Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(7/1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/4/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(7/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/3)-(7/4/5/1)-(6/8/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(6/8/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/1)-(6/8/7/1)-(4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/1)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/1)-(4/3/1)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(6/1/4)-(3/6/8/11/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/6/8/11/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/6/8/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/11/1)-(3/6/8/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/11/1)-(3/6/8/11/1)-(3/6/8/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS May25 May18 Apr25 Apr03 Mar14 (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00    
MINELLA Jun19 May17 May09 Apr17 Mar29 (rangel ri)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
DISCREET DEVIL Jun07 May17 Apr25 Apr04 Jan24 (rodrigu)LUNA PAUL 122 4.50    
KISSLING Jun14 May03 Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 0.40 46% 1.20    
BRD COMPUTING May17 Apr04 Mar14 Feb19 Jan10 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
DUBLSHOTOFCOURAGE Jun05 May15 Apr24 Jan30 Nov14 (hamlin)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   07/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR PARDO Jun14 May16 Apr23 Apr11 Mar22 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
WARRIOR'S VOW Jun14 May12 Apr23 Apr07 Mar19 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
RHUMJAR Jun13 Mar30 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
SCR  MARK DID IT Jun13 May08 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jun06 Apr19 Mar30 Feb22 Feb01 (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
SMOOTH RICO Jun14 May24 Apr25 Mar15 Feb21 (johnson dewa)DIAZ JR 122 4.50    
 
CT-3   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARONIC BAY Jun06 Apr19 Apr04 Mar01 Feb13 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 3.00 12% 7.10    
LOVELY ODDS Jun12 May23 Mar06 Feb27   (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 4.00    
CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Jun12 Apr05 Mar15 Feb07 Jan11 (bass curt)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ADDY MAE Jun13 Jun06 May16 Apr19 Apr04 (conn p)DIAZ JR 122 3.50    
CREED CALLING Jun06 May23 Apr17 Mar28 Feb27 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIT OF BLESSINGS Jun13 Feb19 Jan25 Jan03 Dec12 (collins tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
SPANISH GHOST May31 Feb23       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
 
CT-4   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICETECA Jun13 May22 May02 Apr05 Mar01 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BESOTTED Jun20 May29 Mar15 Feb21 Jan24 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jun13 May22 May08 Apr23 Apr11 (spriggs tosc)DIAZ JR 122 5.00    
ROL AGAIN DANCER Jun20 Apr24 Apr03 Feb21 Jan10 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
TWIXTER Jun13 May22 Apr25 Mar28 Feb28 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 10% 9.30    
DAREDAVITE May26 Mar30 Feb09 Dec27 Dec08 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00    
UNIFIED WEEKEND May24 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 Feb01 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.20 51% 1.00    
 
CT-5   07/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAPPHIRUS Jun05 May29 May01 Apr04 Mar22 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
HUMOROUS Jun14 May29 May10 Apr23 Feb28 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 118 4.50    
WISHFUL THOUGHTS Jun14 May31 May17 May01 Apr04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
JUBA MARCHES ON Jun05 May22 Apr24 Mar21 Mar14 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 6.00    
RIP N ROLL Jun05 May03 Apr23 Mar15 Feb27 (wilhelm tab)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
DADSNUMBRONEHELPR May30 May10 May02 Aug03 Jul19 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 1.20 49% 1.10    
ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jun05 Jul13 Jun22 May18 Mar30 (lewis r)MAWING A 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
TALENTED LINO Jun06 May03 Apr23 Mar22 Feb15 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
 
CT-6   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIN LINE CIPHER Apr05 Mar22 Feb12 Jan25 Dec28 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
STORMY HOLLOW Jun15 May28 Apr27 Mar28 Feb22 (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ JORGE 122 8.00    
SISYPHUS Jun07 May10 Apr18 Mar15 Jul02 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
STORMPROOF Jun13 May29 Apr13 Mar01   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  BLANCHES MULE Jun12 May30 May02 Mar20 Mar07 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
STORMIN ROCKET Jun13 May22 May01 Feb07 Jan15 (craig e)JORGE JULIO 124 6.00    
SCR  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Jun13 May10 Mar09 Jan25 Nov18 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50    
 
CT-7   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVALANCHE IS COMIN Jun13 Nov07 Oct10 Jul25 Jun13 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE May24 May13 Mar27 Mar01 Feb07 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 122 15.00    
MAMAWASAGOGOGIRL Jun13 May23 May01 Sep14   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00    
READY FOR MAGIC Jun22 May24 May11 Apr18 Mar07 (singh somra)BURNHAM MATILDA 109 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD DART Jun13 May23 Apr10 Mar15 Feb22 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
WYNSOME CAT Jun13 May24 Mar21 Feb08 Dec26 (viands r)ACOSTA D 116 0.60 49% 1.00    
 
CT-8   07/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MURPHY (IRE) May09 Mar22 Feb21 Jan30 Jan11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DONNIE B May09 Apr17 Mar13 Oct03 Aug15 (barber)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 30.00    
GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Feb15 Nov13 Oct03 Aug07 Jun20 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Jun14 May22 Apr24 Apr04 Mar28 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50    
CANO'S BABY Jun19 Jun05 May15 Apr04 Mar28 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
RIDE THE BRAND Jun20 May17 Apr03 Mar22 Mar14 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00 13% 6.40    
STORMIN' RUNNER Apr24 Apr04 Mar21 Feb28 Oct26 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 5.00    
IN HIGH GEAR May29 May09 Apr17 Mar13 Jun29 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jun20 May09 Apr23 Mar13 Feb28 (raymond d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
SCR  IRISH WIZARD Jun14 May17 May01 Mar21 Jun21 (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00    
11  GREATANDGOOD Dec07 Nov16 Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 (jones micha)PELTROCHE ELIAS 122 15.00 8% 12.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.