         (martin dawn)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 4.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of ROX STAR BEAUTY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  COASTAL APPEAL         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by WEST COAST out of TRY TO APPEAL by SKIP TRIAL)
5  ILLINI RED Jun19         (manley steve)WALES T 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of UN ECLAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  SPICY CANTALOUPE         (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 10.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of CANTALOUPE ISLAND by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
FP-2   07/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RECAUSE Jun17 May31 May17 Sep17   (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 118 6.00    
2  TRUIST Jun28 Jun10 May13 Apr29 Oct29 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 2.00    
3  MOVE IN SILENCE Jun28 Jun10 May24 May01 Apr17 (wilborn kevin)LOPEZ A 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  BEST MAN SPEECH Jun28 Jun07 May13 Apr26 Oct15 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 124 10.00    
5  STEVE Jun28 Jun14 May31 May10 Apr26 (appleton josh)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 3.00 ★    
6  SOLOMON VANDY Jun03 May17 Nov02 Oct19 Oct01 (straub marvel)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
 
FP-3   07/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGANTHEEBATTALION Jun28 May31 May13 Apr29   (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CAUSAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  CLASSY EMILY         (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by ARCADE out of STREET BIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
3  HELEN OF C'VILLE Jun14 May31       (becker sco)SIMPSON M 120 4.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of WAR BEAUTY by WAR CHANT)
4  STEAL POETIC Jun28 Jun14 May31 May13 Nov02 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 120 3.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of PERFECT POET by OXBOW)
5  EPIC MOMENT Jun28 Jun07 Mar29 Mar14 Oct19 (clay pat)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLASHY GAL by BOLD N' FLASHY)
6  CALL ME CHRISTINE         (martinez a)FELIX E 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of MADAKET MILLIE by SUNNY CLIME)
7  SASSY JULIA         (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 12.00 ★    
  (by ELNAAWI out of SENSATIONAL GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
FP-4   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AROSE FOR LYLA Jun28 Jun14 May17 Apr22 Oct29 (essenprei)ULLOA JOAN 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Jul03 May24 May10 Oct26 Oct05 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
3  MYSWEETANNALYZE Jul16 Jun08 Apr30 Oct24 Oct10 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
4  RONAN May17 Apr22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug10 (sandrowski ge)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00 ★    
5  JULYNNE Jun28 Jun14 May06 Dec18 Oct31 (manley steve)WALES T 126 2.00    
 
FP-5   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDHEADEDSTRANGER Jul04 Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 Jan29 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00    
2  REALTA Jun26 May31 May13 Apr29 Apr10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00    
3  FEAR THE QUEEN Jul01 Jun07 May20 May06 Apr22 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  I'M INTERESTED Jul01 Jun10 May31 May06 Apr22 (becker scott)FELIX E 126 3.50 48% 1.10    
5  THIRSTY NATALIE Jun28 Jun23 Jun04     (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 120 4.50    
6  FLIGHTNING BOLT May31 May13 Apr29 Mar16   (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  WIN WITH COLOR Jul01 May24 Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50    
 
FP-6   07/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED LABEL Apr26 Apr03 Jul14 Jun16 May04 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 126 3.00 ★    
2  SWAGGY GEORGE Jul01 Jun07 May17 Apr26 Oct17 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 6.00    
3  GIRLOLAMO'GLORY Jun14 May31 May17 Oct01 Aug31 (plasters lori)FELIX E 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE Jul01 Jun14 May31 May17 Oct31 (durham mike)LOPEZ A 126 10.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jul05 Jun07 May24 Sep12 Aug22 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.00    
6  SAND MOUNTAIN Jul05 May20 Aug01 Jul14 Jun16 (schlenk ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 5.00    
 
FP-7   07/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROYAL BLOOD Jul01 Jun10 Feb06 Jan16 Nov21 (bentler don)WALES T 124 4.50    
2  SOME OF IT Jul05 May27 Apr27 Apr06 Jan24 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00    
3  MADI'S CIRCLE Jun24 May24 Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  FOREVER BLESSED Jun17 Jun03 May20 May06 Apr22 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FASTTIMESATMIDNITE Jun24 Jun07 Apr29 Oct29   (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
6  LUTION Jun28 Jun10 May20 Apr22 Oct29 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00    
7  BOUJI IS A WORD Jun26 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Nov18 (schlenk ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 8.00    
 
FP-8   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED SKY Jun14 May13 Apr29 Oct29 Sep24 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00    
2  SMOKED Jun26 May22 Apr29 Apr03   (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
3  COALY Jun14 May24 Apr22 Oct31 Oct12 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 6.00    
4  BIKINI MARTINI Jun14 May27 May13 Apr29 Oct29 (essenprei)ULLOA JOAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAITH HOPE N LOVE Jun07 May20 May06 Apr22 Apr06 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
6  MAMA'S MEMORIES Jun24 Jun03       (manley steve)WALES T 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
7  W W GRAND FINALE Jun14 May27 May13 Aug20 Jun29 (becker scott)FELIX E 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.