Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (4/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/8)-(4/5/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/8)-(4/5/9/1/8)-(4/5/9/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/9/8)-(7/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/8)-(7/5/9/1)-(5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (7/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/1)-(7/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/1)-(7/5/9/1)-(7/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/9/1)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/1)-(5/1/3)-(2/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/7/4)-(8/7/10) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(8/7/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(8/7/10)-(4/6/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (8/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/10)-(8/7/10/13) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/10)-(8/7/10/13)-(8/7/10/13) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/10)-(4/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/10)-(4/6/8/1)-(3/2/4/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/1)-(4/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/1)-(4/6/8/1)-(4/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/1)-(3/2/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/1)-(3/2/4/10)-(1/3/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/2/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/10)-(3/2/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/10)-(3/2/4/10)-(3/2/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/10)-(1/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/10)-(1/3/4/6)-(5/9/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/8/6)-(1/3/4/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/6)-(5/9/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-9   WIN (5/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/8)-(5/9/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/8)-(5/9/6/8/7)-(5/9/6/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEIZETHEDAYDUDE         (terre dav)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of SENTIMENTAL GAL by MORE THAN READY)
BENNIE BEE Jun28 May15       (robbins j)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LITTLE BITA GRACIE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
ONGOING CHALLENGE Jun28         (noel dane)BARRERA J 120 15.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of FORGIVENESS by MEADOWLAKE)
GO GET TRAE Jun28 Jun07       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by EL DEAL out of ARABELLA BELLA by SKIPSHOT)
RUNFORJUSTICE Jun07 May30       (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
IN THE GRAY Jun28         (faul jason)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00    
  (by SAXTON out of NOSI NELL by MORNING HAZE)
EXAGGERIFIC Jun28 Jun14       (pomier chase)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of RECKLESS GIRL by HALF OURS)
DIRTY DEAL         (castille carrol)FUSILIER C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of MY GAL CHARLENE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
MR MO MONEY         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MR. MONEY out of MO GAYLE by UNCLE MO)
 
EVD-2   07/12/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO BUENO Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jun17 Jun03 (robbins hance )THORNTON G 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEN'S GOOD GRACE Jun27 Jan31 Nov15 Oct29 Jul05 (delany sarah)PEREZ CARLOS 119 2.50    
RUN ON ACES Jun26 Jun13 May01 Apr09 Dec14 (zeno benjamin)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 30.00    
YOU'RE ON MUTE Jun27 Jun10 May17 Apr16 Apr04 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 4.50    
LIL BRO COOP Jun27 Apr30 Mar02 Jan17 Dec27 (sanchez juan)BARRERA J 124 8.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  ALLER VITE Jun20 May17 Apr19 Apr04 Feb22 (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 20.00    
ICE'M UP BOYS Jun03 May19 Mar21 Mar01 Jan11 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
MR RAMIREZ Jun12 May03 Apr19 Apr04 Sep12 (ramirez lui)ROSIER R 124 5.00    
MIDNIGHT AVENGER Jun26 May15 Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 (faul jason)MCMAHON J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SCALLYWAG (GB) Jun20 May21 May03 Apr19 Apr04 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 6.00    
 
EVD-3   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE EXPRESS Jul01 Jun17 May27 May12 Apr28 (broussard jervo)MCMAHON J 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
MISS DARLENE Jun20 May30 Feb06 Jan18 Dec06 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
ELI'S GIRL Jun26 May07 Apr18 Feb21 Feb06 (ramirez ed)RAMIREZ JR 122 12.00 17% 4.70    
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Jun26 May30 Apr12 Mar06 Feb07 (eschete)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 1.60    
PINK LADY LU SHA Jun26 May24 May08 Apr12 Mar12 (reeves jeff)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
MILA'S KAT Jun26 May22 May07 Apr18 Feb06 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 114 10.00    
SCR  JESS'S RAINBOW Jun26 May07 Apr18 Mar07 Dec04 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 122 4.00    
 
EVD-4   07/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME VISIT Jun07 May08 Feb13 Dec27 Nov30 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 119 3.00    
KEYS INCLUDED Jun20 May14 Apr17 Mar13 Feb02 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
GOTTA DEAL May30 May08 Feb06 Jan16 Dec13 (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
DEANOS CAPE Jun06 Mar30 Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CITY PARK Jun19 May30 May01 Apr16 Mar21 (larrosa a)POMPELL L 119 5.00    
SMOOTHDINI Apr16 Mar13 Feb13 Jan24 Dec29 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Jun06 May01 Feb28 Feb07 Jan04 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
EVD-5   07/12/2025 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAWFISH BURL Jun14 May21 May12 Apr19 Mar06 (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  WALKSONWATER May24 Apr05 Feb20 Jan16 Mar20 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 122 6.00    
BASILE Jun21 May30 May08 Apr16 Mar19 (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY May19 May02 Apr10 Jan25 Aug19 (garcia lui)BARRERA J 122 2.00    
UNO PEA Jun28 May21 Apr17 Mar12 Feb13 (larrosa a)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
SCR  AWREE May24 May01 Apr05 Mar19 Feb22 (david b)MCMAHON J 122 15.00    
PRODUCTION MEETING Jun13 May10 Apr26 Apr10 Mar20 (delhomme jef)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
PRECIOUS MONEY May22 May01 Mar08 Feb06 Oct19 (calhoun w)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  DAISY DE ORO May24 Apr23 Jan20 Jan04 Dec14 (thomas lee)PEREZ CARLOS 117 20.00    
10  JOJO BEAN Jun13 May22 Apr26 Feb06 Jan25 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  CRAFTROOM Jun24 Jun01 May19 May07 Apr09 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 122 20.00    
SCR  SWAMP QUEEN Jun13 May24 Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 119 15.00    
13  CC COLA Jun07 May02 Feb22 Jan25   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 3.50    
 
EVD-6   07/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGAMI May07 Apr09 Feb27 Feb07 Jan26 (patt jr)PEREZ CARLOS 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAXIMUM MOXIE Jun14 May08 Apr12 Feb19 Feb08 (averett r)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
JAYDYN CAT Jun12 May23 Apr17 Mar12 Jan01 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 119 2.50    
DIXIE MORNING May30 Apr24 Apr04 Feb20 Jan30 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
DEAL ME A PENNY May07 Apr09 Feb07 Jan28 Oct26 (ward ronni)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.00    
FOURALIVIA Jun14 May07 Mar23 Dec15 Nov24 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 20% 3.90    
SABERFIGHT Jun06 May23 Apr30 Apr11 Mar13 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 114 20.00    
ROSY EDGE Jun20 May23 May02 Jan04 Dec20 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 122 15.00 16% 5.20    
 
EVD-7   07/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LINE RULER Jul04 Jun14 May21 Apr24 Mar06 (henry eric)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
LADY CHERYL'S SONG Jun13 May14 Feb21 Dec20 Nov26 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
HOLIDAY CHEER Jun05         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
LIAM'S MIST Jun13 May14 Apr10 Mar08 Feb01 (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
GOOD N SASSY May30 May14 Feb21 Feb01 Dec22 (henry eric)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
SCR  GOLDZONE Jun14 May09 Apr16 Mar16 Feb19 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 122 8.00    
SIMONEAUX STORM Jun14 May08 Apr24 Apr09 Feb12 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 119 12.00    
SCR  SECRET ROCKET Jun13 Apr30 Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 (thomas lee)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00    
DEBBIES PASSAGE May30 May07 Apr24 Feb13 Feb01 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
10  SWEET MORGAN LEIGH Jun13 Nov08 Oct11 Aug31 Aug03 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-8   07/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHEMAH STAR Jun07 Mar23 Mar01 Jan16 Dec14 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
CAJUN AMI Jun20 May15 Apr18 Feb19 Jan25 (landry allen )VARGAS P 120 20.00    
GOOD AND STOUT Jun07 Apr30 Apr12 Mar01 Feb15 (castille carro)THORNTON G 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
BLUE CHEESE May03 Apr12 Mar01 Feb01 Jan10 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 6% 16.00    
THE BOSS SOSS Jun20 May31 May03 Apr11 Mar04 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
COSMIC TRAIN Jun07 May03 Apr12 Mar23 Dec14 (delhomme jerry)FUSILIER C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAMER NATE Apr12 Mar01 Jan01 Dec07 Oct17 (briley lonnie)ROSIER R 120 12.00    
TAKE CHARGE J J Jun07 Apr11 Mar01 Jan25 Dec12 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 3.00    
MACHO BEANIE Apr30 Mar01 Jan10 Oct19 Jul04 (calhoun w)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
10  GET THEM JUSTIN Dec18 Nov02 Jul11 Jun14 Apr27 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 120 20.00    
 
EVD-9   07/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COUNTRY ANGEL Jun26 May30 May14 Feb06 Dec26 (woodley j)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00    
ADIAMONDINTHESTORM Jun15 May21 Apr09 Mar07 Jan31 (dandridge )ALBERT S 124 20.00    
DOUBLE GEM Jun26 Jun14 May26 May13 Mar15 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 124 15.00    
TALKABOUT Jun14 May30 May17 Apr23 Apr04 (broussard jarmon)ROSIER R 124 3.50    
DIAMOND COUNTRY Jun26 May30 May14 Apr04 Mar18 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
GORMLEY'S QUEEN Jun14 Jan29 Jan10 Aug31 Aug09 (gelner scott)ARANA KELVIN 116 10.00 12% 7.50    
A WICKED NUMBER Jun14 May30 May17 Apr09 Mar14 (cormier cardel)MCMAHON J 121 4.50    
NEON MOONLIGHT Jun26 Jun14 May14 Apr09 Feb05 (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 116 8.00 6% 15.80    
MISS CHEESE BREAD Jun14 May30 May14 Apr16 Jan29 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
10  SWEETHEART VISION May30 May07 Apr26 Apr05 Feb20 (garcia migu)LEDET THEODRICK 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.