Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/2/3)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/2/1)-(1/5/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/5/4/7)-(7/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(7/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(7/2/5)-(6/8/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-5   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(6/8/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(6/8/4/3)-(5/4/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/3)-(6/8/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/3)-(6/8/4/3)-(6/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/3)-(5/4/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/3)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/7/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-7   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/1)-(5/7/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/1)-(5/7/2/4)-(4/5/8/11) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-8   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(4/5/8/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-9   WIN (4/5/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/11)-(4/5/9/8/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/11)-(4/5/9/8/11)-(4/5/9/8/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE ROCK Mar31         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of BAUDETTE by ROCKY BAR)
2  DEVIOUS LOVER Mar31         (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by BRAVAZO out of LIL FOOTNOTES by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
3  GOSPEL MARK         (williams )TRIANA JR 120 3.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of GOOD MARKS by ARCANO)
4  DOUBLE ECHO         (biehler michael)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of COLM'S LADY by UNCLE MO)
5  RULING THE ROOST Apr02 Oct23 Sep20 Aug17 Sep30 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 2.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of UNIQUE STYLE by SUPER SAVER)
 
WRD-2   04/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOISE COMPLAINT Apr07 Mar24 Mar19 Oct17 Sep14 (moreno )GONCALVES R 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  MANNY'S KAT Apr07 Mar20 Feb13 Jan16 Dec26 (anderson w)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  BROWN RESERVE Apr07 Mar24 Nov26 Nov14 Nov02 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00 12% 7.70    
4  IRA CHAMP Mar10 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Apr29 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
5  JEST FUNNY Mar24 Mar03 Jan24 Dec11 Nov16 (dunlap m)WADE LYNDIE 120 8.00    
6  DICEY WAGER Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb07 Dec21 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 125 1.80    
 
WRD-3   04/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA WINK Mar31 Mar17       (pruitt )GONCALVES R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOPHIE'S GIRL Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Nov14 Oct19 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
3  DA LAST TEQUILA Apr07 Mar24 Dec07 Nov25 May06 (rodriguez)TRIANA JR 125 1.80    
4  WILD GOLD RUSH Mar31 Mar03 Sep29 Sep11 Aug17 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  FRIDA C Apr09         (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 120 20.00    
6  DESIRED FANTASIES Apr07 Feb21 Jan09 Nov29 Nov14 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 6.00    
 
WRD-4   04/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER DAD Apr01 Dec21 Nov26 Nov02 Oct09 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  JUST A IRISH LAD Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Dec05 Nov22 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 119 12.00    
3  WHIP Mar19 Nov29 Oct17 Jun13 Apr15 (hale james )WETHEY JR 119 5.00    
4  IN THE ARCH Apr04 Mar14 Feb28 Feb14 Jan24 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 3.00 11% 8.20    
5  COLT FICTION Jan10 Nov02 Oct09 Sep28 Jun25 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  LIMBO'S PROMISE Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 Jun05 May15 (dunlap m)KIMES C 119 20.00    
7  SAM SEZ Apr02 Mar19 Mar08 Feb21 Jan31 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-5   04/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGA SHACK Apr01 Mar17 Dec05 Nov06 Oct04 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 119 4.00    
2  KICK IT AGAIN BOB Apr02 Mar17 Mar11 Dec07 Nov25 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  CINCO STEVE Apr02 Mar17 Feb23 Nov22 Oct26 (ashford tri)WETHEY JR 122 4.00    
SCR  HERO TIME Apr02 Mar17 Mar04 Jan31 Jan10 (mitzner ronald)KIMES C 122 3.00    
5  HE'S A ROCK Sep13 Jul18 Jun19 Jun05 May06 (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WILBERT Apr05 Oct18 Sep28 Aug31 Jul18 (caster boyd)QUINONEZ B 119 12.00    
7  HE'S ALL EARS Apr14 Dec07 Nov09 Oct18 Oct09 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
WRD-6   04/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY FREIDA Mar24 Mar11 Feb01 Dec13   (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 3.00    
2  SUNSHINE SISTER Apr07 Mar19 Mar03 Dec13 Nov30 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 120 6.00    
3  SURE THING SAMURAI Mar25 Dec12       (dav)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  STIR UP DESIRE Mar24 Mar03 Dec04     (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  I BILEVE Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Dec06 Nov14 (swan e)WADE LYNDIE 125 6.00    
6  TAIL OF WHOA Apr07 Mar24 Nov29     (biehler)GONCALVES R 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
7  GOSPEL TIZ GOT Mar24 Dec12 Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00    
8  PATIENT EMILIE Apr13 Mar21 Feb28 Feb14 Feb01 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 4.00 5% 17.50    
 
WRD-7   04/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLITFATELUCKARMA Mar31 Mar03 Nov30 Nov02 Oct12 (ashford tristan)BIRZER E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CALEB'S FINEST Mar17 Mar03 Feb01     (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
3  REALITY CHECK Mar31 Mar19 Nov15 Oct30 Jul17 (donaldson jerry)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00    
4  SHIP OF DREAMS Apr01 Dec11 Oct18 Sep12 Nov14 (william)GONCALVES R 125 2.00 19% 4.30    
5  VITA'S SONG Apr07 Mar17       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  SO JORDAN Mar09 Feb21 Feb05 Dec11 Jan27 (hartman alex)WADE LYNDIE 125 3.00    
7  COMPETITIVE BOND Apr07 Mar31 Mar17 Feb28 Nov30 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 12.00    
8  IMAMIDNIGHTSPECIAL Apr09 Mar17 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
 
WRD-8   04/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IUKA MISS Dec12 Nov26 Nov08 Oct26 Sep26 (bert byr)BENN J 125 12.00    
2  C W CHARM Mar26 Dec13 Oct18 Sep20 Sep05 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
3  CHROME RACER Mar19 Jan04 Dec06 Nov09 Sep23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 12.00    
4  CUECA Mar04 Jan18 Nov23 May15 Apr23 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 125 8.00 10% 9.00    
5  CATALE WINEMIXER Mar24 Mar04 Nov29 Nov13 Oct18 (swango e)QUINONEZ B 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  TAKA Mar18 Feb22 Feb08 Jan28 Jan05 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 12.00    
7  READY Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Jan12 Nov29 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  BLUEBERRY EYES Apr07 Mar19 Mar01 Feb21 Jan31 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 125 1.80    
 
WRD-9   04/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COIN PURSE Mar31 Mar24 Oct09 Sep06 Aug17 (blatchf)GONCALVES R 125 15.00    
2  DENISES DOLLY Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Sep06 Aug23 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00    
3  STRIKETHREEYOUROUT Oct30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug23 Jul11 (corder)FLETCHER D 125 30.00    
4  KIRBYS DEWDROP Mar31 Mar11       (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  SHE'S A BOND TOO Apr09 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan26 (davidson )TRIANA JR 125 3.50 24% 3.30    
6  PAPAS PRINCESS Mar24 Mar10 Dec07     (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
7  GOSPEL PRECIOUS Apr07 Mar25 Dec07 Nov22 Oct17 (williams f)KIMES C 125 12.00    
8  ILIKEHER Apr07 Mar19 Dec12 Nov18 Oct19 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  CRYSTAL CLAIRE Dec11 Nov19 Nov21 Oct11 Sep23 (trout r)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 ★    
10  MYSTICAL CODE Mar24 Mar04 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 6.00    
11  KOOKY Apr07 Mar10 Feb14 Dec12 Nov23 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  IZZY'S G Mar24 Oct09 Aug17 Jun13 Apr29 (gunter micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.