Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/7/1)-(5/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-2   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(5/1/6)-(4/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/5/3)-(1/2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(5/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FP-5   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(5/1/4)-(4/6/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/6/5/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FP-7   WIN (4/6/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/10/9)-(4/6/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/10/9)-(4/6/5/10/9)-(4/6/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEF RAY WILEY Jun24 May24 May10 Apr26 Jun15 (rednour jr)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 10.00 18% 4.40    
STORMY ATTACK May10 Apr26 Oct22 Sep10 Aug24 (childers shane)DIEGO JAVIER 120 12.00    
HOLDEN MICHAEL May18 Apr27 Apr13 Feb14 Dec19 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
LORD BLOCK Jun19 Jul21 Jul14     (alonso fer)SIMPSON M 126 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  PLAYGROUND WARRIOR Jun07 May24 May10 Apr26 Mar30 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 120 3.00    
HOT N FRESH Jun14 Oct31 Oct22 Nov14 Nov07 (fridley st)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00    
LAST RETURN May17         (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 10.00    
 
FP-2   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYFUL GHOST Oct24 Sep24 Sep07 Jul13 Jun15 (wiese john)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAND MOUNTAIN May20 Aug01 Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 (schlenk ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
ONE PUTT RICHIE Jun08 May17 Apr10 Mar27 Dec13 (martinez a)FELIX E 124 2.00    
KING DOODLE Jun10 May17 Oct31 Oct22 Oct05 (becker scott)WALES T 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
MODAZZLE Jun10 May20 May03 Oct17 Oct05 (martinez-l)SIMPSON M 124 10.00    
SCR  HOLCOMBE Jun17 May31 May13 Apr26 Oct17 (blea jr)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.00    
KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Jun07 May10 Nov02 Oct01 Aug13 (laux clay)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 30% 2.40    
 
FP-3   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOGGALITA Jun17 May24 May10 Apr26   (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
STEAL PROUD Jun17 May24 Oct19 Oct08 Sep21 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 126 3.00    
DANG IT BABE Jun24 Jun07 May06 Apr22   (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 120 4.00    
SYDNEY'S JOY Jun17 Apr26 Mar22 Feb28   (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 5.00    
LITTLE SASSER Jun14 May20 May06 Apr22 Oct31 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
MADAM LEE Jun14 Oct31       (thurman rho)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-4   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFRICAN WARRIOR Jun24 Jun07 May17 Oct31 Oct22 (foxworth leo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
SCR  BOLDISH Jun29 Jun12 May20 Sep06 Aug19 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 2.00    
EVERLOVINGHAND Jun14 May20 Jun08 May12 Apr19 (straub mar)SIMPSON M 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
IRISH DECLARATION May17 Nov21 Sep28 Sep10 Aug20 (martinez a)LOPEZ A 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
CARL G Jun24 Jun10 May16 May03 Apr17 (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 5.00 10% 9.20    
SUPER SILVER Jun10 May20 Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00    
 
FP-5   07/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLARD'S SMILE Jun12 Mar22 Mar12 Mar01 Jan13 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jun07 May24 Sep12 Aug22 Jul19 (delong ben)SIMPSON M 124 10.00 20% 4.00    
PURPLE OCTOPUS Jun24 Jun07 May27 May08 Apr10 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAJOR CONTENDER Jun24 May31 May03 Oct31 Oct17 (blea t)BAILON JADHIR 124 15.00    
SCR  GALLANT BUCK Sep14 Jul09 Jun15 Apr21 Mar31 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
STRONGER TOGETHER Jun19 Jun08 Apr20 Apr06 Oct10 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 126 2.50    
SEMINOLE BEACH Jun21 May31 May10 Apr26 Apr06 (blea tony )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  COMFORT ME NOW Jun14 May24 May10 Oct26 Oct12 (plasters lori)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
MON AMI FUZZIE Jun12 Mar30 Feb13 Jan26 Oct03 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.50    
 
FP-6   07/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO PAY NO HAY Jun10 Apr12 Mar21 Mar02 Feb14 (manley steve)WALES T 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
BELLA FRANCESCA Jun26 May12 Apr22 Oct31 Aug13 (irion heather)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
SCR  LILY'S HOME May29 Apr29 Mar28 Feb07 Jan29 (sandrowski j)FELIX E 124 8.00    
LIT MISS HAT TRICK Jun21 May10 Apr22 Apr03 Feb13 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 18.60    
CLIQUE May31 Apr22 Nov24 Sep24 Sep04 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
CODE OF CONDUCT Jun01 May08 Apr13 Mar29   (clay p)BAILON JADHIR 126 10.00    
SCR  CANDY LOOKER May27 May13 May28 May04 Apr16 (fridley st)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
SASSY WALKER Jun21 May10 Apr22 Mar20 Feb15 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00    
 
FP-7   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG OF VICTORY Jun14 Jun03 May10     (delong ben)SIMPSON M 120 8.00    
HUCKLEBERRY HUSTLE Jun03 May13 Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 (essenpreis edw)DIEGO JAVIER 124 15.00    
CATTY CRUISE Jun17 May20 Sep07 Aug20 Jul29 (martinez a)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
INTO GOLDEN ROAD Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 Nov13 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
MOON RIDGE May20 Apr26 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 6.00 8% 11.90    
SOME OF IT May27 Apr27 Apr06 Jan24 Nov03 (irion heather)FELIX E 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
SNOW GLO Jun03 May06 Dec03 Nov18 Oct29 (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
DANCIN' MOLLY Jun07 May20 May06 Apr22 Jun18 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.50    
WILDWOOD ENCORE Jun10 May13 Oct31 Oct22 Oct08 (martinez-)ULLOA JOAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MISS KITTY PIE May20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun04 May21 (randazzo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00 7% 13.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.