Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(7/1/6)-(5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LAD-2   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(5)-(7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(7/4)-(1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/4)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(1/2)-(1/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/5)-(4/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LAD-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADISON RAE Jun19 Apr23 Feb05 Oct30 Sep20 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  JOVIE G Jun22 Apr05 Jan31 Dec13 Nov26 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 125 1.00    
MIZ JAMESON Jun24 Jun16 May22 Feb15 Jan18 (ramirez ro)BATISTA X 121 10.00    
LIGHTENING MO Jun01 Apr30 Mar12 Feb05 Jan18 (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 116 5.00 13% 6.90    
KERRIGAN'S TOUCH May26 May05 Feb14 Jan31 Dec21 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
 
LAD-2   07/05/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER SEEK Jun16 May11 Mar19 Dec29 Aug14 (duhon joseph )PENA JONUELLE 117 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  TRIPLE FOUR Jun16 Mar16 Feb05 Nov29 Jul09 (dodson cli)BATISTA X 119 8.00    
ATHELAS Jun22 Jun01 May05 Apr15 Mar26 (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
TRUST FUND BABY Jun16 Jun03 May11 Feb21 Jan25 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 1.80    
SCR  REAL MISCHIEVOUS Jun22 Jun07 May20 May11 Mar30 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 117 1.00    
SUPER STORMY Jun15 Jun03 May20 May11 Feb16 (schmidt denise)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
AGELESS UNION Jun03 May03 Mar13 Apr27   (wong jon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
LAD-3   07/05/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SPICE Jun07         (roberson k)BOREL H 119 3.50    
  (by EL DEAL out of JUST HEATIN UP by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
BLISSIT         (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of BOHEMIAN BLISS by CONGRATS)
SCR  KARA FLASH         (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 114 8.00    
  (by AWESOME BET out of BETTY LOU by HOLY BULL)
MO SKY         (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50    
  (by MO TOM out of GLOAMINGSKY by SKY MESA)
MISCHIEVOUS CINDY         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 1.50 44% 1.30    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SKY ENTRY by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
LAD-4   07/05/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REV TOO Jun17 Apr27 Apr18 Jan24 Jan05 (milligan alle)PENA JONUELLE 117 5.00    
HEAT LIGHTNING Jun10 May19 May05 Feb14 Apr05 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 124 2.00    
SCR  MONEYSTRIKE Jun09 Apr13 Mar22 Feb01 Jan19 (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00    
GUNNY HIGHWAY Jun23 May17 Apr04 Mar21 Feb28 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  GRACE'S HANK Jun17 May25 Oct17 May04 Feb09 (gibson jonas)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 2.50    
SCR  MY STORY Nov06 Oct16 Sep23 Sep11 Aug13 (tillis jerr)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 20.00    
NIGHT STICK Jun23 May25 Mar18 Feb20 Jan09 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.50 39% 1.60    
 
LAD-5   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DEAL ME ACES Jun23 May05 Feb16 Dec20 Nov06 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 1.20 42% 1.40    
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Jun23 Jun07 May17 May03 Apr18 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SHANKINSTINE Jun23 Jun15 May05 Feb15 Jan17 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 20.00    
CALIBRACHOA KID Jun01 Mar20 Aug27 Aug13 Jul05 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
SCR  CITY OF LOVE Jun23 May25 May03 Mar21 Feb16 (wilson shane)PENA JONUELLE 117 2.00    
 
LAD-6   07/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK N ROLL BOLT Jun27 May29 Mar16 Feb15 Feb01 (camejo m)PENA JONUELLE 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  BERNIN TUNE Jun03 May08 Apr24 Mar05 Feb08 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
GUITAR BOY Jun02 May03 Mar12 Feb02 Dec19 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 1.60    
SCR  FRAN'S STAR Apr11 Mar21 Jan30 Jan01 Dec14 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
READY SHOES May19 May03 Mar30 Mar09 Jan26 (wilson mel)BATISTA X 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
REBEL MOON May08 Apr19 Mar16     (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 118 12.00    
 
LAD-7   07/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LADY BULLS EYE Jun24 Jun09 May13 Oct23 Sep24 (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MO VISTA Jun24 Jun16 Jun03 Feb12 Jan24 (ramirez ju)GONZALEZ NICASIO 120 4.50    
TAKE IT TO COURT Jun09 May17 May03 Apr13 Jan04 (garcia l)BATISTA X 126 1.50    
INSTASPEED Jun09 Mar12 Feb22 Jan18 Jan01 (schmidt denis)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 45% 1.20    
KISSES FOR COOPER Jun06 May16 Apr17 Apr04 Mar12 (faul jason)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
CUPIE CUTIE Apr17 Mar13 Jan31 Dec11 Nov01 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 126 15.00    
SCR  STORM SURGE Jun27 May29 May16 Apr26 Apr10 (faul jason)SINGH R 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.