Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/1)-(3/5/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/1)-(3/5/7/8)-(7/4/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/8)-(7/4/3/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/8)-(7/4/3/6)-(10/6/8/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-3   WIN (7/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/6)-(10/6/8/5/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/6)-(10/6/8/5/1)-(10/7/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-4   WIN (10/6/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/5/1)-(10/6/8/5/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/5/1)-(10/6/8/5/1)-(10/6/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/8/5/1)-(10/7/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/5/1)-(10/7/6/2)-(4/8/10/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-5   WIN (10/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/2)-(10/7/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/2)-(10/7/6/2)-(10/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/6/2)-(4/8/10/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6/2)-(4/8/10/1)-(6/4/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-6   WIN (4/8/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/10/1)-(4/8/2/10/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/8/10/1)-(4/8/2/10/1)-(4/8/2/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/10/1)-(6/4/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/8/10/1)-(6/4/2/8)-(6/7/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/8)-(6/4/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/8)-(6/4/2/8)-(6/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/8)-(6/7/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/8)-(6/7/1/4)-(5/4/6/11/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-8   WIN (6/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/4)-(5/4/6/11/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
WRD-9   WIN (5/4/6/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/11/8)-(5/4/6/11/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/11/8)-(5/4/6/11/8)-(5/4/6/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KYEMBEA Nov14 Oct17 Jul18 Jul10 Jun19 (bro)ZABALA CASTILLO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  HAY SCOOBY DOO Apr08 Mar25 Nov26 Nov01 Oct11 (williams a)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.60    
3  I'M ALIVE Apr15 Mar24 Nov26 Nov14 Oct24 (rodriguez mar)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  IN BOND WE TRUST Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 Jan19 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 125 1.80 51% 1.00    
5  HE BLUE BAYOU Apr09 Mar25 Mar03 Nov26 Nov14 (oberlande)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00    
6  MR PELOTON Apr15 Mar25 Mar11 Dec05 Nov16 (caldwell )TRIANA JR 125 3.00    
7  MIA IS SHORT Apr28 Mar24 Mar10 Feb14 Jan18 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
 
WRD-2   05/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE SISTER May03 Apr21 Apr07 Mar19 Mar03 (cogburn l)CRUZ ROMAN 120 6.00    
2  SURE THING SAMURAI Apr29 Apr21 Mar25 Dec12   (davis d)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00    
3  TAIL OF WHOA Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Nov29   (biehler mi)ERAMIA E 120 1.80 51% 1.00    
4  JACKPOT TWENTYONE May03         (cogbur)FLETCHER D 125 20.00    
5  FANCY FREIDA May03 Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 Feb01 (you)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  FUN AS ALL GIT OUT May03 Mar30 Mar09 Feb23 Jan11 (dunlap m)SANCHEZ OBED 125 5.00    
7  GOSPEL TIZ GOT Apr21 Mar24 Dec12 Nov14 Nov02 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  KAMIKAZE OZIE Mar24 Oct09       (gunter micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-3   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A RAINY DAY Apr28 Apr13 Mar14 Feb01 Jan24 (cunningha)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
2  TEXAN FARMER Nov19 Jul18 Jul04 Jun14 May19 (cogburn l)CRUZ ROMAN 125 3.50    
3  CAT COUNTY Apr14 Mar17 Mar03 Feb21 Feb07 (dunlap m)SANCHEZ OBED 125 10.00 17% 4.90    
4  BARREL THIEF Apr14 Mar31 Mar08 Feb07 Jul07 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  LORD CREW May03 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Nov13 (dav)ZABALA CASTILLO 125 5.00    
6  WICKED PRINCE Apr28 Apr14 Mar17 Feb14 Jan19 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOLD MEMBER Apr28 Mar31 Mar14 Feb17 Feb02 (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
WRD-4   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKIE LOVE Apr02 Mar18 Feb28 Feb03 Dec21 (hartman a)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EURO KOUNTRY GIRL Apr22 Mar25 Mar04 Dec05 Nov15 (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 8.00    
3  RUBY THE DESTROYER Apr29 Apr14 Apr07 Mar19 Mar11 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
4  PAULA M Apr14 Apr01 Dec05 Oct18 Sep12 (williams a)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 4.00    
5  OUR BET Apr22 Apr02 Mar18 Dec21 Nov30 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
6  MS. HILLARY Apr22 Apr02 Mar18 Dec11 Nov09 (cor)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 10.00 13% 6.40    
7  OH NIKI Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 Dec06 Nov23 (swan p)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 12.00    
8  DA CANDY CANE Apr28 Mar18 Mar10 Dec11 Nov25 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
9  ALL AFLUTTER May05 Apr22 Apr02 Mar24 Mar18 (villafranco frederi)KIMES C 122 8.00    
10  MIZ RITHYM Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb14 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00 41% 1.40    
 
WRD-5   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITSEC Apr29 Apr14 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 (wilson)FLETCHER D 125 20.00    
2  STOLEN KISSES Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 Sep05 Aug24 (williams s)ERAMIA E 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  COIN PURSE Apr29 Apr21 Mar31 Mar24 Oct09 (blatchford geo)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00    
4  ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Apr28 Apr07 Nov19 Oct31 Sep13 (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 4.00    
SCR  STORMY BISONETTE Apr02 Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 Dec11 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
6  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 Sep25 Sep02 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.50 17% 4.90    
7  MAGGIE D'CAUSE Apr22 Apr02 Mar18 Dec11 Nov02 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
8  LENA'S SHADOW Apr29 Mar18 Dec11 Sep28 Sep06 (pogue pau)TRIANA JR 125 20.00    
SCR  GIRLS A LEGACY Apr29 Nov01 Aug17 Jun27 Apr29 (abney mike)CRUZ ROMAN 125 20.00    
10  EAGLE EXPRESS Apr28 Apr07 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
WRD-6   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBELENA Mar31 Dec07 Nov25 Nov13 Sep28 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  STORMY'S REVENGE Apr15 Mar31 Mar11 Nov25 Oct23 (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 4.00 ★    
3  CALLITFATELUCKARMA Apr21 Mar31 Mar03 Nov30 Nov02 (ashford tristan)KIMES C 120 20.00    
4  VITA'S SONG Apr21 Apr07 Mar17     (bravo francis)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
5  SO JACKSANN Apr28 Dec11 Oct23 Sep28 Sep13 (hartman a)TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
6  GETTIN OUT OF HERE Apr14 Mar17 Mar03 Nov30 Nov02 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00    
7  DEVIOUS DIVA May01 Apr04 Mar07 Dec13 Nov25 (caster boyd)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 12.00    
8  SHIP OF DREAMS Apr21 Apr01 Dec11 Oct18 Sep12 (williams a)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.00 15% 5.50    
9  CRYPTIC MISS Apr28 Nov02 Oct09     (caster boyd)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
10  LITTLE IRIS Mar17 Feb28 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-7   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER WAYSIDE Apr29 Apr14 Apr01 Mar19 Dec07 (abney mike)CRUZ ROMAN 125 5.00    
2  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Apr07 Mar03 Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 (cogburn orrin)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
3  FRIGERATOR Apr01 Dec13 Nov29 Nov01 Oct04 (hunt s)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 20.00    
4  CONNORS OUTLAW Mar25 Oct04 Jul18 May13 Apr16 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  MISSIN HOLLYWOOD Apr07 Mar17 Aug23 Jul18 Apr29 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00    
6  MANDOLIN WIND Apr09 Feb14 Jan19 Jan05 Nov18 (hartman alex)KIMES C 125 2.50 34% 2.00    
7  LEGACY ACCOUNT Mar25 Mar03 Dec11 Nov09 Oct18 (peery dur)TRIANA JR 125 3.50    
8  SALT CREEK KID Apr07 Mar25 Nov29 Oct18 Dec13 (hunt s)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-8   05/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST More Than Even Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS AND TELL Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 May04 Apr15 (williams a)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of NO KISSES FOR POPS by AIR COMMANDER)
2  CATALE WINEMIXER Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 Nov29 Nov13 (swango e)QUINONEZ B 120 6.00    
  (by KICK ON out of TRUE YOLO by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  READY Apr21 Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Jan12 (craddo)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 12.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
4  OKIE MAGIC Apr01 Mar04 Dec13 Nov23 Oct23 (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of OKIE SPIRIT by CAVVY)
5  C W CHARM Apr21 Mar26 Dec13 Oct18 Sep20 (padilla juan)SANCHEZ OBED 120 12.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
6  LETTA'S LEGACY Mar24 Mar10 Dec13 Nov15 Oct18 (trout r)TRIANA JR 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SUNDAYVILLE BREAK by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
7  TAKE ME SERIOUS Apr14 Mar24 Nov25 Oct18 Sep26 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
 
WRD-9   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMIE D Sep28 Mar18 Nov17     (cummin)FLETCHER D 125 30.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of GOSPEL TARACAUGHTA by DESERT KEY)
SCR  WESTERN NIGHT         (oberlander)ERAMIA E 120 8.00    
  (by SOUTHERN HALO out of NOVEMBER MORN by CAPOTE)
3  OSAGE EXPRESS Apr28 Mar31 Mar17     (swango e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00    
  (by KICK ON out of AFTON EXPRESS by WOOD REPLY)
4  CHITOZ'S BLUR May03 Apr07 Mar15 Feb07   (chleborad)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by CHITOZ out of BLUR by TIZWAY)
5  MI SONRISA Apr14 Jul12 Jun09     (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00 60% 0.70    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of R LADY HANSEN by HANSEN)
6  AMARONA SIOUX Apr28 Apr14       (lee mark)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILBURN out of BRICKLEY SIOUX by BRICKTOWN CAT)
7  AROA May03         (bravo francis)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of CRAZY LUCKY by HENNY HUGHES)
8  OUR SECRET CODE Apr28 Dec13 Nov09 Oct12   (cast)QUINONEZ-LOPEZ OSVALDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SEPHORA by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
9  CHICKS NIGHT OUT Apr28 Apr14 Dec06     (led)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MS J J R by KANTHAROS)
10  GOSPEL CESS Apr22 Mar19 Dec13 Oct30 Sep29 (williams )TRIANA JR 120 6.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of INTERCESSION by ORATORY)
11  BEVERLY DINER Apr28 Apr14 Apr02     (villafranco frederi)KIMES C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DARN GOOD by SASHA'S PROSPECT)
SCR  DESIRED FANTASIES Apr21 Apr07 Feb21 Jan09 Nov29 (dixon tim)CRUZ ROMAN 120 30.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of GEM POWER by POWER BROKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.