Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (2/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/9)-(2/1/5/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/9)-(2/1/5/3/9)-(2/1/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/9)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/9)-(6/4/3)-(7/6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(7/6/1/5)-(2/3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-3   WIN (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/5)-(2/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(5/6/8/11/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/4)-(5/6/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/4)-(5/6/8/11/10)-(4/5/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/6/8/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/11/10)-(5/6/8/11/10/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/11/10)-(5/6/8/11/10/3)-(5/6/8/11/10/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (5/6/8/11/10)-(4/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/11/10)-(4/5/6/2)-(8/9/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(8/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(8/9/6/7)-(8/7/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-8   WIN (8/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/7)-(8/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/7)-(8/9/6/7)-(8/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/6/7)-(8/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/6/7)-(8/7/2/6)-(1/7/3/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-9   WIN (8/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/4/2/6)-(8/7/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/2/6)-(1/7/3/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-10   WIN (1/7/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/5/10)-(1/7/3/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/5/10)-(1/7/3/5/10)-(1/7/3/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/17/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 35 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNOVATIVE Apr20 Mar16 Feb16     (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of LANTIZ by TIZWAY)
NAFISA Apr20 Mar28 Mar01 Jan26 Nov29 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ITHINKISAWAPUDYCAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
CHURCH LADY (IRE) Apr20         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by CHURCHILL out of CONVOCATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
AUTHENTIC GRACE Mar21 Feb21 Jan19 Nov30   (drysdale neil)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 30.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SINGITA by HOLY BULL)
PRESTIGE FUNGSON Apr19 Mar15       (eurton peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of WAR VALUE by WAR FRONT)
TIME TO SHINE Apr20 Mar16       (glatt mark)SMITH E 118 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GLORIFIED by HONOUR AND GLORY)
DOUBLE CAPPUCCINO Apr06 Nov30 Jul21 Jun14   (mccarthy michael )FREY KYLE 118 20.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AUDREY'S DOUBLE by PULPIT)
RUNYON CANYON Mar28 Jun16 May26 Apr27 Mar15 (callag)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HIKING by FIRST DEFENCE)
EASTWICK Apr25 Mar29       (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SCANDAL by BLAME)
 
SA-2   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANUCO Apr18 Mar15 Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 (periban jor)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 1.80    
HEBER Apr18         (farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 15.00    
NIJINSKY HALO May04 Feb17 Dec15 Nov23 Nov09 (mcdaniel w )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 8.00 6% 15.50    
CASCABEL May03 Apr11       (marquez alfre)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
CARDINAL SPIRIT Oct25 Aug22 Jul27 Jun14   (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00    
WINDS OF FREEDOM Apr18 Mar15 Feb07 Jan19 Nov30 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
 
SA-3   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS Apr25 Apr02 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (bryant steve)BAZE C 126 3.50 10% 8.80    
ALWAYS ON CAY Apr04 Mar22 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 126 2.50    
EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Mar17 Feb15 Dec06 Oct26 Sep29 (cal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 10.00    
TRINIDAD Apr20 Mar22 Feb21 Oct14 Sep29 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 126 3.00    
LITTLEBROTHERJOEY Apr27 Mar30 Feb01 Jan05 Dec06 (vallejo gen)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
RIGHT HAND RYDER May11 Mar29 Mar02 Jan25 Dec15 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 4.00 15% 5.90    
MOMO'S KIDDO May10 Apr20 Mar30 Mar21 Feb21 (valdez jo)SEVILLA RIGOBERTO 119 6.00 39% 1.60    
 
SA-4   05/17/2025 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE AND HUMBLE May10 Apr04 Mar02 Feb02 Jan04 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 126 4.50    
VEGAS LOVE Apr04 Dec23 Oct22 Sep25 Aug23 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 6.00 41% 1.40    
ACE ACE BABY Apr04 Mar08 Feb14 Nov16 Oct25 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
DORIE MILLER Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 Dec07 Nov08 (periban jorg)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
KITTY KITANA (GB) Mar17 Jan23 Dec13 Oct04 Aug11 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.00 17% 5.00    
DIAMOND BAR GAL Apr04 Mar01 Nov24 Oct12 Sep05 (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 8.00    
SCR  SPECIAL FLOWER Apr25 Mar08 Feb23 Nov29 Oct26 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 2.50    
 
SA-5   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 35 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINCAIRN Mar29 Jan26 Nov24 Sep22 Aug17 (haley gloria)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 2.50    
AUDIBLE SILENCE Apr03 Mar24 Mar02 Jan25 Dec29 (brinkerh)BAUTISTA L 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
BEGIN AGAIN Mar21 Nov30 Nov02 Oct19 Sep22 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
KLIMT A. P. Apr27 Mar09 Jan26 Jan12 Dec15 (cunningham)VAN DRAYDEN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
WAR COUNCIL Apr27         (sherman s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 118 12.00    
DADDY'S QUEST Apr27 Mar09 May07     (wright blaine)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 5.00    
SCR  MR. HUSSAR Mar14 Feb09       (sherman ste)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 20.00    
ALAN'S CONQUEST Apr26         (paldanius sheldon)FREY KYLE 126 4.50 9% 10.00    
 
SA-6   05/17/2025 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 35 ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROP THE BIT Apr05 Aug31 Aug10     (garcia anto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 30.00    
  (by PAVEL out of FACTOR OF TWO by THE FACTOR)
OAKLEY'S SMILE Apr18         (rodriguez fra)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of PASSIONATE LOVE by BLAKE'S PASSION)
BIG BILL         (glatt mark)LEZCANO ABEL 118 10.00    
  (by BROGAN out of SEATING CHAIRMAN by RIVERMAN)
SMILING CAPOTE         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 118 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GONE BLUES by CURLIN)
TITANIC THOMPSON Apr19 Apr05       (miyadi steven)FRESU ANTONIO 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of WIND N WAVES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
BONNEVILLE JIM Mar15         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by JAMES STREET out of THE SPIRAL JETTER by DON'TSELLMESHORT)
THROWIN HEAT         (barocio libra)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 12.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of NOTHING BUT HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
JUST A GRAZE Apr27 Mar29 Mar17 Feb09 Nov16 (puype mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of FEEL FREELY by BOLD WARRIOR)
BRAHMS MENDELSSOHN Nov15         (galvin bre)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BRAHMS COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
10  HIGHPLAINSDRIFTER Sep27 Aug24 Jul28 Jun09 Jun10 (puype mike)ORANTES R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of HOT N' DUSTY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
11  BIG NOTION Apr19 Nov15       (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of SWEET CONNIE GIRL by LEMON DROP KID)
12  MAV MAN         (powell leon)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
  (by EXPLOIT out of CARDAMINE by SECRETARIAT)
SCR  CURLIN COMMAND Apr18 Mar15 Feb15     (galvin brenda)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 4.50    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of ROYAL ANN COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
 
SA-7   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINING DISTRICT Apr19 Mar15 Feb14 Jan16 Dec07 (o'neill doug)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00    
ROYAL 'N RANDO Mar30 Nov22 Jun01 Apr27 Mar24 (puype mike)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHORTMAN Apr26 Mar29 Oct13 Sep14 Aug03 (vallejo gen)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 10.00    
KING OF CLUBS (GB) Mar23 Feb22 Dec28     (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 126 2.00 49% 1.10    
WINDRIBBON Apr05 Mar15 Mar08 Feb07 Jan18 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
TOUCHDOWN BROWN Apr27 Apr19 Mar29 Feb23 Jan20 (barocio libra)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 6.00 9% 10.20    
KERRY GOLD Apr19 Apr06 Mar14 Feb14 Jan16 (azcarate d)ORANTES R 121 5.00    
 
SA-8   05/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANGAROO COURT Apr19 Mar29 Mar01 Aug04 May06 (yakteen tim)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 10.00    
YACOWLEF (IRE) Apr06 Mar16 Feb09 Jan16 Nov23 (palma )BERRIOS ISAAC 126 2.00    
MYSTIC SPIRIT Sep28 Sep01 Jul26 May31 May05 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00    
HAWKER May04 Mar23 Feb24 Dec26 Dec03 (ganbat eneb)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
SCR  NATURAL FIGHTER (IRE)         (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 12.00    
OUR BUCKY CHARM Mar15 Jan18 May25 Apr27   (puype mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 8.00 14% 6.00    
FINAL STORM Apr20 Mar14 Feb15 Aug02 Jun23 (damato philip)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
DANIEL'S MAGIC Oct14 Aug31 Aug02 Jun07 May26 (harty eoin)FREY KYLE 126 6.00 35% 1.90    
MONEY MAKES MONEY Feb22 Nov24 Oct27 Jan06 Nov23 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
SA-9   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC DROP May11 Apr06 Mar09 Feb22 Jan24 (knapp steve)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 126 3.00    
DRUIDIC Apr18 Mar09 Feb22 Dec27 Nov16 (azcarate d)ORANTES R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CONTRARY CHIEFTAIN Apr27 Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Dec27 (barocio lib)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 15.00    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Apr18 Mar16 Jan24 Dec30 Dec06 (uranga j)MALDONADO E 124 5.00    
SCR  SEA DOG Mar07 Nov15 Sep14 Aug18 Aug04 (jauregui j)FREY KYLE 124 10.00    
HAPPY DOES Apr06 Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 Jan03 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KINGMEISTER Apr18 Mar21 Feb22 Jan24 May05 (mclean bill)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 8.00 28% 2.60    
NAMELESS Apr06 Mar07 Feb15 Jan05 Dec06 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
CROWN MAGIC Apr18 Mar21 Feb22 Jan26 Dec18 (tamayo isidro)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 15.00    
10  UPSTART YANKEE Apr18 Mar23 Jan26 Dec07 Nov10 (mcl)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 30.00    
 
SA-10   05/17/2025 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mizdirection Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHISMOSA Nov10 Oct12 Aug25 Jul06 Jun02 (deleon rafael)SMITH E 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YOU CAN DREAM by CAT DREAMS)
MISS ROBERTS (GB) Apr05 Feb22 Feb01 Oct19 Sep28 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
  (by SIYOUNI out of GHALYAH by FRANKEL)
UNCORKED (AUS) Apr26 Mar29 Mar01 Nov02 Sep07 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00 7% 13.10    
  (by PIERRO out of PIAF by PROUD BIRDIE)
ANG N ASH Apr05 Mar01 Feb08 Dec29 Nov15 (hanson ryan)FREY KYLE 120 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CHESTNUT STREET by SCAT DADDY)
VENGANZA Apr26 Apr05 Mar07 Feb01 Nov09 (mandella rich)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AVENGE by WAR FRONT)
TAHINI Apr18 Mar29 Nov15 Oct27 Sep02 (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 120 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MORE FUN AGAIN by ARCH)
GRANNY BUDGIE (GB) Apr18 Oct04 Mar04 Feb11   (damato philip)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 33% 2.10    
  (by MASSAAT out of CALEDONIA DUCHESS by DUTCH ART)
SCR  BEYOND LUCKY Mar28 Apr18 Feb28     (thomas jonath)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
LUNAR IMPACT (GB) Jul21 Apr26 Feb25 Jan06 Nov04 (blacke)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
  (by ZOUSTAR out of BUTTON MOON by COMPTON PLACE (GB))
10  VALENCE Apr26 Feb16 Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUTTON GIRL by MIZZEN MAST)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.