Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(5/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/1)-(5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/1)-(5/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(7/6/4/2)-(7/5/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-4   WIN (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/2)-(7/5/6/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/2)-(7/5/6/3)-(6/1/3/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-5   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(6/1/3/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/3)-(6/1/3/4)-(1/5/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/4)-(1/5/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/4)-(1/5/7/6)-(5/8/2/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-7   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(5/8/2/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
WRD-8   WIN (5/8/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/4/7)-(5/8/2/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/4/7)-(5/8/2/4/7)-(5/8/2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMAZING WISDOM Mar30 Mar14 Nov30 Oct24 Jun16 (padilla ca)ERAMIA E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MEGATAP Apr14 Mar24 Feb28 Feb08 Sep27 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
NINETY TWO Apr09 Mar24 Feb01 Jan10 Dec07 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 10.00    
DESOTO'S WAR Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb15 Feb05 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00 10% 8.90    
UNITED PATRIOT Mar30 Mar07 Feb02 Jan10 Dec11 (roberts bl)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
EASY BIG BOY Apr14 Mar31 Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 12.00    
RACE DAY REBAL Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 Dec06 Nov16 (william)GONCALVES R 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
LIMBO'S PROMISE Apr21 Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 Jun05 (dunlap sh)TRIANA JR 120 15.00    
 
WRD-2   04/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLAMOROUS LIFE Apr07 Mar12 Jan26 Jan03 Dec12 (anderson w)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLAUDETTE HEIR Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Dec11 Aug24 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 12.00    
DA CANDY CANE Mar18 Mar10 Dec11 Nov25 Nov02 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 5.00    
COMMUNICATIONISKEY Apr07 Mar24 Sep25 Sep02 Aug20 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Apr07 Nov19 Oct31 Sep13 Aug24 (hale victo)QUINONEZ B 120 3.00    
EAGLE EXPRESS Apr07 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Feb01 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
BACLIFF Apr08 Mar25 Mar01 Feb07 Jan24 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Apr07 Mar24 Oct12 Oct03 Jun12 (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 122 5.00    
 
WRD-3   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAWK'S LIL MIA Apr15 Mar26 Mar04 Dec12 Nov14 (pruitt m)KIMES C 125 6.00    
MIA IS SHORT Mar24 Mar10 Feb14 Jan18 Dec05 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
XYNGIN SPITFIRE Mar14 Jan23 Nov23 Oct18 Sep06 (caster boyd)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 4.00    
INARI Apr01 Mar10 Jan31 Jan05 Dec04 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 125 2.00 16% 5.20    
LADY ZEPHYR Mar26 Mar04 Feb14 Jun20 May04 (mcdanie)GONCALVES R 125 2.50 54% 0.80    
SO JACKSANN Dec11 Oct23 Sep28 Sep13 Aug29 (hartman a)TRIANA JR 125 4.00    
 
WRD-4   04/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWBOY CADE Mar19 Jan19 Dec13 Nov08 Oct02 (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by WILBURN out of LEXICAT by BRICKTOWN CAT)
IMA BOXER BOY Apr15 Mar26 Mar10 Dec13 Oct11 (caster boyd)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of BOX OFFICE APPEAL by CATIENUS)
CAVALLINO RAMPANTE Apr04 Mar01 Jan31     (padilla c)TRIANA JR 120 5.00    
  (by KARATE out of SENORA ISABELLA by POINT OF ENTRY)
ATREIDESREFLECTION Apr01 Mar18       (bravo f)GONCALVES R 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by ATREIDES out of STREET REFLECTION by STREET CRY (IRE))
GOSPEL JOURNEY Apr02 Mar19 Dec06 Nov06 Oct19 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 12.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of MISTY JOURNEY by VISIONAIRE)
STRAIGHT AHEAD Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Mar19 Mar05 (hartman alex)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CANDID CATHY by RIMROD)
VALID EURO Apr01 Mar18 Dec06 Nov18 Nov01 (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by EUROEARS out of VALID NIGHTLINGER by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
CODE ELEVEN Apr02 Mar19 Dec12 Nov23 Nov13 (davis d)BIRZER E 125 6.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of WAVES OF LIGHT by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
 
WRD-5   04/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR SEEKER Apr14 Jan26 Jul18 Jul11 Jun20 (ibarra jose)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 20.00    
LITTLE RANDY Apr02 Feb07 Jan25 Nov23 Nov14 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 3.00    
WINDTAPPER WIN Apr14 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan30 (dixon )FLETCHER D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEVEN DEVILS ROAD Apr17 Feb28 Feb20 Jan18 Dec28 (villafran)TRIANA JR 120 8.00    
INSTANT KARMA Apr08 Mar24 Feb21 Jan31 Sep21 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
WICKED PRINCE Apr14 Mar17 Feb14 Jan19 Dec14 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 9% 10.50    
GOLD MEMBER Mar31 Mar14 Feb17 Feb02 Jan24 (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50 49% 1.00    
IT'S A RAINY DAY Apr13 Mar14 Feb01 Jan24 Dec27 (cunningha)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
 
WRD-6   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRECKLES FOREVER         (bravo francis)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of MOMENT OF INSANITY by INTO MISCHIEF)
CHICKS NIGHT OUT Apr14 Dec06       (led)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MS J J R by KANTHAROS)
R JOAN JETS Nov30 Nov09 Sep29 Sep04 Aug17 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of SPRING STEEN by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
OUR SECRET CODE Dec13 Nov09 Oct12     (caster boyd)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SEPHORA by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
OSAGE EXPRESS Mar31 Mar17       (swango randy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 8.00    
  (by KICK ON out of AFTON EXPRESS by WOOD REPLY)
BEVERLY DINER Apr14 Apr02       (villafranco frederi)KIMES C 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DARN GOOD by SASHA'S PROSPECT)
SCR  MISS BOWRING Apr09         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.50    
  (by ETHICAL out of JAZZY GENIUS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
AMARONA SIOUX Apr14         (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 125 4.00    
  (by WILBURN out of BRICKLEY SIOUX by BRICKTOWN CAT)
CRYPTIC MISS Nov02 Oct09       (caster boyd)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of NATALIE'S TOCCET by TOCCET)
 
WRD-7   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE'S BEST Apr09 Mar28 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
GOLDEN REBAL Apr22 Mar31 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 (williams alan)BIRZER E 125 4.00    
STORMS LAST Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan18 Jan05 (cruz-reyes di)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00    
MASTER OF DISGUISE Apr07 Mar24 Sep28 Sep12 Aug14 (young s)GONCALVES R 125 8.00    
ELUSIVE POWER Mar31 Mar19 Dec13 Nov09 Oct16 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
GALACTIC CORE Mar31 Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 May19 (esqueda robe)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SLICK COUNTRY BOY Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 Nov16 Nov02 (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 10% 9.50    
 
WRD-8   04/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR FUN Apr02 Mar24 Mar18 Mar03 Dec11 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 20.00    
STARBURST Apr02 Mar19 Mar04 Feb05 Dec13 (dixon tim)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00 13% 6.80    
HARD CANDY Mar19 Feb16 Jan18 Dec13 Nov29 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00    
MAJOR GRIFFIN Dec02 Nov20 Nov09 Oct27 Sep30 (camillo jr)ERNST L 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
LAPIS LAZULI Oct09 Sep14 Aug24 Jun19 Jun06 (pruitt m)KIMES C 125 1.80 42% 1.40    
KICK IT AGAIN BOB Apr21 Apr02 Mar17 Mar11 Dec07 (davidson br)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00    
DEL MOON Mar31 Mar19 Nov02 Oct02 Sep13 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
MIRANDEN Mar17 Apr22 Apr01 Dec13 Nov21 (young e)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00 21% 3.70    
AWESOME OUTLAW Apr02 Mar17 Mar03 Dec05 Nov22 (hale ja)GONCALVES R 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.